Politics
Take a breath and keep these 10 things in mind if you’re nervous about next week
This is an adapted essay from “BLN Live Democracy 2024: The Insiders,” a virtual event featuring Jen Psaki, Steve Kornacki, Michael Steele and Claire McCaskill.
The days before an election are always a time of high anxiety. But as we approach this critical moment for our democracy, it’s important to take a step back, take a deep breath and relax.
So, here are 10 reasons why supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris shouldn’t freak out in these final days:
Number 1: We are more motivated.
Democrats’ enthusiasm has been a continuing trend across the polling. This isn’t always the case, it certainly wasn’t the case in 2016. But ever since President Joe Biden stepped aside and Harris stepped in, we have had more enthusiasm on our side of the aisle.
Number 2: Harris has closed the gap on economic issues.
The vice president started out way behind Donald Trump on key economic questions, like who voters believe is better for the economy and who they believe will look out for them. Those are the kinds of things that drive “feel” voters — people who make up their minds in the last two weeks of the election. That’s a good sign for Harris.
Number 3: We know what we’re doing in the field.
Just think about Trump’s buddy Elon Musk — he’s offering people $100 to sign a petition that says they support the First Amendment. Do you think Democrats signed that petition? I think some did. I think there’s probably a boatload of $100 bills going out to folks who are voting or already voted for Harris.
Musk’s approach isn’t an accurate way to get data to find low-propensity voters. It’s just another example of the billionaire thinking he’s the smartest guy in the world. With no political campaign experience, he thinks he can handle getting people to the polls in a crucial battleground state like Pennsylvania.
But our team actually knows what they’re doing. We’re more experienced. We’ve been building our ground game for over a year. That ground organization is one thing the Biden campaign did well, and Harris inherited it.
Number 4: It’s Trump’s bros and billionaires versus you and your family.
The former president’s campaign is geared toward people who think Hulk Hogan pulling off his shirt is important. It’s geared toward white men, bros who listen to Joe Rogan and billionaires like Musk. That’s not very appealing to people like you and me. I believe that will cost them at the ballot box.
Numbers 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10: Dobbs and its impact on women.
We’ve already seen the data. Women are showing up. The polls were off in 2022 because nobody expected the Democrats to do as well as they did. Reproductive rights was and still is a driving force for women voters.
And anybody who thinks that emotion has gone away when we’re watching women die and when we’re watching women who have troubled pregnancies lose the ability to have children — it’s not going away.
It’s more acute, more emotional and more passionately felt by women of America now than ever before. That includes Republican women and women who are married to Trump supporters. And I don’t care if they tell them they’re doing it or not, I guarantee a whole bunch of them are casting their ballots for Harris this election.
Claire McCaskill, a Democrat, was the first woman elected to the U.S. Senate from Missouri. She is currently an BLN and NBC News political analyst.
Allison Detzel
contributed
.
Politics
‘We’re going to have a problem’: Republicans want Trump to move on from 2020
President Donald Trump is bringing back 2020. Many Republicans wish he wouldn’t.
Conversations with nearly a dozen GOP state and county chairs and strategists reveal a party largely eager to move on from relitigating Trump’s election grievances, which they’re worried may detract from an economic message that actually motivates voters. But the president won’t let it go, subpoenaing 2020 election records and putting pressure on lawmakers to pass legislation to overhaul voter registration laws.
As Republicans stare down a treacherous midterm landscape, there’s a growing view inside the party that focusing on “stolen election” claims and voter fraud will kneecap them in the general election: That messaging might play well with the MAGA base in the primary, but it could alienate moderates tired of rehashing an election from nearly six years ago.
“I’m always one to believe you should look forward, not backward,” said Charlie Gerow, a Pennsylvania-based GOP strategist and Trump convention delegate who hosted a meeting of fake electors in 2020 at his Harrisburg-based public affairs firm. “It would be better if the midterms focused on the recovery of the economy and all the good things the Republican administration and Congress are doing to move the economy forward.”
In recent weeks, Trump has turned his sights on Maricopa County — Arizona’s largest county — subpoenaing records just weeks after the FBI raided an elections office outside Atlanta. He has revisited grievances that the 2020 election was “rigged,” suggested Republicans should nationalize elections and is demanding that lawmakers make passing the SAVE America Act, which would put in place stricter voting requirements, their “No. 1 priority.”
“Part of me understands it, and part of me just wants to move forward,” said Todd Gillman, chair of the Monroe County Republican Party in Michigan.
“Focus on the things that matter to everybody throughout the whole country,” he said, “or we’re going to have a problem in a few months.”
Trump does have backing from a number of Republicans, including some battleground-state GOP chairs who are not only embracing the president’s election probe, but openly encouraging his administration to audit their states’ records as they continue to push allegations of fraud from 2020.
Bruce Parks, the chair of the Washoe County, Nevada, GOP, said he would “absolutely” welcome a probe into his county and Clark County, the two largest in the state. And Jim Runestad, the chair of the Michigan Republican Party, suggested a review of records in Detroit, long a focal point of Trump’s 2020 election conspiracies.
“There’s no problem at taking a look at this and making sure everybody’s comfortable,” Runestad said.
Still, others say the risk is that voters simply don’t care — or have moved on. Republicans, including Trump’s own advisers, increasingly want him to focus on the economy ahead of the midterms.
That comes as polling repeatedly shows that economic issues — not election issues — top voters’ list of concerns. In a February Blue Light News Poll, more than half of all Americans — 52 percent — said the cost of living was a top issue facing the U.S. By comparison, less than a quarter — 23 percent — said a top issue was the U.S.’ democracy being under threat, a view held predominately by Democrats.
Those cost of living worries are now being exacerbated by Trump’s war in Iran, which is driving up gas prices and wreaking global economic havoc as it enters its third week.
The White House said Trump’s efforts are aimed at restoring confidence in elections and reiterated the importance of passing the SAVE Act.
“[Trump] is committed to ensuring that Americans have full confidence in the administration of elections, and that includes totally accurate and up-to-date voter rolls free of errors and unlawfully registered non-citizen voters,” spokesperson Abigail Jackson said in a statement.
Buzz Brockway, a GOP strategist and former state representative in Georgia, called election issues a “huge distraction,” adding: “Nobody outside of a small dedicated group are talking about this, they’re talking about the economy, they’re talking about, now, the price of oil.”
In Georgia, long an epicenter of Trump’s repeated efforts to litigate the 2020 election, some Republicans say voters are now largely “immune” to the issue that’s been rehashed endlessly for the past five years.
Some state-level GOP officials are hoping Congress passes the SAVE Act — despite the reluctance of many Republican lawmakers — so it will give them enough cover with MAGA voters but allow them to avoid talking about election issues themselves.
While Trump’s “stolen election” claims may still be a driving force for some primary voters, the general electorate is focused elsewhere. And if Republicans make those grievances central to their midterm message, they risk falling into a similar trap Democrats confronted during the 2024 presidential election — when former Vice President Kamala Harris’ warnings about democracy won over already loyal Democrats but failed to sway enough of the swing voters she needed to clinch the presidency.
“You’ve got to at least touch that base,” said one Georgia-based GOP strategist, granted anonymity to speak candidly. But “once you’ve got the nomination, then I think it really collapses down into economic issues.”
That dynamic can create a political conundrum for Republican candidates.
“A savvy Democrat will put a candidate on the spot and say, ‘You agree with [Trump], don’t you?’ and make a mess,” Brockway said. Republicans have “got to figure out a way to deflect that question somehow, in a plausible way that doesn’t alienate this loud minority.”
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