Congress
Capitol agenda: House revolt ahead for housing bill
The Senate is on track to easily pass a housing affordability package Thursday that is dead in the House as is — an ominous sign for any GOP affordability measures.
The bipartisan package, aimed at lowering high housing costs, is expected to sail through the Senate after an 89-9-1 procedural vote earlier this week. But the bill’s ultimate fate remains dire — as does the GOP trifecta’s ability to make any legislative progress on affordability before the midterms.
— House issues: Freedom Caucus members warned they won’t support the Senate version of the bill, with several likening some of its provisions to “socialism.” Their key concerns include a temporary ban on a central bank digital currency (they want it to be permanent) and a ban on institutional investors from owning single-family homes.
“There are problems,” Chair Andy Harris (R-Md.) said. “It’s not as conservative a product as the House bill was.” The House passed its own version in February under a fast-tracked process with Democratic support.
Speaker Mike Johnson acknowledged conservative objections to the Senate’s housing bill during a closed-door, conference-wide meeting Wednesday at the House GOP retreat. He suggested the House and Senate would have to go into conference negotiations to iron out the problems, according to four people in the room.
Rep. Mike Flood, chair of the Financial Services Housing and Insurance Subcommittee, echoed that sentiment.
“I am holding out hope for some fixes, but time runs short,” the Nebraska Republican told Blue Light News in a statement.
— The Senate’s game plan: Senators are moving ahead with their version — and largely ignoring the House-passed one.
Many don’t support the community banking provisions in the House version. The Senate version also includes the institutional investor provision that President Donald Trump requested.
“I don’t think we’ll need a conference. I think we’ll get it worked out,” Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said.
For now, senators appear to believe the White House — including the president — will help get House GOP colleagues on board. To their credit, they’ve seen this movie many times before.
“If one side, Senate or House is being unreasonable, the White House may have to slap a couple of people to Pluto,” Kennedy said. “But we’re not there yet.”
Congress
House Republicans eye passage of Senate-backed DHS funding bill
House Republican leaders are working to approve a bill Thursday that would fund all of the Department of Homeland Security except its immigration enforcement agencies — potentially ending the department’s 76-day shutdown — according to a half-dozen people granted anonymity to describe the behind-the-scenes talks.
Speaker Mike Johnson is discussing the idea with members of his conference who have wanted to hold off on passage of the bill until Republicans enact a separate party-line package to fund agencies including Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol.
The Senate passed the partial DHS funding measure in March, but for more than a month, House GOP leaders have bowed to the holdouts and resisted calls to send it to President Donald Trump’s desk. Now the White House and some House Republican lawmakers are pressuring Johnson to clear the bill before lawmakers leave town for a weeklong recess.
House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole of Oklahoma and House Republican Conference Chair Lisa McClain of Michigan were among the Republican lawmakers who confirmed that GOP leaders are attempting to send the bill on for Trump’s signature Thursday.
Johnson and Cole have both floated the idea of tweaking the bill to omit language explicitly stating that ICE and Border Patrol aren’t funded. But that would require sending it back to the Senate — not directly to Trump.
The speaker is still considering whether to alter the bill or put it on the floor without changes, the people familiar with the talks said. Either would involve using a fast-track process that requires support from two-thirds of lawmakers for passage.
Congress
Mike Johnson backs Louisiana election delay, urges other states to redraw maps
Speaker Mike Johnson said Thursday he supported delaying House elections in his home state of Louisiana after the Supreme Court invalidated the state’s congressional map Wednesday.
“The governor has no choice but to suspend it,” Johnson said. “The court has ruled our map unconstitutional.”
He spoke as GOP Gov. Jeff Landry announced that Louisiana could not carry out elections under the current map and would be working “to develop a path forward.” Any new map is likely to threaten the seats of Democratic Reps. Troy Carter and Cleo Fields, who are both Black.
The Supreme Court ruling narrowed the impact of the 1965 Voting Rights Act on the longstanding practice of requiring line-drawers to protect racial minorities’ voting power.
The exact timing of the rescheduled elections is “not my decision,” Johnson added, but said “the way it was typically done” was to hold an all-party “jungle” primary in November, with a runoff in December, and “it looks like it may be that way again.”
“But again, my fingerprints aren’t on it,” Johnson added. “It’s a decision of the state Legislature.”
He also encouraged other states with VRA-mandated minority districts to act quickly and potentially redraw their maps before November, even though many have their election processes well underway already.
“All states that have unconstitutional maps should look at that very carefully, and I think they should do it before the midterms,” he said.
Congress
A top GOP super PAC warns ‘the Republican Senate majority is at risk’
Top Republicans are growing increasingly anxious that the Senate, once seen as a lock for the party to hold in the midterms, is at risk of flipping as Democrats continue to hammer President Donald Trump for the cost of living and foreign intervention in Iran.
That fear is laid out in a new memo, shared exclusively with POLITICO, from the powerful GOP and Koch-aligned super PAC Americans for Prosperity Action, whose leaders are calling on the GOP to lock in on the cost of living or risk losing power in Washington.
“As it stands today, our view is that the Republican Senate majority is at risk,” AFP senior adviser Emily Seidel and Executive Director Nathan Nascimento write. “Our internal polling in several battleground states and one-on-one conversations with voters show that for the first time, Democrats are more trusted on the economy and inflation.”
Their warning comes with a clear plea for the GOP: Figure out how to message on cost living, and fast.
“The window to act is now,” they said.
In their view, there’s a clear path forward, but it requires a coherent message and “relentless focus on driving costs down and keeping them low.”
“Every policy fight, every floor speech, every campaign event should answer one question—what are you doing to lower the cost of living for working families?” they write.
The memo comes as polling shows Trump’s approval rating continue to slip on economic issues: A Reuters/Ipsos survey released this week found just 22 percent of Americans approved of his handling of cost-of-living issues.
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