Congress
Capitol agenda: FISA fight weighs on GOP priorities
The FISA punt is setting up a chaotic stretch on Capitol Hill, with GOP infighting now threatening to jam up other Republican priorities.
After a dramatic collapse on the House floor, GOP leaders have 10 days to find a path forward on Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act before the law expires April 30.
The timing couldn’t be worse. President Donald Trump’s June 1 deadline to pass immigration enforcement funding and reopen DHS is fast approaching, and Republicans are already running out of runway.
Early this week, Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham is expected to release text of a budget resolution that would provide up to $75 billion in funding for DHS immigration enforcement, followed by an initial vote as soon as Wednesday.
House Republicans will need to figure out their FISA deal quickly or risk having the fight weigh on the timeline for adopting the budget resolution. House GOP leaders are already planning to push back work this month on the SCORE Act — the college athletics revamp — because of the spy powers fight.
When it comes to FISA, Senate Republicans are done waiting on the House and are preparing to grab the wheel. Senate Majority Leader John Thune on Friday teed up consideration of a three-year 702 extension.
“We’ve just got to have optionality here,” he said. “I don’t know what the House is going to be able to do, and so we’ll be preparing accordingly.”
Speaker Mike Johnson has to figure out how to address conservatives’ concerns over warrantless surveillance potentially sweeping up U.S. citizens, as well as their demand to ban the future launch of a central bank digital currency as part of the FISA bill — which Thune told us would threaten support in the Senate.
Majority Leader Steve Scalise said in an interview that House Republicans are still figuring out a different legislative vehicle where they could attach the CBDC ban.
“We’re gonna find a place for it,” Scalise said.
Some House Republicans are hoping they just need to massage a five-year 702 extension with relatively minor changes aimed at privacy hawks. But others are predicting they’ll face the same internal schism in 10 days. Some, including Rep. Don Bacon, believe it’s time to make a deal with Democrats.
Sen. Ron Wyden is promising to “pull out all the stops” for stronger FISA reforms. Rep. Jim Himes, the top Democrat on House Intel, is finding himself performing rare “shuttle diplomacy” between GOP factions.
“What I learned tonight,” Himes said as it was all crashing down last week, “was that Republicans don’t talk to each other.”
What else we’re watching:
— Burgum on Blue Light News: A House Appropriations subcommittee will hold a hearing at 3:30 p.m. with Interior Secretary Doug Burgum. Appropriators are expected to ask him about plans to downsize the department, including a proposal to cut National Park Service staffing by almost 3,000 positions.
— SCM expulsion push: Republicans including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna will try to force a vote to expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick immediately after a House Ethics decision Tuesday on her punishment for ethics violations.
— Iran AUMF incoming? Sen. Lisa Murkowski said she and a group of senators are drafting an authorization for use of military force for the Iran war, as a growing number of Republicans raise public concerns about the conflict. Senate Democrats plan to force a war powers vote this week, and House Democrats may as well.
Meredith Lee Hill, Jordain Carney, Manuel Quiñones and Andres Picon contributed to this report.
Congress
Elon Musk pours another $76 million into boosting Republicans
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk gave another $76 million to boost Republicans in the first two weeks of October, bringing his total giving this cycle to more than $442 million.
The additional funds, which Musk gave to his super PAC, America PAC, make the group one of the biggest super PACs this cycle. America PAC has already spent tens of millions of dollars on digital advertising, mailers and text messages as it targets competitive House and Senate races across the country.
Musk — the world’s wealthiest man — is by far the biggest single donor this cycle, with his political giving this year far exceeding even the roughly $290 million he spent in 2024. There is no precedent in modern American history for any donor spending as much as he has.
While the Tesla CEO and former DOGE lead has spent significantly to help Republicans, he has not been joining GOP candidates on the campaign trail this fall like he had in the past. Republicans privately acknowledged Musk could be politically toxic after the party lost a major Wisconsin judicial race in the spring of 2025 where Musk had become both the biggest funder and a campaign issue.
Still, Musk’s money has been instrumental for Republicans this fall. His earlier giving this cycle includes $158 million for Senate Republicans’ campaign arm, which was transferred to a super PAC boosting Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who is locked in a tight Senate race against Democrat James Talarico. Democrats have looked to make his money a campaign issue: Talarico recently responded to an attack from Musk on the Musk-owned X social media site by saying that there was “deeply wrong with a political system that allows one trillionaire to buy his own personal U.S. Senator.”
Musk has also given to House Republicans’ super PAC arm, President Donald Trump’s MAGA Inc. super PAC, and a group seeking to repeal Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system, along with a smattering of GOP candidates.
Congress
Senate Democrats’ campaign arm takes out $15M loan
Senate Democrats have taken out a $15 million loan as they hope to expand their map in the final days before the midterms.
The party’s campaign arm took out the loan earlier this month, according to a report submitted Thursday to the Federal Election Commission.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spent $32 million in the first two weeks of October, with half of those funds going toward coordinated expenditures in 10 states. That includes: $4.7 million Ohio; more than $1 million in each of Iowa, Michigan, Kansas, Alaska and Maine; and additional funds in Texas, Georgia, North Carolina and New Hampshire.
The committee reported just over $20 million cash on hand as of Oct. 14, according to its FEC report.
Its GOP counterpart, the National Republican Senatorial Committee, previously took out $20 million in loans in September, according to an FEC report filed earlier this week. The DSCC has slightly trailed the NRSC in fundraising for most of the cycle, but Democratic candidates have largely outraised GOP ones across the map — in some cases, several times over.
Democrats’ candidate fundraising advantage has helped offset the GOP’s massive super PAC cash advantage since candidates, and parties working with them, get better rates for broadcast ads.
It’s not unusual for party committees to take out loans late in an election cycle to power last-minute spending. In 2024, the DSCC took out $20 million in loans.
“In the face of being outspent by GOP megadonors, Senate Democrats remain in the best position yet to win the majority, after we strategically and effectively expanded the map and sent Republicans scrambling to play defense in red states everywhere,” DSCC spokesperson Maeve Coyle said in a statement. “We will continue to use every tool at our disposal and we will win in November.”
Congress
Kevin McCarthy predicts GOP will lose House majority
Former Speaker Kevin McCarthy predicted Republicans will lose the House in two weeks, citing historical midterm trends while also criticizing the sitting GOP leadership for how they’ve managed the chamber.
“In the last 100 years, all off-year elections, whoever is the party in power has the White House, has lost seats, and it’s only a few seats for the majority,” McCarthy said in an interview with Bloomberg TV Thursday.
Democrats, he added, will “get a majority” in the House: “I’m not quite sure how big it is, but they will probably win the majority.”
The former speaker, who ushered in the current GOP House majority in 2022 but only led the conference for less than a year before being booted from the speakership, went on to fault his own party for giving the election away.
“It’s not that the Democrats are going to win this election,” he said. “Republicans are going to lose it.”
He pointed to the skimpy House legislative calendar as a factor. Speaker Mike Johnson and his deputies have routinely canceled scheduled session days amid member revolts that have undermined his grip on the razor-thin majority.
“You’re only given 24 months in a majority to manage it. They were in the fewest amount of days. They let the Democrats dictate,” McCarthy said. “You have to give a reason why to win. What are the three things Republicans will do if they win the majority? I can’t tell you what that is.”
Still, McCarthy cautioned that if Democrats win the House, it won’t be because they have laid out their own agenda and warned that he believes that Democrats will face their own hurdles.
“Democrats are not popular. They haven’t laid out an agenda on what they’ll do,” McCarthy said. “So they’ll have a really hard time governing in the next Congress.”
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