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The Dictatorship

What four years of war shows about Ukraine — and faltering American leadership

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Four years ago this weekRussian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. A war he expected to win in just days has become one of the longest and costliest conflicts Russia has fought since World War II. What began as a blitz intended to decapitate Ukraine’s government has hardened into a grinding war of attrition. The United States’ initial commitment to supporting Kyiv has given way to a policy of strategic ambiguity, with neither Ukrainian victory nor a lasting end to the conflict appearing now to be Washington’s objectives.

With no sweeping changes in territorial control since 2023, Russia has suffered staggering losses for marginal territorial gains. Ukraine’s cities have been batteredits infrastructure repeatedly targeted and its people tested by cold, darkness and relentless attack. Yet Ukraine’s survival as a sovereign state is no longer in immediate peril.

The United States’ initial commitment to supporting Kyiv has given way to a policy of strategic ambiguity, with neither Ukrainian victory nor a lasting end to the conflict appearing now to be Washington’s objectives.

This winter has been the harshest of the extreme conditions Ukrainians have endured. Unable to achieve decisive success on the battlefield, Russia has turned to a punitive strategy aimed squarely at civilians, striking energy systems to deprive Ukrainians of heatlight and water. Having failed militarily, the Putin regime is relying on coercion and cruelty.

Despite this, Ukraine perseveres. Through national mobilization, innovation and sacrifice, it has blunted Russia’s advantages in size, population and resources.

Ukraine’s fight has become one of the defining tests of the 21st century: whether democracies can defend themselves against revanchist autocracy. That is the question confronting Washington, as much as U.S. lawmakers avoid it.

For decades, American foreign policy rested on a simple but powerful insight: Values are not a distraction from power but the source of it. Alliances endure because they are rooted in trust. Deterrence works because adversaries believe the United States will act consistently and predictably. When values guide strategy, American power multiplies. When they are abandoned, power erodes.

The pattern extends beyond Ukraine. Tariff disputes with European partnersflirtation with illiberal movements seeking to weaken the European Union and repeated attacks on alliance commitments have created confusion where clarity is needed. This is not a coherent “America First” strategy. It is strategic drift that shifts the global balance of power in Moscow’s favor.

Under the Trump administration, American policy toward the largest war in Europe since World War II has drifted away from that foundation. Rather than reinforcing deterrence, strengthening alliances and shaping a just peace, U.S. actions too often have pressured Ukraine while offering political and rhetorical relief to Russia. Foreign policy has been treated less as an instrument of American security than as a means for transactional leverage and private advantage. The mirage of deals directed at Trump, his family and friends has warped American policy toward the Russia-Ukraine war, distorting strategy and undermining trust.

Washington policymakers forget at our peril: Chaos abroad never stays abroad.

When American leadership falters, global energy markets destabilize, supply chains fracture and investor confidence weakens. Prices rise. Working families pay more for fuel, food, insurance and utilities. Strategic incoherence overseas creates higher prices and greater insecurity at home. The rising cost of living in my home state of Florida is a reflection of this reality. When wars last longer because deterrence fails, Americans pay financially and strategically.

Corruption compounds these failures. When personal interests shape policy, adversaries exploit it. When allies lose confidence in American integrity and reliability, U.S. influence evaporates. Corruption is both a moral failing and a strategic vulnerability. It weakens deterrence and raises the cost of resolving crises. Crushing corruption is a national security imperative.

When allies lose confidence in American integrity and reliability, U.S. influence evaporates.

Ukraine’s struggle against armed aggression mirrors a broader struggle within other democracies: whether free societies will allow power to be abused for personal gain, or whether they will insist on accountability and the rule of law. The scale is different, country by country, but the stakes are linked. A world where corruption guides policy is a world of longer wars, weaker alliances and higher costs for ordinary citizens.

As the war in Ukraine drags on, a years-old threat to elected democracies, will the United States rise to meet the moment — or will Washington continue its slide into chaos, corruption and strategic self-harm?

America does not need theatrics or dealmaking illusions. It needs leadership anchored in national interest, guided by values and accountable to the public. Serious strategy shortens wars. Integrity strengthens deterrence. Credible leadership cuts costs — both human and economic — and reduces the likelihood that the next war could be longer and more dangerous than this one.

Alexander Vindman is a retired Army lieutenant colonel and former director of European affairs for the National Security Council. He is a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida.

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The Dictatorship

Judge orders restoration of Voice of America

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Judge orders restoration of Voice of America

NEW YORK (AP) — A federal judge on Tuesday ordered the Trump administration to restore the government-run Voice of America’s operations after it had effectively been shut down a year ago, putting hundreds of employees who have been on administrative leave back to work.

U.S. District Court Judge Royce C. Lamberth gave the U.S. Agency for Global Media a week to put together a plan for putting Voice of America on the air. It has been operating with a skeleton staff since President Donald Trump issued an executive order to shut it down.

A week ago, Lamberth said Kari Lake, who had been Trump’s choice to lead the agency, did not have the legal authority to do what she had done at Voice of America. In Tuesday’s decision, Lamberth ruled on the actions she had taken to respond to Trump’s order, essentially shelving 1,042 of VOA’s 1,147 employees.

“Defendants have provided nothing approaching a principled basis for their decision,” Lamberth wrote.

There was no immediate comment on the decision by the agency overseeing Voice of America. Lake had denounced Lamberth’s March 7 ruling, saying it would be appealed. Since then, Trump nominated Sarah Rogers, the undersecretary of state for public diplomacy, to run USAGM. That requires Senate approval, a step that was not taken with Lake.

Patsy Widakuswara, Voice of America’s White House bureau chief and a plaintiff in the lawsuit to restore it, said she is deeply grateful for the decision.

“We are eager to begin repairing the damage Kari Lake has inflicted on our agency and our colleagues, to return to our congressional mandate, and to rebuild the trust of the global audience we have been unable to serve for the past year,” she said.

“We know the road to restoring VOA’s operations and reputation will be long and difficult,” she said. “We hope the American people will continue to support our mission to produce journalism, not propaganda.”

Voice of America has transmitted news coverage to countries around the world since its formation in World War II, often in countries with no tradition of a free press. Before Trump’s executive order, VOA had operated in 49 different languages, broadcasting to 362 million people.

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The Dictatorship

Trump delays China trip to focus on war in Iran

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Trump delays China trip to focus on war in Iran

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump is delaying a diplomatic trip to China that had been planned for months but began to unravel as he pressured Beijing and other world powers to use their military might to protect the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump said Tuesday while meeting with Irish Prime Minister Micheál Martin in the Oval Office that he would be going to China in five or six weeks’ time instead of at the end of the month. He said he would be “resetting” his visit with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

“We’re working with China — they were fine with it,” Trump said. “I look forward to seeing President Xi. He looks forward to seeing me, I think.”

Trump’s visit to China is seen as an opportunity to build on a fragile trade truce between the two superpowers, but it has become tangled in his effort to find an endgame to the war in Iran. Soon after pressing China and other nations to send warships to secure access to Middle Eastern oil over the weekend, Trump indicated his travel plans depended on Beijing’s response, though he added Tuesday that the U.S. didn’t need help from the allies who rebuffed his request.

AP AUDIO: Trump postpones his China trip to focus on the war in Iran

Speaking with reporters, President Trump says he’s postponing this month’s planned trip to China.

In a Sunday interview with the Financial Times, Trump said he wanted to know whether Beijing would help secure the strait before he departed for the late-March summit. On Monday, he told reporters that he had requested a delay of about a month because of the demands of the war.

“I think it’s important that I be here,” Trump said. “And so it could be that we delay a little bit. Not much.”

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who met with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Paris this week for a new round of talks meant to pave the way for Trump’s trip, said any changes to the schedule would be because of logistics, not because Trump was trying to pressure Beijing.

Trump is urging other nations that rely on Middle Eastern oil to help police the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway through which about one-fifth of the world’s traded oil usually flows. He has singled out China, noting that it gets much of its oil from the strait while the U.S. gets a minimal amount. He also made appeals to Japan, South Korea, Britain and France. There have been no takers so far, and China has been noncommittal.

“We strongly encourage other nations whose economies depend on the strait far more than ours,” Trump said at the White House on Monday. “We want them to come and help us with the strait.”

Trump is framing the war as a favor to the world being carried out by the U.S. and Israel, saying it’s now time for others to do their share to protect the strait. Some world leaders have directly rebuffed the notion and objected to the U.S.’ military approach.

Trump’s trip to China carries major geopolitical consequences as the two nations seek stability in the wake of a trade war that led to soaring tariffs before both sides eased off. Trump and Xi agreed to a one-year trade truce last fall, and Trump later agreed to a state visit to Beijing. He also went to China in 2017, during his first term.

China’s foreign minister said last week that the country looks forward to a “landmark year” in its relationship with the U.S. He added that China’s attitude “has always been positive and open, and the key is for the U.S. side to meet us halfway.”

Trump’s priorities have shifted as the war sends oil prices skyrocketing during a tough midterm year in which affordability was already a chief concern for American voters. In addition to postponing his China trip, he has given Russia a boost by lifting sanctions on its oiland he tapped into the nation’s oil reservessomething he previously objected to doing.

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The Dictatorship

Why Judge Boasberg’s ruling on DOJ’s Jerome Powell investigation is bigger than one case

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The most important part of Chief Judge James Boasberg’s ruling quashing Justice Department subpoenas served on the Federal Reserve was not simply that he blocked them.

It was that he refused to suspend common sense. He read the subpoenas against the public record that produced them. He took President Donald Trump at his word. That is what made the opinion so important.

Judge Boasberg did not begin with dry procedural throat-clearing. He began with Trump’s own attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the broader campaign of presidential and White House pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

For too long, courts have often maintained an artificial separation between presidential rhetoric and executive action.

He quoted Trump calling Powell “TOO ANGRY, TOO STUPID, & TOO POLITICAL, to have the job of Fed Chair.” He cited another post calling Powell “one of the dumbest, and most destructive, people in Government.” He noted Trump’s statement that “Powell’s termination cannot come fast enough!” and his threat that if the Fed did not cut rates, “I may have to force something.”

That was not decoration; it was the architecture of the opinion. From page one, Judge Boasberg made clear that motive was not some side issue here. Motive was the case. The subpoenas arose from a Justice Department investigation into supposed cost overruns in the Federal Reserve’s multiyear headquarters renovation project and into Powell’s congressional testimony touching on those renovations. On paper, that was the inquiry. In reality, Judge Boasberg concluded, something else was going on.

Judge Boasberg wrote that there was “abundant evidence” that the dominant, if not sole, purpose of the subpoenas was to harass and pressure Powell either to yield to the president or resign and make way for someone who would. On the other side of the scale, he said the government had offered “no evidence whatsoever” that Powell committed any crime other than displeasing the president. By the end of the opinion, that judgment hardened even further: The government had produced “essentially zero evidence” of criminality, and its stated justifications looked like “a convenient pretext” for another unstated purpose.

That is an extraordinary thing for a federal judge to say about the Department of Justice.

This was not a close call. It was not a case in which prosecutors pushed the envelope and got reined back in. It was a finding that criminal process had been used as pressure rather than law enforcement.

And the way Judge Boasberg got there was the real story. He did not invent improper purpose. Rather, he looked at what was already in plain view. Trump spent months attacking Powell, demanding lower rates and making his desired outcome unmistakable. He said, “Anybody that disagrees with me will never be the Fed Chairman!” He said, “I want to get him out.” He said he would “love to fire his ass.” He said Powell “should resign.”

A political appointee then floated the Fed renovation issue as a path toward investigation and possible removal. After that, the U.S. Attorney’s Office opened a criminal investigation on that very theory and served subpoenas on the Federal Reserve.

Judge Boasberg looked at that sequence and refused to act naive.

He was right to.

For too long, courts have often maintained an artificial separation between presidential rhetoric and executive action. The president says what he says. Prosecutors do what they do. Judges examine the narrower legal record and resist attributing too much significance to the political atmosphere outside the courthouse. But there comes a point where that posture stops looking disciplined and starts looking unserious.

From page one, Judge Boasberg made clear that motive was not some side issue here. Motive was the case.

When a president has repeatedly identified the official he wants pressured or removed, made his desired outcome unmistakable and then his Justice Department shows up with a paper-thin theory aimed at that same target, a court does not have to pretend those events are unrelated. Judge Boasberg’s opinion suggested that at least some courts may be losing patience with that formalism.

What made the opinion important was not just that Judge Boasberg drew that inference here. It was that he did so openly, in a way that may signal a broader judicial willingness to read executive motive more realistically in politically saturated cases.

That is not judicial activism. It is common sense.

And Trump’s response since the ruling only reinforced the point. In a post after the decision, Trump attacked Judge Boasberg personally, called him a “Wacky, Nasty, Crooked, and totally Out of Control Judge,” said he has been “‘after’ my people, and me, for years,” claimed the ruling had “little to do with the Law, and everything to do with Politics,” and said Judge Boasberg should be removed from cases involving Trump and his administration.

That mattered because it underscored the precise interpretive move Judge Boasberg made in the opinion. The judge treated Trump’s public words not as background noise, but as evidence reasonably bearing on motive and pretext. Trump’s reaction did not undercut that reasoning. It strengthened it.

It also said something larger and more troubling about the DOJ.

The government was given the chance to substantiate its claims and chose not to. Judge Boasberg was left, as he put it, with “no credible reason” to think prosecutors were investigating suspicious facts as opposed to targeting a disfavored official.

That is not just a loss.  It is a collapse of confidence.

And it matters all the more because of what a subpoena is. A subpoena is the point where political pressure becomes legal compulsion. It is the government bringing the authority of criminal process into the room.

That is why misuse of subpoena power is so dangerous. It can impose burden, stigma, cost and fear long before any indictment, and it can intimidate even when no charges are ever filed. Judge Boasberg understood that. He did not treat these subpoenas as some technical skirmish over records. He treated them as part of an effort to pressure the chair of an independent central bank and, in his words, to “bulldoz[e] the Fed’s statutory independence.”

That is why this ruling matters beyond Powell and beyond the Federal Reserve.

Judge Boasberg did not just quash subpoenas.

He modeled a more realistic way for courts to evaluate politically freighted exercises of state power.

And if more judges start doing the same, this opinion will be remembered as more than a rebuke in one ugly case. It will be remembered as an early sign that courts were no longer willing to separate presidential coercion from the legal machinery deployed to carry it out.

Duncan Levin is a criminal defense attorney and former federal prosecutor who serves as a Lecturer on Law at Harvard Law School and is a frequent contributor to MS NOW.

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