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Trump takes massive gamble to try to end Iran’s nuclear threat

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Trump takes massive gamble to try to end Iran’s nuclear threat

On Saturday evening, President Donald Trump shared on Truth Social that the U.S. had attacked three Iranian nuclear sitesusing a “full payload of bombs.”

A weakened Iranian military and a decisive set of Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear capabilities opened the door to directly attack the Fordo site deep in Iran, which Trump said in his post was bombed along with Natanz and Isfahan nuclear facilities.

This is alarming. Trump is taking the bet that sending in the U.S. Air Force with “bunker buster” bombs will once and for all end Iran’s nuclear threat. But anticipating U.S. military capabilities is very different from dealing with what the volatile leaders of Iran or Israel will choose next.

Netanyahu is poised to open hostilities on a third front, adding to the conflicts Israel is engaged in in Gaza and Lebanon, and his bravado is dragging the United States along.

After launching missile strikes inside Iran and killing key leaders of Iran’s nuclear program and the Revolutionary Guard, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made it clear he sees an opportunity to topple the government in Irantelling Fox News that Israel is “geared to do whatever is necessary to achieve our dual aim, to remove … two existential threats” and that killing the leader of Iran “could certainly be the result because the Iran regime is weak.”

Iran has also arrayed its missile systems towards U.S. military assets in the region, which include the 5th fleet based in Bahrain and military bases in Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

While world leaders agree that Iran is a hostile regime and that, in Netanyahu’s words, “we can’t have the world’s most dangerous regime have the world’s most dangerous weapons,” the ongoing military escalation and retaliation were not the only path toward security and stability in the Middle East.

Diplomacy worked before. Ten years ago, in 2015Iran agreed to dismantle its nuclear program and allow United Nations weapons inspectors inside the country for regular monitoring and review. By all accounts, this worked to halt weapons-grade uranium enrichment, if not Iran’s other hostile activities. But despite fashioning himself as the dealmaker-in-chief, President Donald Trump pulled out of the original deal in 2018 and has yet to secure a new one. In the first go-around, the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council — China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom an the United States — plus Germany were involved in a deeply deliberative process. This time, Iran is asking the United States to calm the waters and Russia is offering to secure Iran’s uranium, while Trump leaves a meeting with G-7 leaders warning “everyone should evacuate Tehran.”

So yes, you should be worried — because cooler heads are not prevailing. Netanyahu is poised to open hostilities on a third front, adding to the conflicts Israel is engaged in in Gaza and Lebanon, and his bravado is dragging the United States along: As the primary supplier and funder of the Israeli military, the United States is by default considered complicit in Israel’s actions, the conceit being that Israel would never dare move beyond the comfort zone of U.S. geopolitics.

What makes this moment even more worrisome is that Trump never laid down any consistent theory of when and how the United States will engage militarily other than the America First pablum of eliminating dependency, aka humanitarian aid, and withdrawing from foreign wars. Trump’s reluctance to support regime change in Iran created a rift with his first-term national security adviser John Boltonwho is now surely salivating at the idea of this current opportunity. But MAGA allies such as Tucker Carlson are breaking with Trump over this moment, saying continued military support of Israel would be a betrayal of the commitment to let other countries “fight their own wars.”

Trump, like presidents before him, has promised to come to the defense of Israel; how far does that commitment go when facing a capable Iranian military and a population nine times the size of Israel? What happens if a U.S. military installation in an Arab country is attacked? What happens if U.S. citizens are killed? Trump could soon find himself and the American public dragged into a very high-stakes choice between keeping an ally happy or investing in another doomed, boots-on-the-ground war of regime change.

Nayyera Haq

Nayyera Haq is a broadcast journalist focusing on international security and diplomacy who previously served as a senior director focusing on national security and economic policy at the White House, a senior adviser at the State Department and spokesperson at the U.S. Treasury, where she advised the country’s top leaders. She hosts conversations on SiriusXM talk radio and previously hosted the nightly newscast “The World Tonight,” and she was chief foreign affairs correspondent for the Black News Channel.

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The Dictatorship

‘From lecturing to listening’: Mamdani explains how he drew votes from Trump supporters in NYC race

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‘From lecturing to listening’: Mamdani explains how he drew votes from Trump supporters in NYC race
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The Dictatorship

Black Memphians refuse to be the collateral damage to Elon Musk’s ‘progress’

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Black Memphians refuse to be the collateral damage to Elon Musk’s ‘progress’

Majority-Black communities in Memphis are under threat from Elon Musk’s AI project

We are known as an “asthma capital” in the U.S., and recent statistics found that we had the most asthma-related ER visits in Tennessee.

Justin Pearson speaks in the middle of a crowd holding signs against Elon Musk's xAI facility
Tennessee state Rep. Justin Pearson, D-Memphis, during a rally in opposition to a plan by Elon Musks’s xAI to use gas turbines for a new data center, at Fairley High School in Memphis on April 25.Brandon Dill for The Washington Post via Getty Images file

By Justin J. Pearson, Tennessee state representative

I live 3 miles from xAI’s South Memphis data center, where Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence company has been operating dozens of methane gas turbines without critical — and we believe legally required — environmental permits. My neighbors and I are forced to breathe the pollution this company pumps into our air every day. We smell it. We inhale it. This isn’t just an environmental issue — it’s a public health emergency.

This isn’t just an environmental issue — it’s a public health emergency.

Memphis and Shelby County had a pollution crisis long before Musk and xAI powered up Colossus, a massive supercomputer. The American Lung Association gave us an “F” for air quality for four of the last five years, and we got a D the one year we didn’t get an F. We haven’t met federal ozone standards since 2021. We are known as an “asthma capital” in the U.S., and recent statistics found that we had the most asthma-related ER visits in Tennessee.

Now, in response to this growing threat to the air we breathe, we’re fighting back. Last week, the Southern Environmental Law Center (SELC) sent xAI a notice of intent to sue on behalf of the NAACPa notice that is mandatory under the Clean Air Act. This action is about justice, transparency and our human right to breathe clean air.

Together, the turbines at the xAI data center have a generating capacity that SELC says rivals that of a regional Tennessee Valley Authority power plant. Despite claims from the Shelby County Health Department, the Greater Memphis Chamber of Commerce and xAI that permits aren’t required for the turbines’ first year of use and xAI’s assertion that it is “operating in compliance with applicable laws,” SELC, which performed a thorough analysis of the turbine models’ specifications and applicable environmental lawdisagrees. It believes xAI’s turbines are stationary engines and therefore require an air permit. SELC asked the county Health Department to shut down the turbines and explain where SELC’s legal opinion is wrong. These requests have not been met.

This is not minor. These permitting requirements exist to protect communities from exposure to hazardous emissions.

City officials celebrate xAI’s arrival as an economic win as they downplay the serious health and environmental risks and impacts.

E&E News reported in May, citing the data from environmental groups it had reviewed, “In just 11 months since the company arrived in Memphis, xAI has become one of Shelby County’s largest emitters of smog-producing nitrogen oxides.” Smog is linked to increased rates of asthma and respiratory illnesses. Rather than halt operations, xAI is now asking the Health Department to approve a permit that would allow it to permanently operate 15 gas turbines 24/7.

When 35 turbines were photographed at the site in March, far more than what had been reported, I asked Memphis Mayor Paul Young about them, and he told me only 14 turbines were active and that the rest were being stored there. SELC, however, used thermal imaging to determine that at least 33 turbines were in use. Mayor Young has dismissed xAI’s emissions as “minimal,” despite estimates that the turbines emit 1,200 to 2,000 tons of smog-forming NOx annually. City officials celebrate xAI’s arrival as an economic win as they downplay the serious health and environmental risks and impacts.

An example of this is the irresponsible pollution report the city of Memphis released Tuesday. According to the report, unspecified air monitors were placed in two areas in southwest Memphis and at City Hall downtown on two different days for less than 12 hours each day. The minuscule nature of the testing notwithstanding, the data did not include any testing results for ground-level ozone or smog.

Gas turbines are seen in the distance outside
Methane gas turbines that help power Elon Musk’s xAI facility in Memphis, Tenn., on April 26.Noah Stewart for NBC News

According to AirNowthe federal government’s website that is home to the U.S. Air Quality Index, ground-level ozone, a major component of smog, is one of five major pollutants the Environmental Protection Agency measures to establish a particular community’s air quality index. Still, the city described its limited findings as “definitive and reassuring.” We deserve better than such misleading reports sanctioned by our mayor.

This pollution isn’t impacting majority-white suburbs in East Memphis or Collierville. It’s impacting South Memphis, a historically redlined, majority-Black, working-class community long targeted for industrial zoning. Our neighborhoods have been burdened for generations by landfills, chemical plants and toxic industries. xAI’s turbines continue that legacy. Once again, our health is being threatened for someone else’s profit.

When children in our community struggle to breathe, when our elders are rushed to the ER during Code Orange air days, we’re told this is the cost of economic progress. But we refuse to allow our lives to be collateral damage for this so-called “progress.”

We refuse to allow our lives to be collateral damage for this so-called “progress.”

Now xAI is expanding. The company recently acquired 100 acres and a 1 million-square-foot warehouse in Whitehaven — another majority-Black Memphis neighborhood — to house a second data center just 8 miles from Colossus and a half-mile from John P. Freeman Schoolattended by students in grades K-8. Although the Memphis Chamber of Commerce claims xAI will not use turbines at the site, according to SELC, the permit application xAI affiliate CTC Property submitted on behalf of xAI to the EPA contemplates operating 40 to 90 gas turbines at the site. Independent filings and local reporting also suggest the company may partner with a new corporate entity, Stateline Power Solutions, to place these turbines in Southavenabout a mile from the Whitehaven facility.

Pollution does not stop at state lines. I recently joined Southaven faith leaders and political leaders to speak out against this expansion. We deserve clean air whether we are in Tennessee, Mississippi or Arkansas, and this project threatens it.

The truth is out. The people are watching. And we are demanding accountability. The people of South Memphis and Southaven deserve better. We deserve leaders who protect our right to clean air — not ones who excuse corporate pollution. We deserve a permitting process that upholds the law — not one that allows flagrant violations to go unchallenged.

To the Shelby County Health Department and elected officials: Deny the permit. Do not reward what we believe to be illegal activity. Do not validate secrecy. Do not let our communities pay the price for a billionaire’s ambition.

Deny the permit, protect the people and deliver justice. Our people-powered movement is not going anywhere. We will stand as Davids against Goliath and win.

Justin J. Pearson

Justin J. Pearson represents the 86th District in the Tennessee House of Representatives.

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Trump admin plans to plunge FEMA money into a medieval-style immigration facility

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Trump admin plans to plunge FEMA money into a medieval-style immigration facility

The Trump administration is planning to potentially plunge millions of American tax dollars into a new anti-immigrant pet project in Florida that sounds like it was pulled from medieval times.

You may have heard of the so-called Alligator Alcatraz being constructed in the Everglades. If not, it’s basically an old airfield that Florida Republicans are turning into a tent-filled detention facility for immigrants — and which will be surrounded by fearsome reptiles.

As The New York Times reports:

The remote facility, composed of large tents, and other planned facilities will cost the state around $450 million a year to run, but Florida can request some reimbursement from the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said Tricia McLaughlin, a spokeswoman for the Department of Homeland Security.

Florida’s attorney general, James Uthmeier, a Trump ally who has pushed to build the detention center in the Everglades, has said the state will not need to invest much in security because the area is surrounded by dangerous wildlife, including alligators and pythons. A spokesperson for the attorney general said work on the new facility started on Monday morning.

One might say using FEMA money for such a project — after Trump has denied such aid for residents in Democratic-led states — is cruel and deranged.

As the administration also withholds congressionally authorized funding for everything from to cancer research to efforts against child sex traffickingthis moat … thing … is apparently a more worthy use of our tax dollars. The plan is part of an effort to help the administration ramp up its mass deportation agenda, which has ensnared American citizens and is largely targeting people with no criminal convictions to speak of — contradicting Trump’s campaign rhetoric that his deportations would target hardened criminals.

One might say using FEMA money for such a project — after Trump has denied such aid for residents in Democratic-led states — is cruel and deranged.

As the Times noted, Trump repeatedly floated the idea of building a border moat filled with alligators or snakes during his first term. The plan also sounds quite similar to a plan he floated for homeless people back in 2022which he conceded would be controversial but said would involve “high-quality tents” on “large parcels of inexpensive land in the outer reaches of the cities.”

Unlike in 2019, when Trump’s administration considered using FEMA money for another archaic anti-immigrant project — a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border — the president’s wish for medieval-style immigration enforcement seems like it’s on the verge of becoming reality in this case.

It’s worth noting, though, that the administration already is facing backlash over reportedly inhumane conditions being foisted on immigrants in detention centers across the country. And it seems more than a little presumptuous to think treatment will be much better in what effectively is a jail for immigrants encircled by snakes and alligators.

An isolated airfield in the Everglades, about 45 miles west of Miami, is just days away from becoming an operational immigration detention facility.
An isolated airfield in the Everglades, about 45 miles west of Miami, is just days away from becoming an operational immigration detention facility. Office of Attorney General James Uthmeier via AP

Ja’han Jones

Ja’han Jones is an BLN opinion blogger. He previously wrote The ReidOut Blog. He is a futurist and multimedia producer focused on culture and politics. His previous projects include “Black Hair Defined” and the “Black Obituary Project.”

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