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The Dictatorship

The Tea, Spilled by Morning Joe: ‘The SAVE Act is horrible legislation’

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The Tea, Spilled by Morning Joe: ‘The SAVE Act is horrible legislation’

This is the March 18, 2026, edition of “The Tea, Spilled by Morning Joe” newsletter.Subscribe hereto get it delivered straight to your inbox Monday through Friday.

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Trump promised to get the U.S. out of ‘stupid wars.’ But now he and John Bolton are on the brink of launching us into a very stupid and costly war with Iran.”

— Tulsi Gabbard, the current director of national intelligence,  while running for president as a Democrat in 2019

JOE’S NOTE

David Drucker, writer for The Dispatch and an opinion columnist for Bloomberg News, joined us today to break down the voter dynamics among registered Democratic voters amid the results from Tuesday’s elections in Illinois.

JS: David, what did last night’s election results in Illinois say about the strength of moderate candidates in the Democratic Party?

DD: Well, a Democratic poll for Third Way, a centrist think tank, found that the typical Democratic primary voter is a white woman over 55 without a college degree. Most Democratic primary voters end up being white, female, older, and not college-educated.

JS: What was your takeaway?

DD: It confirms a familiar pattern. In both parties, the most pragmatic presidential candidate usually wins the nomination. Voters may like passion, but when it’s time to choose, they go with electability.

The poll also showed voters want a fighter willing to take on Republicans, but their own views aren’t far left.

JS: After rarely discussing faith on the campaign trail for years, Democrats seem more comfortable doing so now. Is this why?

DD: One surprise to me was that 57% of Democratic primary voters identify as Christian, many as evangelical or born-again. It’s a reminder that most Democratic voters resemble mainstream America. If you want to win in 2028, you need to appeal to that middle, not just the progressive fringe.

JS: I noticed the same divide during the 2020 Democratic debates — candidates focused on Twitter instead of voters. [Joe] Biden was the lone moderate, and he swept the primaries after South Carolina.

MB: Why do you think that happened when the energy seemed to be with other Democratic candidates?

JS: Younger voters are more left-leaning. But for now, the average Democrat is a 55-year-old white woman who makes up a centrist coalition with voters of color who tend to be moderate, especially Black women and many Hispanic voters. Despite the online noise, Democrats still win from the middle.

Elisabeth Bumiller: Exactly. Every Democratic president for decades — Biden, Obama, Clinton, Carter — has been a moderate. That could change, with younger progressives like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez or New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani energizing the base. But for now, the center still defines the party.

It is striking, though, that the average primary voter isn’t college-educated, given Democrats’ reputation as the party of the educated class.

DD: Right. These are self-identified primary voters. The party’s base has become more college-educated overall, but this shows how the primary electorate differs. Democrats have moved somewhat left over time, but the average voter still sees themselves as center-left, pragmatic, and tolerant of disagreement. They want fighters who focus on priorities, not purity tests. Biden’s success in 2020 proves that dynamic still holds.

JS: And to be clear, no one’s saying Democrats are conservative — just that they may be less progressive as a whole than social media suggests.

CHART OF THE DAY

EYES WIDE SHUT

ILLUSTRATION: NATALIE SANDERS / MS NOW

It happens to all of us: You snap awake in the middle of the night, the room still dark, your alarm hours away — and you just can’t get back to sleep.

About 1 in 5 Americans experiences this kind of middle-of-the-night insomnia, according to The Washington Post. If you’re one of them, a simple breathing trick may help.

Try the 4-7-8 method: Inhale for four seconds, hold for seven, then exhale slowly for eight. Repeat until your body starts to settle.

If that doesn’t work, you might try a cognitive shuffle or progressive muscle relaxation. And, of course, leave your phone alone.

ON THIS DATE

Bettmann Archive/Getty Images Bettmann Archive

In 1990, thieves posing as police officers slipped into Boston’s Isabella Stewart Gardner Museum and made off with 13 works of art — among them paintings by Rembrandt and Vermeer — valued at more than $500 million.

More than three decades later, it remains the largest unsolved art heist in history and is the subject of the Netflix docuseries “This Is a Robbery,” directed and co-produced by the Barnicle boys!

A CONVERSATION WITH SEN. MARK KELLY

was. Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona joined “Morning Joe” ahead of the briefing to discuss his views on the conflict — and the answers he says the American people deserve.

JS: Senator, you know what it’s like to go into combat. What’s on your mind today when you think about those serving in the U.S. military?

MK: We’ve got the most incredible men and women serving this country, and I think it’s fair to say their family members are serving as well. It’s challenging to live that life. They deserve to have a government that’s looking out for their best interests, and I’m not sure that’s the case right now.

JS: What would you tell loved ones watching the news, nervous about their sons or daughters being deployed in the Middle East?

MK: It’s challenging, because the president entered this war without a strategic goal, without a plan, without a timeline.

I tell them I’ve got their backs — I’ll keep pushing this administration to make better decisions and hold them accountable when they don’t.

JS: You’re heading today into a major intelligence briefing. What’s the key question you need answered?

MK: I want to know how these decisions are actually making Americans safer — because right now, it doesn’t look that way. The president is surrounded by people who won’t challenge him, and that’s dangerous, especially on matters of national security.

When I was in charge of the space shuttle, I used to tell my crew members that they were required to question my decisions, especially when it came to safety or mission success.

JL: There are now real questions about whether Iran was an imminent threat. How do you plan to address that today?

MK: I want clarity on what intelligence was presented to the president — and whether anyone raised concerns about the risks, including in the Strait of Hormuz.

The president doesn’t seem to fully understand the military’s capabilities or how it operates.

JS: Senator, let’s talk about the SAVE Act. People on social media keep pushing the lie that it’s the only way to save America. What’s really going on here?

MK: This goes far beyond voter ID. People would have to re-register, and many wouldn’t even be able to use a military ID. It puts real barriers in front of working people and seniors who may not have the documents required.

We’re going to do everything we can to stop this. The SAVE Act is horrible legislation that would take our country back decades.

This conversation has been condensed and edited for brevity and clarity.

EXTRA HOT TEA

1 IN 9.2 QUINTILLION

— The mathematical odds of successfully predicting an entire March Madness bracket

ONE MORE SHOT

GARY MILLER/GETTY IMAGES

Willie Nelson performs in concert during the 11th Annual Luck Potluck at Luck Ranch last night in Spicewood, Texas.

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The Dictatorship

Monday’s Campaign Round-Up, 6.22.26: Why Trump backed both Republicans in a key S.C. race

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Monday’s Campaign Round-Up, 6.22.26: Why Trump backed both Republicans in a key S.C. race

Today’s installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.

* In South Carolina’s gubernatorial raceDonald Trump endorsed Lt. Gov. Pam Evette last month. Last week, however, ahead of this week’s primary runoff election in the race, the president published an online item telling voters that “you can’t go wrong” with either Evette or state Attorney General Alan Wilson.

If this sounds at all familiar, it’s because Trump has done this before. Around this time two years ago, for example, he endorsed both Republicans running in a congressional primary in Arizona. And two years before that, he endorsed two leading contenders in a Senate primary in Missouri.

Only the president can say for sure why he ended up endorsing Evette and Wilson in the South Carolina race, though it’s worth emphasizing for context that GOP primary voters have already ignored his direction into two gubernatorial primaries this month, and it stands to reason that he hoped to avoid a third.

* We’re one day away from a variety of notable racesincluding but not limited to South Carolina’s gubernatorial race. There are also some congressional primaries in a handful of statesincluding Maryland, New York and Utah.

* In took a while, but the ballots have been tallied under Maine’s ranked-choice systemand we now know that Democrat Hannah Pingree, the former state House speaker, will face off against Republican Bobby Charles, who worked at the State Department during the Bush-Cheney era.

* As for Maine’s closely watched congressional racestate Auditor Matt Dunlap won the Democratic nomination in the battleground 2nd District, defeating state Sen. Joe Baldacci, who enjoyed the backing of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Dunlap will run in the fall against a familiar figure: former Republican Gov. Paul LePage, who had moved to Florida a few years ago, but who returned to run for Congress.

* In California’s congressional special electiontwo Democratic candidates — state Sen. Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez, a Bay Area Rapid Transit director — have advanced to an Aug. 18 special general election. The winner will fill the vacancy left by disgraced former Rep. Eric Swalwell, who resigned in April.

* In a new commercial shared first with MS NOWDemocrat James Talarico has launched his campaign’s first multimillion-dollar ad buy in Texas’ gubernatorial race. In the 30-second spot, Talarico focuses on affordability and the cost of living. The state lawmaker will face scandal-plagued state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the fall.

* And in New Jersey, Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr.who has been missing from Capitol Hill since early March, will reportedly return to work on June 30according to a statement from his spokesperson. Neither Kean nor his office have offered any public information about why he has been away.

Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an MS NOW political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, Reality, and the Republicans’ War on the Recent Past.”

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Trump tries dual endorsement in South Carolina as his pick for governor flounders in polls

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Trump tries dual endorsement in South Carolina as his pick for governor flounders in polls

After President Donald Trump’s pick for governor in Iowa lost in the Republican primary earlier this month, the president argued that he “would have endorsed the other person” if he had “the proper information.”

Trump is taking no chances in the South Carolina gubernatorial primary. Over the weekend he rescinded his exclusive endorsement of Pamela Evette, the lieutenant governor, announcing instead that he would support both Evette and her runoff opponent, Alan Wilson, the state’s attorney general.

The move put Evette’s political future in jeopardy: Even before Trump’s dual endorsement, she trailed in limited public polling and was seen by political observers in South Carolina as a weak candidate with little to show besides the president’s coveted endorsement.

“Her chief distinction from Alan Wilson was that Trump endorsed her,” said Dr. Dubose Kapeluck, a professor of political science at the Citadel Military College of South Carolina.

Trump’s dual endorsement “was a kiss of death,” he told MS NOW.

Evette, who moved to South Carolina from Ohio to found a successful payroll and HR company in 2000, has been lieutenant governor since 2019, serving under Gov. Henry McMaster, who is term-limited.

In office, she has pursued meaningful but little-celebrated policies, like a key tort reform bill, according to Gil Gatch, a Republican member of the South Carolina state House and an Evette supporter.

But voters could be forgiven for knowing little about Evette besides the fact that Trump endorsed her, which he did just days before the June 9 primary. Visitors to her campaign website are greeted with a full-screen message labeling Evette as “Trump-endorsed.” The first line in her X bio states the same. Pro-Evette television ads are quick to tout the endorsement.

An accomplishment like tort reform, while noted on Evette’s website, “maybe could have been something that was highlighted more heavily,” Gatch told MS NOW.

The political makeup of South Carolina nearly guarantees the next governor will be whoever emerges on Tuesday between Evette and Wilson. They survived a crowded primary field on June 9, and nearly every challenger who fell short of the runoff publicly endorsed the attorney general.

“She’s just not a good candidate,” Josh Kimbrell, a state senator who failed to make the runoff and has since said he’d back Wilson, said of Evette.

“She kind of assumed this was a coronation, and that was never going to go over that well,” he added.

Even some pro-Trump voters were confused by the president’s initial endorsement of Evette, whom he called “a good friend, fighter, and WINNER” in a social media post in May.

“I have no clue why Trump would endorse Pamela Evette,” Leland Lemmons, a 30-year-old Trump supporter told MS NOW as he exited a polling site in the Greenville suburb of Easley on June 9.

“She’s served, you know, a decent time. I just haven’t seen much fruition of what she’s done in office,” he added.

In a post on Truth Social Friday announcing his dual endorsement, Trump wrote, “I can’t hurt one of them by only Endorsing the other, so, therefore, I am going to Endorse, for Governor of South Carolina, both Pam Evette and Alan Wilson!”

In a subsequent statement on X, Evette said, “I was proud to come in first as [Trump’s] endorsed candidate for Governor on June 9th. Looking forward to doing it again on June 23rd.”

After The Washington Post foreshadowed the dual endorsement last Tuesday, allies of Evette were quick to denounce the possibility.

“I would guess that’s fake news,” Suzanne Pucci, a member of Evette’s finance committee, told MS NOW of the chance Trump would also endorse Wilson. “She’s probably not real worried about it.”

Another close ally and supporter told MS NOW at the time the report was “a total, fabricated lie.”

“[Trump] is invested in Pamela Evette because she invested in him. He’s a loyal guy. That kind of stuff is important to him,” added the supporter, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

“With or without Trump, I think she is going to win,” they said.

On Thursday, a senior campaign aide, who spoke on condition of anonymity,  brushed off the idea of a dual endorsement, telling MS NOW in a statement, “Pamela Evette has earned the complete and total endorsement of President Trump. She is the only Trump-endorsed candidate in this race and we look forward to delivering a big win for the president on Tuesday.”

Roughly 24 hours later, Trump retracted the exclusive endorsement.

Will McDuffie is a reporter for MS NOW.

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Fears of an ‘economic catastrophe’ helped push Trump toward an Iran deal

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Fears of an ‘economic catastrophe’ helped push Trump toward an Iran deal

As last week’s G7 summit in France got underway, a reporter asked Donald Trump whether his purported deal with Iran was final. “No, it’s not final,” the president replied. Later that day — during a visit to Versaillesof all places — he signed the framework anyway.

But moments after signing his name to the memorandum of understanding, Trump offered an unsubtle hint about what he was thinking at the time. Amid applause from those around him, the American president pointed down and then up while saying“Oil down, stocks up.”

In other words, Trump’s focus had nothing to do with natural security and everything to do with the economy. What’s more, the four-word phrase was part of a larger and underappreciated pattern. The Washington Post reported:

In the more than 100 days since President Donald Trump launched a war with Iran, he has offered a shifting list of reasons for why he started the conflict. But in explaining his push for peace, he named a priority much closer to home: protecting the stock market.

“I didn’t want to see economic catastrophe,” Trump told reporters gathered in the Alpine spa town of Évian-les-Bains, France, after the Group of Seven summit.

As the summit wrapped up, the Republican similarly said“I’ve studied presidents, some good, some bad, some great. Not too many are great and some really bad. … And the one president I did not want to be was the late, great Herbert Hoover. I didn’t want that and who knows what would have happened.”

He pushed the same point in an interview with Axios, which was released over the weekend.

“If I went further, the stock market would be much lower,” the president said. “Now think of this: I have one primary wish as president, in terms of people: I never want to be the late, great Herbert Hoover.”

The comments came days after Trump similarly argued“The alternative to this deal was a global recession. There are stupid people who want to see a global recession. They are just stupid people.”

Whether the president fully appreciates the implications of his own rhetoric, this string of comments doesn’t just shed light on his motivations for accepting a defeat, it also suggests he saw his failed policy in Iran as pushing the global economy toward a dangerous cliff.

In other words, based on Trump’s own comments, the war he started was poised to create an “economic catastrophe,” which he was desperate to avoid — and which led him to accept a framework that empowered Iran to get what it wanted in exchange for effectively no concessions at all.

Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an MS NOW political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, Reality, and the Republicans’ War on the Recent Past.”

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