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The Dictatorship

If Trump is contemplating defying the Supreme Court, he should remember Nixon first

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If Trump is contemplating defying the Supreme Court, he should remember Nixon first

President Donald Trump’s flurry of executive orders seems destined for a showdown at the Supreme Court. Members of Trump’s administration — including Vice President JD Vance and tech billionaire Elon Musk — are already raising the possibility of defying the court should it rule against the administration. This raises the stakes for the court: a ruling against Trump risks the executive branch’s defiance, which could damage the court’s legitimacy.

Will Trump comply with its rulings? What will be the consequences of defiance? These are questions not only of law, but also of politics.

There are many historical examples that shed light on what the political fallout might look like, but perhaps the best comes from the final months of Richard Nixon’s presidency, in 1974.

Forced into a corner, Nixon complied with the court’s ruling.

Nixon had secretly taped conversations in the Oval Office, with some of the recordings containing evidence about the Watergate cover-up. In April 1974, special prosecutor Leon Jaworski subpoenaed the recordings as part of his investigation. In U.S. v. Nixonthe Supreme Court ordered Nixon to hand over the tapes.

The court’s opinion, written by Nixon-appointed Chief Justice Warren Burger, left the president with two options. He could comply with the court and deal with the fallout. Or he could defy it and send the country into a constitutional crisis — something he apparently did privately consider.

The political context is important. By the time of the Supreme Court’s ruling, Nixon’s political capital had collapsed. His approval rating hovered around 24%and his fellow Republicans in Congress had abandoned him. Everyone — including the justices — knew that ignoring the court would probably result in Nixon’s impeachment and removal.

This put the court in a strong position politically, and Nixon in a weak one. Forced into a corner, Nixon complied with the court’s ruling. He reluctantly handed over the tapes and resigned two weeks later.

Nixon’s story makes clear that, in a possible confrontation between a president and the Supreme Court, public approval and congressional support are enormously important. Nixon had neither: everyone knew that defying the court would likely have led to impeachment and removal. Trump, on the other hand, retains strong support from Republican voters, even as his overall favorability has declined since assuming office. While Nixon’s co-partisans on Capitol Hill hung him out to dry, Trump’s are standing behind him. Congressional Republicans have bent the knee time and time again, seemingly allowing his administration to exercise even those powers, such as the power to appropriate funds, that the Constitution grants to the legislature.

Unlike Nixon, Trump will not face the threat of congressional impeachment and removal if he defies the court. Barring an extraordinary political event — such as an unprecedented rout in the 2026 midterms — that will remain the case for the rest of his term. That reality could embolden him.

If public consensus remains firm, a blatant defiance of the Supreme Court could be politically perilous for Trump.

But there is a second important issue: people’s expectations. Not only did Nixon have abysmal public support, but roughly half of Americans wanted him to leave office entirely. Fast-forward to today, Trump himself is not unpopular, but many of his policies are not particularly well liked. Ending birthright citizenship, abolishing executive agencies and expansions of presidential power have proved unpopular. And large shares believe that Trump is overstepping his presidential authority. Would enough of the Supreme Court’s swing votes, such as Chief Justice John Roberts, stick their necks out to save policies that Americans dislike?

Most important is the fact that Americans firmly believe that presidents must obey Supreme Court rulings — for example, a recent poll showed that 83% of Americans(including 77% of Republicans) believe this. That is a striking level of bipartisan public consensus in a deeply polarized era. People want the president to comply with rulings, and they fully expect him to do so.

If public consensus remains firm, a blatant defiance of the Supreme Court could be politically perilous for Trump. This expectation may also influence the court itself, making it feel more emboldened to rule without fear of being ignored.

History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does offer guidance. Nixon was a politically weak president pushing unpopular views; he could not realistically survive a conflict with the court given the credible threat of impeachment from Congress. As for Trump, even though his policies are not popular, Congress is currently no check on his power. This all suggests that if Trump defied the court, he would probably survive in the sense that he would not be impeached. But it could be a pyrrhic victory: he could emerge severely politically damaged, perhaps cripplingly so.

The deeper worry is this: Trump has tested the boundaries of executive power like few presidents before him. Even if defying the Supreme Court carries significant political costs, those costs may be relatively meaningless — especially if the standoff involves elections or an expansion of his own authority. Political damage after the fact would mean little if defying the court works to secure more presidential power at the expense of democratic norms. And in the end, the most significant check would be a credible threat of congressional impeachment and removal — something that was historically present, but for now remains absent.

Maya you

Maya Sen is professor of public policy at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.

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The Dictatorship

Trump’s DOJ issues memo on plan to strip citizenship from some naturalized Americans

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Trump’s DOJ issues memo on plan to strip citizenship from some naturalized Americans

As the White House press secretary openly floats the idea of investigating New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani to possibly strip him of his citizenshipafter a bigoted proposal from Rep. Andy Ogles, R-Tenn., the administration appears to be revving up its denaturalization plans.

NPR reported Monday on a Justice Department memo from June 11which advises prosecutors in the DOJ’s Civil Division to prioritize the denaturalization of various naturalized citizens over alleged infractions ranging from war crimes to “material misrepresentations” in their citizenship applications.

In his first term, Trump expanded former President Barack Obama’s denaturalization policies. An expert told NPR why the new memo’s call to use civil litigation for this effort is particularly disturbing:

The DOJ memo says that the federal government will pursue denaturalization cases via civil litigation — an especially concerning move, said Cassandra Robertson, a law professor at Case Western Reserve University. In civil proceedings, any individual subject to denaturalization is not entitled to an attorney, Robertson said; there is also a lower burden of proof for the government to reach, and it is far easier and faster to reach a conclusion in these cases. Robertson says that stripping Americans of citizenship through civil litigation violates due process and infringes on the rights guaranteed by the 14th Amendment.

On the heels of Friday’s Supreme Court ruling in the birthright citizenship case — which undercut lower courts’ ability to stop the executive branch from pursuing policies of disputed legality — it’s safe to wonder whether and how the administration might wield its powers to target more Americans.

The DOJ memo asserts a broad latitude for interpretation as to what conduct might warrant denaturalization proceedings against a citizen. It lays out a list of transgressions, including torture and human trafficking, but also calls on the DOJ’s Civil Division to target “an individual that either ‘illegally procured’ naturalization or procured naturalization by ‘concealment of a material fact or by willful misrepresentation’” and, rather vaguely, “individuals who pose a potential danger to national security.” The memo also prioritizes the ominously open-ended “any other cases … that the Division determines to be sufficiently important to pursue.”

Given that Trump has labeled critics as the “enemy within,” has falsely framed peaceful demonstrators as accomplices to terrorism and has declared his ambition to deport American citizens to foreign prisonsthe potential for abuse here seems incredibly high.

Ja’han Jones

Ja’han Jones is an BLN opinion blogger. He previously wrote The ReidOut Blog. He is a futurist and multimedia producer focused on culture and politics. His previous projects include “Black Hair Defined” and the “Black Obituary Project.”

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The Dictatorship

Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ faces fierce religious backlash

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Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ faces fierce religious backlash

Donald Trump and the Republican Party are facing furious backlash from faith leaders and parishioners concerned about the devastating impact that their sought-after budget cuts are projected to have on many Americans.

Trump, who has attempted to portray himself as anointed by God, is pushing for a highly unpopular bill that includes steep cuts to nutrition assistance and health care programsalong with tax cuts that would largely benefit the rich. And many literally ordained faith leaders are denouncing his goals.

In a letter to U.S. senators last week, an interfaith coalition of religious leaders from across the country slammed how the bill could potentially strip health care and food benefits from millions of Americans, and for pursuing a mass deportation campaign that could ensnare some of their parishioners — a concern shared by MAGA-friendly leaders of the Southern Baptist Convention, as well.

“In our view, this legislation will harm the poor and vulnerable in our nation, to the detriment of the common good,” the coalition wrote. “Its passage would be a moral failure for American society as a whole.”

The U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops sent a letter to senators on the same day, praising the bill for seeking to crack down on abortion but denouncing other parts of the legislation:

We are grateful for provisions that promote the dignity of human life and support parental choice in education. These are commendable provisions that have long been sought by the Church. However, we must also urge you to make drastic changes to the provisions that will harm the poor and vulnerable. This bill raises taxes on the working poor while simultaneously giving large tax cuts to the wealthiest. Because of this, millions of poor families will not be able to afford life-saving healthcare and will struggle to buy food for their children. Some rural hospitals will likely close. Cuts will also result in harming our environment.

The bishops also denounced the “enforcement-only approach” to immigration in the Senate version of the bill, calling it “unjust and fiscally unsustainable.”

Meanwhile, Sen. Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., who is a Baptist pastor, helped illustrate the growing religious backlash against the legislation when he brought a contingent of faith leaders with him to pray in the Capitol rotunda on Sunday.

The rotunda has been a site for faith-based resistance to the GOP’s budget for weeks now. In April, the Rev. William Barber II was arrested there alongside fellow faith leaders Jonathan Wilson-Hartgrove and Steven Swayne as they held a prayer in opposition to the legislation. (The arrests resulted in tickets.) Five other faith leaders were arrested there the following week for doing the same thing.

At times, I think it may be easy for some to give in to MAGA’s messianic propaganda that frames Trump — flawed as he is personally — as some sort of spokesperson for religious Americans. But there’s a deep and enduring tradition of faith leaders standing up for liberalism and basic dignity in this country. And Trump’s policies — perhaps, none more than his self-described “big, beautiful bill” — are bringing that tradition to the fore.

Ja’han Jones

Ja’han Jones is an BLN opinion blogger. He previously wrote The ReidOut Blog. He is a futurist and multimedia producer focused on culture and politics. His previous projects include “Black Hair Defined” and the “Black Obituary Project.”

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The Dictatorship

Ask Jordan: Could class-action lawsuits save birthright citizenship?

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Ask Jordan: Could class-action lawsuits save birthright citizenship?

“Please explain why it appears that Justice Barrett’s opinion permits plaintiffs to resubmit their cases as a class action that would protect birthright citizenship nationwide.” — Emily

Hi Emily,

Yes — the court’s opinion in the birthright citizenship casewhich curbed the use of nationwide injunctions, left open the possibility of using class actions. In fact, plaintiff lawyers have already filed for such actions on Friday, the same day that the Supreme Court’s ruling came out.

“The Supreme Court has now instructed that, in such circumstances, class-wide relief may be appropriate,” plaintiff lawyers wrote to one of the trial judges who had previously issued a nationwide injunction.

They cited Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s concurring opinion that said trial courts can “grant or deny the functional equivalent of a universal injunction — for example, by granting or denying a preliminary injunction to a putative nationwide class.” They also cited Justice Sonia Sotomayor’s dissent, where she wrote that parents of children targeted by President Donald Trump’s order “would be well advised to file promptly class-action suits and to request temporary injunctive relief for the putative class pending class certification.”

So, just change the name of the lawsuit and it’s all good, right?

Not so fast. At least, not necessarily.

Indeed, Justice Samuel Alito wrote a concurrence to Justice Amy Coney Barrett’s majority opinion that pre-emptively raised skepticism about the success of class actions here. Joined by Justice Clarence Thomas, Alito worried that “today’s decision will have very little value if district courts award relief to broadly defined classes without following ‘Rule 23’s procedural protections’ for class certification.” (There are federal procedural rules for litigation and Rule 23 deals with class actions.)

Alito further warned that “lax enforcement” of the rules “would create a potentially significant loophole to today’s decision.” He urged federal courts to “be vigilant against such potential abuses of these tools.”

To be sure, that’s not a majority opinion from Alito, even if he tried to implicitly ascribe his views to the majority at the end there. But in practical terms, his concurrence reflects that there are at least two justices prepared to view class-action relief with skepticism. We may not learn what the full majority thinks unless and until the case goes back to them.

But hopefully the court will get to the heart of the matter sooner rather than later and declare what lower-court judges have had an easy time finding: Trump’s attempt to restrict birthright citizenship is unconstitutional.

Recall that the administration took pains to focus on the procedural aspect of the litigation, not seeking a ruling on the merits from a high court that’s been sympathetic to the administration in other cases. That strategic litigation choice appeared to be an admission that the administration thinks it would lose on the merits, if and when the justices reach them.

That made this case all the poorer a choice for the majority to have used to reach a formally unrelated decision about the validity of universal injunctions. The court could’ve taken on the injunction issue in any other number of cases.

Nonetheless, the next step in the birthright citizenship litigation may have to be another round of procedural games — this time on class actions — all while the underlying illegal order remains unremarked upon by the majority.

Jordan Rubin

Jordan Rubin is the Deadline: Legal Blog writer. He was a prosecutor for the New York County District Attorney’s Office in Manhattan and is the author of “Bizarro,” a book about the secret war on synthetic drugs. Before he joined BLN, he was a legal reporter for Bloomberg Law.

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