Politics
What makes the new monthly jobs report less reliable than most

Expectations heading into this week showed projections of about 110,000 new jobs having been added in the United States in October. As it turns out, according to the new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the totals were actually quite a bit worse than that. NBC News reported:
The United States added just 12,000 jobs last month, a figure economists say was impacted by two hurricanes and a strike. Yet, even with those caveats, the report pointed to a cooling labor market. The latest payrolls figure marked the fewest monthly job gains since December 2020, during the depths of the Covid pandemic, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics saying the U.S. effectively added no new net payrolls last month.
The U.S. unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.1%.
At first blush, this might look like a disaster. After years of robust job growth, seeing new hires drop to a four-year low, at least superficially, appears dreadful.
But this is one of those rare months in which the top lines of the BLS report only tell part of a larger story. The New York Times published this report before the new data reached the public:
The last couple of months have seen an unusual amount of disruption. First came the Boeing strike in September, taking some 35,000 workers off payrolls, plus another 6,000 from smaller strikes. Then came Hurricanes Helene and Milton, which spiked unemployment claims by about 35,000 in early October.
The article added that a drop-off in hiring “wouldn’t be an accurate representation of employers’ appetite to hire.”
In fact, economists and market analysts have issued plenty of warnings this week, explaining that the jobs report would paint a misleading picture. The Associated Press reported a few days ago that the report would “include some of the most distorted monthly employment figures in years.”
In other words, if all you see is the top line, you’re missing the relevant context.
As for the bigger picture, let’s also circle back to previous coverage to put the data in perspective. Over the course of the first three years of Donald Trump’s presidency — when the Republican said the U.S. economy was the greatest in the history of the planet — the economy created roughly 6.38 million jobs, spanning all of 2017, 2018 and 2019.
According to the latest tally, the U.S. economy has created roughly 16.5 million jobs since January 2021 — more than double the combined total of Trump’s first three years. (If we include the fourth year of the Republican’s term, the data looks even worse for him.)
For some additional context, consider job growth by year over the past decade, updated to reflect the latest data revisions:
2013: 2.3 million
2014: 3 million
2015: 2.7 million
2016: 2.3 million
2017: 2.1 million
2018: 2.3 million
2019: 1.98 million
2020: -9.3 million
2021: 7.2 million
2022: 4.5 million
2023: 3 million
Ten months into 2024: 1.7 million
This post updates our related earlier coverage.
Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an BLN political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, Reality, and the Republicans’ War on the Recent Past.”
Politics
Marco Rubio on his Many White House Roles. Plus a chat with Trump’s ‘Chief Twitter troll’
Marco Rubio joins Blue Light News’s Dasha Burns for an exclusive interview to discuss his dual roles as Secretary of State and National Security Advisor as he navigates the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran.
Burns is later joined by Alex Bruesewitz to discuss his rise from very online Trump supporter to close adviser to the president, and why vigorous online debate has helped, not hurt, the MAGA coalition.
Plus, Blue Light News diplomatic correspondent Felicia Schwartz at The Hague during the NATO Summit discusses the diplomatic efforts underway amid ceasefire talks between Israel and Iran.
Listen and subscribe to The Conversation with Dasha Burns on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Politics
Marco Rubio on his many roles, plus a chat with Trump’s ‘chief Twitter troll’ | The Conversation

Marco Rubio on his many roles, plus a chat with Trump’s ‘chief Twitter troll’ | The Conversation
lead image
Politics
With Iran, President Trump faces his neocon moment

Donald Trump’s recent decision to order strikes against Iran has seen him adopting the neoconservative vision of reshaping the Middle East through military power, and he must now see this vision through to achieve meaningful change in the region…
Read More
-
The Josh Fourrier Show8 months ago
DOOMSDAY: Trump won, now what?
-
Uncategorized8 months ago
Bob Good to step down as Freedom Caucus chair this week
-
Politics8 months ago
What 7 political experts will be watching at Tuesday’s debate
-
Politics8 months ago
How Republicans could foil Harris’ Supreme Court plans if she’s elected
-
Economy8 months ago
Fed moves to protect weakening job market with bold rate cut
-
Economy8 months ago
It’s still the economy: What TV ads tell us about each campaign’s closing message
-
Politics8 months ago
RFK Jr.’s bid to take himself off swing state ballots may scramble mail-in voting
-
Uncategorized8 months ago
Johnson plans to bring House GOP short-term spending measure to House floor Wednesday