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The false narrative at the heart of Trump’s victory over Harris

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The false narrative at the heart of Trump’s victory over Harris

Since Tuesday night’s election results were tallied, there has been a recurrent refrain as to why Democrats lost so badly — they ignored the working class, both white and nonwhite.

In what amounted to the proverbial act of coming down to the battlefield and shooting the survivors, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., labeled the Kamala Harris campaign “disastrous” and said Democrats should not be surprised that “a Democratic Party which has abandoned working class people would find that the working class has abandoned them.”

There are a couple of problems with Sanders’ argument. The most obvious and glaring is that it simply isn’t true that Democrats abandoned the working class

It simply isn’t true that Democrats abandoned the working class.

During his nearly four years in office, President Joe Biden was arguably the most pro-union president since FDR. He literally walked a picket line, supported union organizing efforts, increased funding for the National Labor Relations Board. He infused $36 billion into the Teamsters Union pension plan (an act that Sanders praised). 

Biden’s attention to the working class went far beyond the symbolic. The Inflation Reduction Act, the bipartisan infrastructure bill and the CHIPS Act all led to a fertile job creation environment — and a significant increase in manufacturing jobs, which declined during Donald Trump’s presidency. (It bears noting that all of this legislation passed in the U.S. Senate with the support of the senior senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders.) 

Indeed, since Biden took office, the U.S. economy has added more than 16 million jobs — which starkly contrasts Trump’s negative job growth rate. As for wages, the working class saw a higher increase in their pay than any other group of Americans, so much so that it undid one-third of the growth in wage inequality since 1980.

During Biden’s administration, subsidies for Obamacare grew. He forgave billions in student loan debt, much of which went to community college students. His Department of Labor changed overtime eligibility rules, boosting wages for more than 4 million workers and also increased pay for construction workers on federal projects.

Critics like Sanders would likely argue that these successes weren’t messaged properly to working-class Americans. That’s not true either. As the New Republic’s Greg Sargent pointed out earlier this week, the Harris campaign poured $200 million into ads that focused on her economic message. In fact, she outspent the Trump campaign by around $70 million on ads about the economy.

What was the content of these ads? Calls to end corporate price gouging, lower housing costs, cut middle-class taxes and protect Social Security and Medicare. Other Harris ads accused Trump of only looking out for his billionaire pals and corporations and attacked him for enacting tax cuts that were primarily directed at the wealthiest Americans.

This is the definition of an economic populist message. 

Critics like Sanders would likely argue that these successes weren’t messaged properly to working-class Americans. That’s not true either.

Yet, Biden’s record and the disparity in the two candidates’ economic messages didn’t increase the party’s support among working-class voters (which are defined here as those without a college degree). Arguably, it improved Harris’ margins in swing states where these ads predominately ran, but according to preliminary exit polls, Trump won them by 14 percentage points over Harris (56%-42%), a 6-point improvement over his performance in 2020.

Harris only did one point worse than Biden among white working-class voters, but she was still mired in the low 30s with them. Instead, her losses came among the nonwhite working class, a group with which she did 16 points worse than Biden — and 26 points worse than Hillary Clinton.

In short, under Biden, Democrats adopted one of the most pro-working class policy agendas in recent political memory, enacted much of it — and accrued no electoral benefit.

As for Trump, his main economic agenda item was a pledge to increase tariffs, which by increasing costs on imported items, would have disproportionately harmed low-wage workers. Did he have a plan for lowering housing or dealing with health care? What about lowering inflation? 

What Trump essentially offered the working class were attacks on undocumented immigrants, which his campaign blamed for much of the nation’s ills.

As in 2016, Trump served as a political voice channeling the fears, cultural grievances and resentments of working-class Americans — and, as has been the case for much of the past 60 years for Republicans, it worked. 

Of course, it’s not just Trump. The GOP’s attention to the white working class is overwhelmingly symbolic. They offer nothing substantive on policy. They oppose expanding health care access or raising the minimum wage. 

During Trump’s tenure in office, his major legislative accomplishments were a tax cut for the wealthy and the further tilting of the economic playing field in favor of corporations and not workers. While some working-class voters drifted away from him in 2020, he easily won them back in 2024 (and of course, won the majority of such voters in both elections). None of his policy positions mattered much at all. 

During Trump’s tenure in office, his major accomplishments were a tax cut for the wealthy and further tilting the economic playing field in favor of corporations, not workers.

Take, for example, what happened in Missouri on Election Day. Voters in the Show Me State didn’t just narrowly support a referendum enshrining a right to abortion in the state constitution by a 58%-42% margin, they backed a ballot measure raising the minimum wage and requiring employers to provide paid sick leave. Yet, at the same time, only 40% of the state’s voters cast a ballot for Harris, who, unlike Trump, supports both policy initiatives. 

Democrats are a party of “doing stuff” with an electorate utterly indifferent to the stuff they do.

As Larry Mishel, former president of Economic Policy institute, who has written extensively on politics and the working class, said, there is a glaring lack of connection between material reality, even material gains, and recognition or appreciation for such gains. “Partisanship shapes perceptions. There is simply a disconnect between policy, outcomes, and political rewards.”

Is there a path for Democrats to reverse their declining support with the working class? The short and depressing answer is that they likely can’t.  

Appeals to the working class might have worked for Democrats when the Republican presidential nominee was a blue blood like Mitt Romney or even a creature of Washington like George H.W. Bush or Bob Dole. But when facing off against a racist demagogue like Trump, it’s a nearly insurmountable challenge.

Moreover, the Democrats’ political coalition is liberal and overwhelmingly Black (even with the inroads Trump made on Tuesday), which only compounds the challenge. The party can’t run against undocumented immigrants or retreat on cultural issues like guns, LGBTQ and civil rights, or abortion, which are such powerful political drivers among the working class. 

In 1992, Bill Clinton could get away with naked appeals to white voters, like when he attacked the rapper Sister Souljah. Back then, the Democratic Party was around 80 percent white. Today, the number is closer to 56 percent.

Quite simply, the Democratic coalition as presently constructed doesn’t allow for the kind of political appeal that might (but probably wouldn’t) win back the working class. 

Indeed, when I recently asked a red state Democrat what the national party would need to do to win over working-class Republicans, he joked, “Firebomb an abortion clinic.” The cultural divide is so intense — and Republicans are so hostile toward the left — that it’s hard to see any reasonable way for Democrats to bridge it.

If there is any path for Democrats to return to national power, it might be in doubling down on what produced such significant political gains for the party in 2018, 2020 and 2022 — college-educated suburban voters. At the same time, they need to find ways to arrest their slide with minority voters. Or considering the fact that the last four presidential elections have gone Democrat, Republican, Democrat, Republican  —which hasn’t happened in America since the late 19th century — maybe they should just wait for an inevitable anti-Trump backlash.

But if Democrats think they can win back the loyalty of the working class, they likely should think again. 

Michael A. Cohen

Michael A. Cohen is a columnist for BLN and a Senior Fellow and co-director of the Afghanistan Assumptions Project at the Center for Strategic Studies at the Fletcher School, Tufts University. He writes the political newsletter Truth and Consequences. He has been a columnist at The Boston Globe, The Guardian and Foreign Policy, and he is the author of three books, the most recent being “Clear and Present Safety: The World Has Never Been Better and Why That Matters to Americans.”

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5 things you need to know about Pam Bondi

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One of Donald Trump’s most loyal supporters just got picked for one of the most important roles in his second administration.

Pam Bondi, the former attorney general of Florida, was chosen Thursday to be the nation’s top law enforcement official by Trump just hours after Matt Gaetz withdrew from consideration in the face of Senate opposition.

Bondi is a partner at Ballard Partners, the lobbying firm that had been run by Trump’s incoming chief of staff Susie Wiles and whose founder, Brian Ballard, is a top Trump fundraiser. She is co-chair of the law and justice division at the pro-Trump America First Policy Institute, which has been likened to a Trump administration in waiting.

Bondi is a longtime Trump ally and after he was elected in 2016, her name was floated for various jobs in the administration but it never panned out.

She appears more likely to have an easier path to confirmation as attorney general than Gaetz, who was dogged by allegations of sexual misconduct and illegal drug use.

Here are five things to know about Bondi:

She was the first female attorney general in Florida

Bondi served as Florida’s attorney general from 2011-2019, the first woman to hold the office. She initiated the state’s litigation against opioid manufacturers. It was settled after she left office.

She left office because of term limits and worked for Trump’s transition team after his first victory.

She has a close relationship with Lara Trump

Bondi has a close relationship with Lara Trump, the president-elect’s daughter-in-law and chair of the Republican National Committee. The two campaigned together against a ban on dog racing in the state.

On Tuesday, Bondi advocated for Lara Trump to be the replacement for Sen. Marco Rubio, Trump’s pick for secretary of State.

She’s a former Trump lawyer

Bondi assisted Trump in his first impeachment fight as a senior adviser and lawyer, making the rounds on TV to help his case. Trump was impeached on charges of abusing his power and obstructing congressional investigations but the Senate acquitted him of the charges.

She nixed the Trump University fraud case

In 2016, news emerged that Trump paid a $2,500 fine because his foundation improperly donated $25,000 to Bondi’s political election committee in 2013 before her office opted not to pursue a fraud investigation into Trump University. Trump eventually paid $25 million to settle fraud complaints against the now-defunct university.

Bondi said she was unaware of Trump University complaints at the time and that the contribution had nothing to do with her office’s decision not to pursue the case. Trump has said he admired Bondi for never backing away from him amid the controversy.

Her dog custody battle played out publicly

Bondi was involved in a custody battle with Hurricane Katrina victims over a St. Bernard she adopted in 2005 after the dog was separated from his family during the storm.

The family had been trying to find the dog and Bondi refused to return him. She accused the family of neglect the animal, an allegation they denied.

The family sued, and the dispute lasted 16 months until the two sides settled before trial. Bondi returned the dog to the family with food and medication.

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Trump once shunned Project 2025 as ‘ridiculous.’ Now he’s staffing up with them.

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Donald Trump spent his presidential campaign running from Project 2025. Now, he’s using it to stock his White House and administration.

In recent days, Trump has tapped nearly a half-dozen Project 2025 authors and contributors, including Brendan Carr, who Trump picked this week to lead the FCC; former Rep. Pete Hoekstra, who got the nod for ambassador to Canada; and John Ratcliffe, who was tapped for director of the CIA. One of Trump’s first selections — Tom Homan as “border czar” — was also a Project 2025 contributor.

The next Project 2025 alum to join the administration could be Russ Vought, the president-elect’s former director of the Office of Management and Budget, who is being closely considered for a return to the role, POLITICO reported this week. That’s despite Trump once calling the group’s work product “absolutely ridiculous and abysmal,” and the leader of his transition team, Howard Lutnick, saying the group had made itself “nuclear.”

Not anymore.

“I don’t think the Trump administration sees Project 2025 as toxic,” said Michael Cannon, director of health policy at the CATO Institute, who advised The Heritage Foundation project but declined to be listed as one of its authors. “So, it should not surprise us when some of the people who contributed to that effort get picked up by the administration.”

Now Project 2025 alums are slated to have key roles in his administration — particularly on the economy, immigration and dismantling the administrative state.

And with the most recent round of controversial Cabinet nominees, Cannon quipped, the Trump transition is “doing their level best to make Project 2025 look reasonable.”

Still, there are limits. Roger Severino, an anti-abortion stalwart who held a prominent role at HHS during the first Trump administration and was the lead author of Project 2025’s health care chapter, was rejected by Trump’s transition team to fill the No. 2 job at the agency over his participation in the project. Anti-abortion groups had lobbied hard for his nomination, but Trump’s team is trying to distance itself from the strict federal curbs on abortion Severino called for in Project 2025, after running on promises to leave the issue to the states.

In some cases — like Vought — it’s unclear whether the influence of Project 2025 alumni ever truly ceased, even when Trump repeatedly disavowed the project on the campaign trail. Despite those pronouncements, Vought has played a key role behind the scenes, informally advising the Trump campaign on trade and economic policy alongside Trump loyalists like Vince Haley, the campaign’s policy lead, and Robert Lighthizer, Trump’s former trade chief.

Vought wrote a section of the Heritage report on paring back federal spending and regulations, as well as Project 2025’s 180-day transition paybook. In an appearance on Tucker Carlson’s show on X, he said he would pursue a “massive deregulatory agenda” alongside Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy and be “as radical or aggressive as you can” in reducing full-time federal employees and contractors.

Officials at The Heritage Foundation, amid a rocky summer where some prominent Republicans were criticizing the group — namely, top operatives on the Trump campaign, like senior adviser Chris LaCivita — were already anticipating that their standing would vastly improve after the election. Throughout much of 2024, the think tank took the position of “we’re going to slide down a little bit and be quiet,” said a Heritage official granted anonymity to speak freely.

But by October, the official said, there were already signs that there “was less cautiousness about Project 2025 and Heritage,” giving way to quick nominations of Heritage fellows and Project 2025 contributors to Trump’s new administration.

At a book release party last week for Heritage President Kevin Roberts — whose September publication date was pushed back until after the election, amid concerns about the Project 2025 brand — Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) was among several members of Congress there to lend support for the organization.

“I told Kevin, I think it helps,” Norman told Blue Light News of all the backlash and hand wringing over Heritage and Project 2025 in recent months, arguing that the publicity would ultimately serve to be helpful to the organization implementing its agenda.

That’s certainly not how Trump’s team saw things for months, though.

Democrats proved successful in raising awareness of the group’s plans, an effort that began in February and picked up traction by early summer. Voters began bringing up Project 2025 organically in focus groups conducted for President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign. Google searches started picking up, peaking in July.

That was around the time where Trump himself issued a statement on Truth Social, writing that “some of the things they’re saying are absolutely ridiculous and abysmal,” and claiming he had “no idea who is behind it.”

Sensing a threat, MAGA Inc., the main super PAC supporting Trump, launchedits own Project 2025 website this summer, calling it a “hoax” and trying to capture concerned voters’ search traffic.

But those close to Project 2025 stress that Trump isn’t likely to adopt its recommendations wholesale.

“It was never accurate to say that Project 2025 was the Trump agenda,” Cannon said. “But he’s certainly friendly to parts of Project 2025 — particularly the most concerning, repressive parts, like immigration restrictions.”

The trade chapter of the report, for instance, included separate arguments for free trade and protectionist policies, reflecting a deep divide within Trump world over tariffs.

“Remember, you had Heritage giving 30 pages to a defense of free trade,” Cannon added. “So, there are also things in there that Trump doesn’t like and would never do.”

For Democrats, the spate of hires come as a deflating — if not unexpected — development in the transition. During the presidential campaign, Democrats went all in on linking Trump to the controversial blueprint, a controversial, hard-line conservative agenda. President Joe Biden’s rapid response team decided in February to start hammering the issue, according to a person with direct knowledge of the strategy, eventually seeing the effort take off ahead of Biden’s collapse in the June debate. Kamala Harris, after replacing Biden atop the Democratic ticket, spent at least $5 million tying Trump to Project 2025, according to AdImpact.

In response, Trump distanced himself from the project — only now to turn to some of its authors for roles in his administration.

“It’s the least surprising revelation that we’ve seen in this administration,” said Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, the possible Democratic National Committee chair candidate who hoisted an oversized prop version of the 900-page policy plan at the Democratic National Convention and railed against it during prime time. “You can’t look at something that had 140 members of the previous Trump administration who had a hand in writing this, and believe for a second that he had no idea what this was. So, yeah, it’s, ‘I hate to say I told you so, but I told you so.’”

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TSA administrator makes bid to stay on under Trump

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Transportation Security Administration chief David Pekoske is signaling that he’d like to stay on in his current role as President-elect Donald Trump begins his second term. During a segment about Thanksgiving travel with CBS on Tuesday, Pekoske was clear that he’s hoping to stay until his term ends in 2027…
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