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The Dictatorship

The Epstein fallout continues — and the House GOP is clearly starting to get worried

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The Epstein fallout continues — and the House GOP is clearly starting to get worried

It’s been a week and a half since President Donald Trump complained on Truth Social that his many, many accomplishments were being overshadowed, “all over a guy who never dies, Jeffrey Epstein.” There is a kind of truth in Trump’s lament: Six years after his death in a Manhattan jail cell, Epstein lives on — and he has Republicans in something approaching panic. It’s gotten so bad that House Republicans apparently decided to shut the chamber down early before leaving town.

Things fell apart for the GOP in the House Rules Committee, which determines which legislation reaches the House floor. Knowing how much GOP leaders would like this issue to just go away, Democrats attempted to force the House to vote on releasing all the information the government has on Epstein. “To avoid embarrassing votes on Epstein,” NBC News reported“Republicans decided to recess the committee and not attempt to pass a rule for bills this week. Without a rule, Republicans would be left with nothing to vote on after Wednesday.” Instead, House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., began the chamber’s five-week summer recess early, apparently in hopes that by the time the members return in the fall, the affair will all have blown over.

The whole episode recalls the famous line from “All the President’s Men”: “The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of control.”

Elected Republicans see a conspiracy theory as something like a bucking horse.

There are a few Republicans in Congress who believe the wildest conspiracy theories that grip some of their voters: that there are mind-control contrails in the sky or that wildfires are caused by space lasers. But for the most part, elected Republicans see such a conspiracy theory as something like a bucking horse. If they’re careful, they can ride it where they want to go, but there’s always the danger it will toss them off and trample them underfoot.

If members of the party’s base turn out to vote because they think Democrats might be trying to steal a presidential election, that’s great. If they are motivated by the belief that a Democratic presidential nominee literally kidnapped and murdered children? Terrific. The key is that the conspiracy theories don’t implicate Republicans — especially not Donald Trump.

But unfortunately for the president and his party, the public interest and the political debate around Epstein concerns real life, including his relationship with Trump. Epstein really was a fabulously wealthy and well-connected pedophile and sex trafficker. He really did die in jail, awaiting trial on sex trafficking and conspiracy charges. Both Trump and Vice President JD Vance really did encourage speculation that Epstein did not commit suicide. There really are a huge number of documents from the government’s investigation of Epstein that have not been made public.

And before the pair had a “falling-out” (in the president’s words) in the mid-2000s, Epstein really was good friends with Donald Trump. “I’ve known Jeff for 15 years. Terrific guy,” Trump said in 2002. “He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.”

After reiterating that Epstein’s death was a suicide and the case was closed, the administration faced a revolt from right-wing influencers who had been telling their audiences for years that the new Trump administration would blow the lid off everything Epstein was involved in. Then Trump begged people to talk about something, anything else, though his pleadings are falling on deaf ears. And on Tuesday, Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche announced that — at Attorney General Pam Bondi’s request — he intends to talk to Ghislaine Maxwellcurrently serving a 20-year sentence for conspiring to aid Epstein in sex trafficking. The idea that Bondi and Blanche — both Trump loyalists who previously served among the president’s personal lawyers — are suddenly interested in Maxwell for solely apolitical reasons strains credulity, to say the least.

To succeed in today’s GOP, a politician must be highly attuned to the shifting weather patterns on the right.

Where does this leave Republicans in Congress? To succeed in today’s GOP, a politician must be highly attuned to the shifting weather patterns on the right so you know what your constituents are hearing and thinking. Watching Fox News is important, but not nearly enough. You also have to know what’s happening on conservative podcasts — including those that are only partly about politics — and on X and in the various second-rate right-wing social media platforms.

The widely distributed, unruly character of that ecosystem is among its greatest strengths, but it can also get out of hand. That’s what’s happening right now; when GOP members monitor that roiling cauldron of opinion, they hear callers to right-wing shows saying they feel betrayed, while podcasters like Joe Rogan and Andrew Schultz accuse the administration of mounting a cover-up.

So it’s no wonder that, faced with that kind of uprising, most Republican members of Congress would prefer to just get out of town and hope that by the time they return the storm will have subsided. Perhaps that will be the case, though public interest in Epstein never truly subsided in the six years since in his death. For all the misdeeds of the first six months of Trump’s second term — the shocking money grabsthe evisceration of government, the assault on the Constitution — the most politically threatening scandal so far may involve a guy who died during his first term.

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The Dictatorship

Judge rejects DOJ push to resurrect Powell probe

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Judge rejects DOJ push to resurrect Powell probe

A federal judge on Friday denied the Trump administration’s bid to revive the defunct subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, another blow to the Justice Department’s ability to execute President Donald Trump’s demands.

The subpoenas sought records from a $2.5 billion renovation project at the Fed’s headquarters in Washington. The investigation alleged Powell knowingly misled Congress about the project’s cost. The accusation became central to Trump’s public smear campaign against Powellwhom he appointed to the top Fed position in his first term.

Powell’s lawyers fought the subpoenas, and the Fed chief publicly argued the investigation was motivated by his refusal to succumb to Trump’s pressure campaign on the central bank to slash interest rates, which the president said will boost the U.S. economy.

In his orderChief Judge James E. Boasberg of U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia wrote, “The Government’s arguments do not come close to convincing the Court that a different outcome is warranted.” He rejected the DOJ’s motion to reconsider his March 13 decision to quash the investigation.

Boasberg wrote in his March 13 decision that “a mountain of evidence” suggested that “the Government served these subpoenas on the [Federal Reserve] Board to pressure its Chair into voting for lower interest rates or resigning.” The judge threw out the subpoenas, but the DOJ quickly filed a motion to reconsider.

On Friday, Boasberg ruled the DOJ’s motion “ignores the fact that its total lack of a good-faith basis to suspect a crime is relevant to the second, separate question of the subpoenas’ true purpose.”

The federal government can formally appeal Boasberg’s decision, which could complicate the confirmation process for  Kevin WarshTrump’s pick to lead the central bank after Powell’s term as Fed chair ends next month.

Powell was joined by every living former Fed chair in denouncing the probe as an act of partisanship against the leader of an institution designed to be insulated from political pressure.

Two Republicans on the Senate Banking Committee, Sens. Thom Tillis of North Carolina and Kevin Cramer of North Dakota, expressed deep concern over the investigation. Sen. Lisa  Murkowski, R-Ala., called the probe “an attempt at coercion,” in a post on X in January.

Tillis is a key vote on the banking committee, which handles confirmation hearings for Fed appointees and has a narrow 13-11 Republican majority. He has vowed not to support Trump’s pick for Fed chair as long as Powell is under criminal investigation.

Sydney Carruth is a breaking news reporter covering national politics and policy for MS NOW. You can send her tips from a non-work device on Signal at SydneyCarruth.46 or follow her work on X and Bluesky.

Fallon Gallagher is a legal affairs reporter for MS NOW.

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The Dictatorship

Friday’s Mini-Report, 4.3.26

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Friday’s Mini-Report, 4.3.26

Today’s edition of quick hits.

* Iran’s military assets still matter: “An American fighter jet carrying two crew members was shot down today by Iranian forces, a U.S. official told MS NOW. The military has rescued a pilot of the F-15E, and a search is underway for the second crew member, two officials said.”

* In related news: “A second U.S. military plane involved in the U.S. war with Iran crashed on Friday, a U.S. official with knowledge of the matter told MS NOW. The plane’s pilot was safely rescued by American forces after it went down near the Strait of Hormuz. The crash was first reported by The New York Times. It was not clear if the plane, an A-10 Warthog, was shot down or crashed due to mechanical failure, the U.S. official said.”

* Crisis conditions in Lebanon: “The U.S. Embassy in Lebanon issued an alert Friday to U.S. citizens to ‘Leave Lebanon NOW,’ urging them to depart ‘while commercial flight options remain available.’ The alert said if people choose not to leave, they should ‘prepare contingency plans’ in case ‘the situation deteriorate further.’”

* A probe worth watching: “An expansive inquiry by the Department of Homeland Security’s inspector general into the handling of contracts under the agency’s former secretary, Kristi Noem, is scrutinizing her senior adviser Corey Lewandowski’s interactions with companies seeking federal business, according to multiple people familiar with the investigation.”

* The obvious call: “A federal judge on Friday reaffirmed his decision to block subpoenas from the Justice Department to the Federal Reserve on the grounds that the probe appears to be driven by a political vendetta, setting the stage for an appeal by the Trump administration.”

* Hegseth ice”https://apnews.com/article/pentagon-policy-guns-military-bases-hegseth-09cdd079f8ac28aa72b2349859e2f54e”>full of ideas: “Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Thursday that he will allow service members to carry personal weapons onto military installations, citing the Second Amendment and recent shootings at bases across the country.”

* In light of the occasional rumors about his possible retirement, this seems notable: “Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito became ill during an event in Philadelphia on the evening of March 20, a spokesperson for the high court said Friday. … Alito, 76, underwent an examination and received fluids for dehydration, the spokesperson said, adding he returned home that night, which was previously planned.”

Have a safe weekend.

Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an MS NOW political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, Reality, and the Republicans’ War on the Recent Past.”

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Trump’s military spending bonanza has Republicans overlooking the debt

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Trump’s military spending bonanza has Republicans overlooking the debt

The White House released a massive defense budget on Friday that would be historic if passed, as lawmakers and voters continue to express concerns about whether the month-long U.S. military operation against Iran could be more extensive than President Donald Trump has previously suggested.

The $1.5 trillion figure drew quick praise from Republican defense hawks, even as the plan relies on optimistic economic projections, calls for a 10% cut to domestic programs and comes amid an ongoing military campaign in Iran that administration officials say could end in a matter of weeks — though the question of whether ground troops will be deployed remains unresolved.

The budget faces steep odds in the Senate, where Democrats’ support is required for most agency-level spending proposals to clear the 60-vote threshold. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Democrats will “fight this budget, tooth and nail.” That opposition puts even more weight on Trump’s push for a GOP-only pot of funds through budget reconciliation.

Trump asked Congress for a 42% increase in the defense budget, relying on a two-track approach that could cause congressional leaders heartburn. The president has previously floated making a supplemental funding request to Congress specifically for the war in Iran, but it has not yet been put forward.

Nearly $1.2 trillion would come from the regular appropriations process, while $350 billion would come through a budget reconciliation bill designed to bypass a Democratic filibuster. Even factoring in proposed cuts to medical research, environmental programs, Trump’s planned privatization of the Transportation Security Administration, and other domestic cuts panned by Democrats, Trump’s budget would increase federal spending by $288 billion.

The document makes no mention of the expected debt or annual deficit — data that was regularly published in previous presidents’ budget plans.

The document makes no mention of the expected debt or annual deficit — data that was regularly published in previous presidents’ budget plans. An Office of Management and Budget spokesperson confirmed the omission as well as the absence of data on expected mandatory spending on programs including Social Security and Medicare, which the administration said it plans to publish later in 2026.

Throughout his 2024 campaign and the first year of his second term, Trump promised to reduce the national debt and deficit through spending cuts, tariffs and investments. According to the Treasury Department’s most recent data, the national debt currently is $39 trillion and the deficit at $1.8 trillion.

Still, hawkish Republican lawmakers showered the plan with praise on Friday.

“President Trump’s budget is truly historic when it comes to defense spending,” Senate Budget Chairman Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., said in a statement. Graham is expected to be a key architect of any upcoming reconciliation bill. “It is the most robust increase in defense spending in many years, and it is more than justified by the threats we face throughout the world.”

Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss., and Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Ala., the chairs of the Senate and House Armed Services Committees, pledged in a joint statement to “pass this budget into law,” saying the military boost would “drive the U.S. toward a defense budget of 5% of GDP — a benchmark we have long supported as necessary to maintain our national defense.”

The reconciliation pitch is logistically challenging. Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told reporters Thursday any additional reconciliation work would be “hard and cumbersome” following the months of painstaking negotiations required to pass last year’s Republican tax-and-spending bill.

Trump’s budget also envisions deep reductions after the proposed 2027 surge: The defense budget would drop by 15% in 2028 and would freeze at less than $1.4 trillion in subsequent years. Over the longer term, the proposal calls for a decrease in military spending as a share of the economy, dropping it to 2.6% of GDP in 2036.

Trump’s economic projections are notably optimistic. The budget assumes an annual inflation-adjusted “real GDP growth” rate of 2.9% indefinitely — more than a full percentage point higher than the 1.8% long-term forecast from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

Amid ongoing battles in Congress over funding for the Department of Homeland Security, the budget proposal notes that the Working Families Tax Cut Act delivered more than $190 billion for border security and immigration enforcement programs over five years, including $10 billion for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and $18.5 billion for Customs and Border Protection. Trump nonetheless requested an additional $63 billion in discretionary budget authority for the DHS for 2027 — a 3.3% decrease from the level in the 2026 continuing resolution.

The proposal calls for a wide range of other cuts and program eliminations. It directs Congress to begin “the process of privatizing” airport security screening at the TSA, projecting $52 million in savings, and cuts $1.3 billion in non-disaster grant programs at FEMA, an agency Trump has repeatedly derided as “expensive.”

The Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency would see a $707 million cut. The budget plan criticizes the agency’s work that “focused on so-called misinformation and propaganda.”

NASA would face a 23% budget cut, including the elimination of the Mars Sample Return mission.

Health programs would take broad hits. The Department of Health and Human Services would see a 12.5% reduction from the prior year, including a $5 billion cut to the National Institutes of Health, a $4 billion reduction to the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program and an $819 million cut to the Unaccompanied Alien Children program.

Trump’s economic projections are notably optimistic. The budget assumes an annual inflation-adjusted “real GDP growth” rate of 2.9% indefinitely.

The Environmental Protection Agency’s annual budget would be cut in half, with reductions to state grants and Superfund cleanup programs, among others.

The National Park Service would receive $2.5 billion in overall budgetary resources, a $739 million — or 23% — cut from last year.

Foreign aid would face continued reductions, building on the 2025 DOGE campaign that shuttered the United States Agency for International Development. The budget proposes eliminating funding for Food for Peace grants and the National Endowment for Democracy.

The proposal would also eliminate several Department of Housing and Urban Development programs that provide assistance to low-income and marginalized communities, including the Community Development Block Grant, the Homeless Assistance Program and Native American programs.

Despite Trump’s pledge to dismantle the Education Department, the budget proposes a comparatively modest cut to the agency — $76.5 billion in discretionary authority, a 2.9% decrease from 2026. It seeks to restructure K-12 programs to reduce the federal role in education and would cut funding to colleges and universities by $2.7 billion, including programs serving minority-serving institutions.

The sweeping cuts to non-military programs will only deepen Democratic opposition. And nearly all of the budget — apart from the $350 billion reconciliation component — will require 60 Senate votes to advance.

“The vision President Trump has outlined for America in his budget is bleak and unacceptable,” Senate Appropriations Vice Chair Patty Murray, D-Wash., said in a statement. “President Trump wants to slash medical research to fund costly foreign wars. It doesn’t get more backward than that, and the only responsible thing to do with a budget this morally bankrupt is to toss it in the trash.”

Jack Fitzpatrick covers Congress for MS NOW. He previously reported for Bloomberg Government, Morning Consult and National Journal. He has bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Arizona State University.

Soorin Kim is a White House producer with MS NOW.

Akayla Gardner is a White House correspondent for MS NOW.

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