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Texas redistricting already took out one longtime Democrat. Here’s how.

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Democrats were forced into a generational fight in Texas — and the next younger generation won.

As Texas Republicans pressed forward with a mid-decade redistricting plan to shore up the GOP’s miniscule House minority, Democrats scrambled to gain an edge in a potential member-on-member matchup.

For weeks, three-decade incumbent Rep. Lloyd Doggett, 78, publicly insisted he was going to run in the redrawn 37th District while urging 36-year-old Rep. Greg Casar to run for a redder version of his current seat. But Doggett, a veteran of previous redistricting fights, ultimately announced last week he wouldn’t seek reelection in a newly configured Austin-area district — opting against an expensive, messy fight against a rising star.

“I think in the last two weeks Lloyd Doggett thought that some of the folks who would be with him money, marbles, and chalk … were, in fact, with Greg, and that gave him great pause as to what his chances were,” said Mark Littlefield, an Austin-based political strategist, using what he called an old Texas political aphorism.

The staredown between the two politicians — which played out before a primary campaign fully kicked off — came as Democrats have been grappling with a broader reckoning over seniority and age. The party has experienced a swell of anti-incumbent sentiment since President Joe Biden was pushed off the ticket last year, and many Democrats are steeling themselves for messy primaries. Casar, who was elected to the House in 2022 and has earned national attention for his meteoric climb to become chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, appeared poised to tap into the party’s thirst for fresh talent in any race against Doggett.

Publicly, Casar managed to stay out of the spotlight and above the fray; behind the scenes, however, he was quietly starting to collect endorsements and fundraising commitments. Meanwhile, Doggett prompted some hand-wringing in the party after he urged Casar to run in a different district. Both Doggett and Casar declined to comment.

Before Doggett reversed course, Casar was prepared to time his official entry into the primary contest with the rollout of an endorsement slate containing half of the Austin City Council and more than a dozen members of Congress from a diverse cross-section of the Democratic Caucus, according to a person granted anonymity to share private campaign details.

Casar’s allies had already prepared $1.5 million in outside spending to boost him in a potential primary, with more expected to land as energetic grassroots groups mobilized. Outside progressive groups like End Citizens United and the Working Families Party were gearing up to support Casar, too.

“There’s no question where we stand, and will continue to stand. We would have stood with Greg,” said Maurice Mitchell, national director of the Working Families Party.

Some buzzy figures in Democratic politics were maneuvering to shore up Casar’s standing. Strategist and philanthropist Luis A. Miranda Jr., also the father of “Hamilton” creator Lin-Manuel Miranda, even hosted a “Latinos for Greg” fundraiser along with Democratic fundraiser Regina Montoya. Democratic activist and actress Jane Fonda was scheduled to hold an event on Casar’s behalf, too, said the person familiar with the campaign.

Organizations like BOLD PAC, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus’ political arm, were also gearing up to fight against Doggett, who is white, in support of Casar, the child of Mexican immigrants.

BOLD PAC spokesperson Valeria Ojeda-Avitia denounced the Texas gerrymandering as “racist” and “partisan” and said the group “is prepared to go all in to defend our incumbents and ensure Latino communities have the representation they deserve.”

Casar was also already ready to launch a campaign with a formidable national team, including Molly Murphy and Madeline Conway of Impact Research. He had a launch video produced by Morris Katz, an advisor to Zohran Mamdani, ready to go.

Only adding to the pressure was an op-ed authored by a slate of Texas political veterans calling on Doggett to “pass the torch,” which helped signal that many of Doggett’s longtime backers might not stick with him through another tough race.

Rep. Lloyd Doggett speaks at the Texas State Capitol, Aug. 16, 2025, in Austin.

Despite all this, Doggett’s announcement took some Democrats by surprise: He’s the dean of the Texas delegation with $6.2 million in the bank and a seat on one of the most influential Congressional committees, the taxwriting Ways and Means panel.

But Democrats had privately blanched at the prospect of the member-on-member contest, especially between two lawmakers so closely aligned on progressive politics that could test allegiances.

Most Democrats still wish they hadn’t been forced to choose between the two men, especially with Doggett’s longstanding ties to the party.

“This redistricting mid-decade is really fucked up,” said Tory Gavito, president of Way to Win, which was set to back Casar. “When I found out that I was going to have to push toward the primary, I literally cried. It’s just not a position I wanted to be in.”

Yet even with the potential matchup in the 37th district clear, Democrats are still facing other messy contests in the wake of Republicans’ new map that could net the GOP up to five new seats. Casar and Doggett aren’t the only two Democratic incumbents being drawn into the same district, with other incumbents having to choose which of a shrinking number of Democratic or competitive seats they want to run for.

Rep. Jasmine Crockett, an outspoken voice in the party, has signaled she might run for a redrawn seat currently held by the more centrist Rep. Marc Veasey, who himself was drawn out of his Fort Worth home. If Veasey moves to one of the two redrawn Democratic Dallas-area seats, this could result in a potential matchup between Crockett and first-term Rep. Julie Johnson, whose current Dallas-area district was redrawn into a sprawling red seat.

And in Houston, longtime Rep. Al Green could opt to run for the vacant seat held by the late Rep. Sylvester Turner after the district turned redder. Green’s office did not respond to a request for comment. But doing so would put him on a collision course with the victor in an ambitious field of Democrats now running in a special November special election for the current district.

“My goal and my plan is to serve this district long term,” said Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee in an interview. He’s leading some polls for the seat along with former Houston City Council Member Amanda Edwards, who struck a similar tone: “Right now I want to focus my attention on the special election…given the fluidity, it’s my intention to serve this 18th Congressional District.”

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He wants Muslims out of the U.S., and he’s Blakeman’s opener

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Tennessee Republican Rep. Andy Ogles will be receiving an award at the Metropolitan Republican Club's annual gala.

THE ISLAMAPHOBE & BLAKEMAN: As Nassau County Executive, Republican Bruce Blakeman has welcomed Muslim residents with open arms.

He’s eaten at their Ramadan Iftar dinners, appointed the first Muslim chaplain to the county’s police force and talked about the value of Muslims as Nassau County county residents and Americans.

But as he tries to win a statewide race for governor, Blakeman is now aligning himself with a leader of the anti-Muslim faction of the national GOP — and he’s not responding to questions about it.

On Friday night, Blakeman will appear with Rep. Andy Ogles — the Tennessee Republican who has led the effort in Washington to “denaturalize” and “deport” Mayor Zohran Mamdani — at the Metropolitan Republican Club’s annual gala.

“Muslims don’t belong in American society,” Ogles has said. He’s also called Mamdani “Little Muhammad” and claimed that “denaturalizations and deportations are the only way to save the Big Apple.”

Blakeman’s team declined to comment on Ogles’ past statements or the gubernatorial candidate’s upcoming appearance with the House member.

Blakeman will deliver the gala’s keynote speech, and Ogles will be honored with the club’s Ronald Reagan Award for the Advancement of Individual Liberty. Also on the list of featured attendees are former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Council Member Vickie Paladino and former Nassau County Bridge Authority Commissioner and pro-Israel influencer Emily Austin. Tickets start at $321.

The event’s host, the Metropolitan Republican Club, is often seen as the more mainstream counterpart to the city’s far-right New York Young Republican Club. The statewide New York State Young Republicans disbanded last year after POLITICO uncovered a trove of racist, homophobic and antisemitic chats involving members of the organization and other Young Republican groups around the country.

Ogles spoke at the New York Young Republican Club’s gala in December, where he said “naturalized illegal immigrants are polluting our politics” and “the new right must have courage to deport them,” a reference to his call for Mamdani’s deportation.

Husein Yatabarry, executive director of the Muslim Community Network, told Playbook remarks like Ogles’ can have a “huge impact” on the state’s roughly 1.7 million Muslim residents as they consider whether to engage in state politics.

“It’s sad to see that a lot of politicians are leaning into xenophobia and Islamaphobia and not looking at Muslims as part of their community’s fabric, but looking at Muslims as a way to get the most rude and heinous people behind you as a candidate,” Yatabarry said.

Ogles, who wrote a letter to the Department of Justice in October asking for Mamdani to be denaturalized, did not respond to a request for comment. He faces his own political battle this year, as a Democratic mayor has found fundraising success while hoping to topple Ogles in his deep-red district. Federal authorities are also reportedly investigating Ogles for potential campaign finance violations.

On the campaign trail, Blakeman often touts his strong electoral performances in purple Nassau County when speaking of his electability statewide. He easily won reelection last year in what was otherwise a bleak year for Republicans in New York.

But his Friday night appearance won’t be the first time he’ll find himself alongside figures from the extreme corners of the GOP. Blakeman was the keynote speaker at an event honoring John Eastman, an attorney who was disbarred in California last week for his efforts to overturn the 2020 election. When Blakeman’s running mate, Madison County Sheriff Todd Hood, spoke at a Buffalo-area political club led by a man who called Mamdani “vermin,” the Nassau County executive didn’t seem to mind.

“Mayor Mamdani is a disgrace,” Blakeman said in a statement at the time. “He is anti-American, antisemitic, and anti-Cop.” Jason Beeferman

FROM THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL

House Majority PAC did not announce any investments for advertisement in New York City as Democrats guard Reps. Tom Suozzi and Laura Gillen seats.

PAC IT UP: House Democrats’ biggest super PAC touted its “largest early investment” in the organization’s history, with a notable omission — New York.

House Majority PAC’s announcement earlier today of an initial $272 million spend on advertisements includes zilch in the notoriously expensive New York City media market, where Democrats are protecting Reps. Tom Suozzi and Laura Gillen on Long Island and attempting to flip Rep. Mike Lawler’s seat just north of the city in NY-17.

Democrats, fear not. Money is on the way, according to HMP.

“Today’s initial reservations prioritize markets where rates increase significantly and there will be more reservations to come,” the super PAC’s communications director CJ Warnke said in a statement. “HMP plans to invest heavily to flip districts like NJ-07 and NY-17.” (The NYC media market covers Republican Rep. Tom Kean in New Jersey’s 7th District as well.)

National Democratic groups are working from a much smaller electoral map in New York after flipping four seats two years ago. Last cycle, HMP’s initial reserve included $16 million in New York City and $5 million in markets further upstate.

Meanwhile, the Congressional Leadership Fund — the House GOP’s main super PAC — on Thursday also released its initial advertising reservations, which the group similarly described as its “largest ever.” That $153 million investment includes $18.6 million in New York City. CLF also said it is putting money into Albany ($2.1 million), Binghamton ($1.8 million) and Syracuse ($658,000), markets that cover Democratic Rep. Josh Riley’s district — another seat that Republicans have their eye on.

Last cycle, CLF’s initial reservation included $20 million in New York City and $8 million in markets elsewhere in the state.

“House Majority PAC isn’t even spending one dollar to defend vulnerable Dem members Tom Suozzi, Laura Gillen, Josh Riley & [New Jersey Rep.] Nellie Pou,” CLF spokesperson Lydia Hall said in a statement. “They’ve given up on these incumbents while funding other offensive fantasies across the country.” Madison Fernandez

From the Capitol

The Trump administration's executive order reclassifies state-licensed medical marijuana as less dangerous.

SCHRÖDINGER’S CANNABIS: New York’s beleaguered medical cannabis program can breathe a sigh of relief today after the Trump administration rescheduled medical cannabis through an executive order. Overnight, they went from dealing in a Schedule I, federally illegal substance to one that has a pathway to federal regulation under Schedule III.

What does this do for New York’s medical cannabis producers? First off, they will no longer be subject to an onerous federal tax code that barred them from taking typical business deductions like employee salaries. And starting next week, they’ll be able to register with the Drug Enforcement Administration — a dramatic shift for an industry that was viewed by the federal government as illegal drug traffickers.

The cannabis industry in New York and beyond is cheering the move as normalizing medical use of the substance. While the order doesn’t immediately change the status of the state’s adult-use market, where anyone at least 21 years old can legally shop, it does signal that the administration will likely take steps to do so this summer.

Beyond that is where things get a little murky. “There are a lot more questions coming out of this order than there are answers,” said Katie Neer, a cannabis regulatory lawyer who represents the New York Medical Cannabis Industry Association.

It could make it easier for the cannabis industry to access financial services, though that remains to be seen. And it could draw more capital to New York’s medical cannabis operators, where there are 10 licensees that are not yet operational. It could also enable New York’s medical cannabis operators, who are under one of the strictest programs in the nation, to export their products.

“It creates a market across the world for New York’s pharmaceutical [cannabis] products … to be exported internationally,” said Adam Goers, senior vice president of corporate affairs for New York medical cannabis operator Columbia Care. In terms of interstate commerce? “We’ll see how that plays out.”

New York’s medical cannabis program launched in January 2016 with 10 licensed operators. Eight of those are still operational, and the state issued licenses to 11 new medical operators more recently.

For now, even as they welcome the federal shift, cannabis companies will be tasked with figuring out the confusing legal complexities moving forward. Some of New York’s medical marijuana businesses also sell products in the adult-use market, which creates a quandary when it comes to figuring out their taxes, and more.

“It’s Schrödinger’s cannabis, right?” said Mike Feldman, general counsel of Nabis, a cannabis distributor in New York. “It is sitting in a warehouse, and it is both Schedule I and Schedule III at the same time.” — Mona Zhang

TRAIN TROUBLES — A dispute between Amtrak and New York’s Metropolitan Transportation Authority threatens the full rollout of new Acela trains, Amtrak said in a lawsuit that represents the latest transit dispute between President Donald Trump’s and Gov. Kathy Hochul’s administrations.

The suit, filed in Manhattan federal court, asks a judge to order Metro-North to give Amtrak access to the tracks, Blue Light News Pro reports.

Amtrak said Metro-North is blocking its ability to test new trains because of a dispute between the two railways over liability for damage to an overhead power line that Metro-North blames on one of Amtrak’s NextGen Acela trains.

In a statement, MTA suggested Amtrak is trying to distract from another ongoing dispute where MTA says Amtrak is holding up expansion of commuter service to Penn Station.

In the lawsuit, Amtrak reveals an issue with its new Acela trains tangling with MTA infrastructure near a bridge in Westport, Connecticut during previous tests. Similar infrastructure problems — involving the interaction between overhead power lines and a train pole that draws energy from them — caused massive delays for commuters in New Jersey two summers ago. The Garden State and Amtrak were able to work through their issues; this lawsuit against New York suggests a broken relationship between Amtrak and Empire State officials. — Ry Rivard

IN OTHER NEWS

BILLIONAIRE BLUES: Citadel CEO Ken Griffin suggested the hedge fund might halt its planned New York City expansion after Mamdani filmed a video at his Manhattan penthouse to announce a new tax on second-homes worth over $5 million. (The Wall Street Journal)

DELAY NOW, PAY LATER: Mamdani’s team presented Hochul’s administration with a plan to delay pension fund payments in an effort to save at least $1 billion as New York City faces a multibillion-dollar budget gap. (The New York Times)

ZONE OF INTEREST: Unions are meeting with Mamdani’s administration to push for a veto of the buffer zone bill, which keeps protesters away from schools and educational facilities, as the mayor’s decision deadline nears. (THE CITY)

Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.

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Hakeem Jeffries finally gets a signature win

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Hakeem Jeffries finally gets a signature win

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Oversight members split over whether to pardon Ghislaine Maxwell, committee chair says

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Oversight members split over whether to pardon Ghislaine Maxwell, committee chair says

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