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The Dictatorship

If Trump is contemplating defying the Supreme Court, he should remember Nixon first

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If Trump is contemplating defying the Supreme Court, he should remember Nixon first

President Donald Trump’s flurry of executive orders seems destined for a showdown at the Supreme Court. Members of Trump’s administration — including Vice President JD Vance and tech billionaire Elon Musk — are already raising the possibility of defying the court should it rule against the administration. This raises the stakes for the court: a ruling against Trump risks the executive branch’s defiance, which could damage the court’s legitimacy.

Will Trump comply with its rulings? What will be the consequences of defiance? These are questions not only of law, but also of politics.

There are many historical examples that shed light on what the political fallout might look like, but perhaps the best comes from the final months of Richard Nixon’s presidency, in 1974.

Forced into a corner, Nixon complied with the court’s ruling.

Nixon had secretly taped conversations in the Oval Office, with some of the recordings containing evidence about the Watergate cover-up. In April 1974, special prosecutor Leon Jaworski subpoenaed the recordings as part of his investigation. In U.S. v. Nixonthe Supreme Court ordered Nixon to hand over the tapes.

The court’s opinion, written by Nixon-appointed Chief Justice Warren Burger, left the president with two options. He could comply with the court and deal with the fallout. Or he could defy it and send the country into a constitutional crisis — something he apparently did privately consider.

The political context is important. By the time of the Supreme Court’s ruling, Nixon’s political capital had collapsed. His approval rating hovered around 24%and his fellow Republicans in Congress had abandoned him. Everyone — including the justices — knew that ignoring the court would probably result in Nixon’s impeachment and removal.

This put the court in a strong position politically, and Nixon in a weak one. Forced into a corner, Nixon complied with the court’s ruling. He reluctantly handed over the tapes and resigned two weeks later.

Nixon’s story makes clear that, in a possible confrontation between a president and the Supreme Court, public approval and congressional support are enormously important. Nixon had neither: everyone knew that defying the court would likely have led to impeachment and removal. Trump, on the other hand, retains strong support from Republican voters, even as his overall favorability has declined since assuming office. While Nixon’s co-partisans on Capitol Hill hung him out to dry, Trump’s are standing behind him. Congressional Republicans have bent the knee time and time again, seemingly allowing his administration to exercise even those powers, such as the power to appropriate funds, that the Constitution grants to the legislature.

Unlike Nixon, Trump will not face the threat of congressional impeachment and removal if he defies the court. Barring an extraordinary political event — such as an unprecedented rout in the 2026 midterms — that will remain the case for the rest of his term. That reality could embolden him.

If public consensus remains firm, a blatant defiance of the Supreme Court could be politically perilous for Trump.

But there is a second important issue: people’s expectations. Not only did Nixon have abysmal public support, but roughly half of Americans wanted him to leave office entirely. Fast-forward to today, Trump himself is not unpopular, but many of his policies are not particularly well liked. Ending birthright citizenship, abolishing executive agencies and expansions of presidential power have proved unpopular. And large shares believe that Trump is overstepping his presidential authority. Would enough of the Supreme Court’s swing votes, such as Chief Justice John Roberts, stick their necks out to save policies that Americans dislike?

Most important is the fact that Americans firmly believe that presidents must obey Supreme Court rulings — for example, a recent poll showed that 83% of Americans(including 77% of Republicans) believe this. That is a striking level of bipartisan public consensus in a deeply polarized era. People want the president to comply with rulings, and they fully expect him to do so.

If public consensus remains firm, a blatant defiance of the Supreme Court could be politically perilous for Trump. This expectation may also influence the court itself, making it feel more emboldened to rule without fear of being ignored.

History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does offer guidance. Nixon was a politically weak president pushing unpopular views; he could not realistically survive a conflict with the court given the credible threat of impeachment from Congress. As for Trump, even though his policies are not popular, Congress is currently no check on his power. This all suggests that if Trump defied the court, he would probably survive in the sense that he would not be impeached. But it could be a pyrrhic victory: he could emerge severely politically damaged, perhaps cripplingly so.

The deeper worry is this: Trump has tested the boundaries of executive power like few presidents before him. Even if defying the Supreme Court carries significant political costs, those costs may be relatively meaningless — especially if the standoff involves elections or an expansion of his own authority. Political damage after the fact would mean little if defying the court works to secure more presidential power at the expense of democratic norms. And in the end, the most significant check would be a credible threat of congressional impeachment and removal — something that was historically present, but for now remains absent.

Maya you

Maya Sen is professor of public policy at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.

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The Dictatorship

Gavin Newsom’s new program for young men could capitalize on Trump’s failures

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Gavin Newsom’s new program for young men could capitalize on Trump’s failures

As he races to define American masculinity and set himself apart as an advocate for men, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has announced a new program designed to stem what he called an “epidemic of loneliness” that is “manifesting and metastasizing online.”

The effort comes on the heels of an executive order Newsom signed in July promoting initiatives that focus on mental health and economic opportunities for boys and young men. And it follows a presidential election that saw Donald Trump and his allies weaponize angst and dejection among some American men for political gain.

Newsom’s program, which is being called the California Men’s Service Challenge“calls on 10,000 men to step up as mentors, coaches, and tutors,” according to a press release from the governor’s office. These opportunities are to be provided through the California Service Corps and other organizations, including the YMCA of Metropolitan Los Angeles and Big Brothers Big Sisters. Per the release:

Prompted by the rising suicide rates, disconnection, and declining career options among young men and boys, these efforts aim to address this generation’s mental health crisis, while creating pathways for purpose, leadership and belonging.

Multiple speakers at the California governor’s announcement addressed the struggles of young men in the job market, which Trump has vowed to fix in part by bringing back masculine-coded manufacturing jobs — in reality, the U.S. has hemorrhaged thousands of manufacturing jobs during his second term. Speakers also talked about the suicide crises afflicting some boys and young men.

Initiatives like Newsom’s are theoretically a way to offer men practical solutions to their problems rather than the MAGA movement’s apparent salve for their woes: misogynistic rhetoric.

Things did get a bit awkward, however, when Newsom was asked questions about his thoughts on manhood as it relates to Charlie Kirk. The governor garnered backlash earlier this year for hosting the far-right influencer on his podcast and praising his appeal among teens and young men, including the governor’s son.

Things did get a bit awkward, however, when Newsom was asked questions about his thoughts on manhood as it relates to Charlie Kirk.

Kirk, who was fatally shot at a Utah university last weekwas known for peddling blatant misogyny, such as his saying that Taylor Swift should “submit” to her future husbandand violently hypermasculine rhetoric, like his suggestion that men should come out of the stands to physically prevent trans swimmers from competing. In many ways, it can be said Kirk and his movement capitalized on the “epidemic of loneliness” among young men who have occasionally misdirected their anger at women and trans people, and aided the metastasis — to borrow Newsom’s term — of that toxic masculinity across the internet.

Nonetheless, Newsom said Monday that “obviously Charlie Kirk was a master at not only the work he did online but offlineand his capacity to organize,” while calling on parents to gain a better understanding of the so-called manosphere — the collection of online communities where toxic and misogynistic rhetoric from Kirk and others has thrived.

Ja’han Jones

Ja’han Jones is an BLN opinion blogger. He previously wrote The ReidOut Blog. He is a futurist and multimedia producer focused on culture and politics. His previous projects include “Black Hair Defined” and the “Black Obituary Project.”

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The Dictatorship

Call Jimmy Kimmel’s suspension exactly what it is

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Call Jimmy Kimmel’s suspension exactly what it is

Wednesday I published a column responding to the Trump administration’s opportunistic crackdown on dissent following Charlie Kirk’s horrific assassination: “What’s needed now is courage,” I wrote. “Corporations, nonprofits, colleges and other institutions must understand — if it isn’t evident already — that capitulation will not save you. This is a lawless bandit of an administration that disdains the First Amendment as much as any other constitutional limit on the federal government’s power, no matter how much it brands itself a champion of free speech.”

Almost on cue, ABC demonstrated my point and suspended late-night host Jimmy Kimmel for comments he made in a monologue that seemed to characterize Kirk’s assassin as “one of them” — referring to the MAGA movement — though there was no evidence of that at the time, and the charging documents released Tuesday, a day after Kimmel made these comments, suggest the suspect was deeply ideologically opposed to Kirk. That suspension followed an explicit threat to the companies that broadcast Kimmel’s show from Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr.

America, say these words aloud: “We can do this the easy way or the hard way.” Does this sound like a request?

Let’s be very clear about what happened: A government official, who openly disdains “mainstream media” and has already used his bully pulpit to influence companies’ news coverage — such as when the FCC approved the Paramount-Skydance merger only after CBS News agreed to install a “bias monitor,” who turned out to be a Trump-supporting, conservative think tank veteran with no journalistic experience — leaned on a corporation to silence a comedian for saying things the government official doesn’t like.

It’s called “jawboning,” and it doesn’t matter if a private company is the entity that ultimately took Kimmel off the air. That entity did so under duress from the government. This is censorship.

Earlier Wednesday, Carr gave an interview to MAGA podcaster Benny Johnson, a well-known serial plagiarist and propagator of false conspiracy theoriesalso known as lies. Carr characterized Kimmel’s comments from two days earlier as lies and said the late-night host was “frankly talentless and [is] looking for ways to get attention.”

The comedy critic who happens to hold the power to halt corporate media mergers and revoke broadcasting licenses also used the menacing language of a black hat-wearing villain in an old Hollywood Western film when he told Johnson, “When we see stuff like this, look, we can do this the easy way or the hard way,” sounding every bit the enforcer of what I am even more justified in calling a “lawless bandit of an administration.” Carr added, “These companies can find ways to change conduct, on Kimmel, or there’s going to be additional work for the FCC ahead.”

America, say these words aloud: “We can do this the easy way or the hard way.” Does this sound like a request?

Let’s dig into Carr’s reasoning for why he believes FCC action would have been appropriate. He said: “We have a rule on the books that interprets a public interest standard that says news distortion is something that is prohibited. Likewise, we have a rule that addresses broadcast hoaxes, and so again, over the years, the FCC has stepped back from enforcing it, and I don’t think it’s been to the benefit of anybody. Just look at the credibility of these legacy media.”

Shortly after Carr’s threat, Nexstar — which has a pending merger deal that is subject to FCC approvalannounced it was pulling Kimmel’s show from the ABC affiliate stations it owns. Hours later, ABC “indefinitely” pulled the plug on Kimmel’s show entirely.

Carr gloated to media reporters by sending cheeky GIFs. President Donald Trump celebrated that Kimmel had joined the recently canceled Stephen Colbert (Kimmel’s show has not, to date, been canceled) and called on NBC to cancel Jimmy Fallon’s and Seth Meyers’ late-night shows, as well.

The FCC chair justified his intervention by invoking the “public interest,” but during the first Trump administration he tweeted: “Should the government censor speech it doesn’t like? Of course not. The FCC does not have a roving mandate to police speech in the name of the ‘public interest.’”

The comedy critic who happens to hold the power to halt corporate media mergers and revoke broadcasting licenses used the menacing language of a black hat-wearing villain in an old Hollywood Western film.

In 2022, Elon Musk released the “Twitter Files” after allowing a small group of hand-picked journalists to read internal communications from before he purchased Twitter (now known as X). The files showed members of both the Trump and Biden administrations jawboned the company in hopes of getting it to moderate content to their liking. But despite the outrage ginned up by Musk and MAGA, people who actually understood what they were reading in the “Twitter Files” raw material found that while the company did submit to demands in some cases, for the most part, Twitter told both administrations to pound sand.

It was jawboning, for sure — an attempt to coerce self-censorship. But it was a largely unsuccessful attempt at censorship.

What is happening now is actual, successful, speech-chilling censorship. And it shows what may just be a preview of the levels to which the Trump administration is trying to make a “Reichstag fire” moment out of Kirk’s assassination — exploiting the fears of a traumatized public to use government power to silence political dissent. I expect the MAGA thought police and their civility cop allies will take issue with the comparison, but the historical precedents are there.

For good measure, Benny Johnson posted after Kimmel’s suspension: “We did it for you, Charlie. And we’re just getting started.” And Sinclair, the largest owner of ABC affiliates, in a statement Thursday called for the FCC to “take immediate regulatory action to address control held over local broadcasters by the big national networks” and demanded Kimmel “issue a direct apology to the Kirk family” and “make a meaningful personal donation to the Kirk Family and Turning Point USA,” adding that even if ABC puts Kimmel back in the air, Sinclair stations won’t “until we are confident that appropriate steps have been taken to uphold the standards expected of a national broadcast platform.” And speaking on “The Scott Jennings Radio Show” on Thursday, Carr suggested he might pursue FCC intervention into ABC’s “The View.”

As I also wrote Wednesday, “America doesn’t have time to litigate the double standards; the future of free expression in this country is at stake.”

This is not a time to “both sides” the censorious tendencies of Democrats and Republicans. This is a time to choose sides — between free speech for all and submitting to the ideological thugs who currently run the most powerful government in the world.

Anthony L. Fisher

Anthony L. Fisher is a senior editor and writer for BLN Daily. He was previously the senior opinion editor for The Daily Beast and a politics columnist for Business Insider.

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The Dictatorship

Texas man arrested over Islamophobic threats against Zohran Mamdani

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Texas man arrested over Islamophobic threats against Zohran Mamdani

By Are Salam

A Texas man was arrested last week after he allegedly made repeated threats against the Democratic nominee for New York mayor, Zohran Mamdani, Queens District Attorney Melinda Katz announced Thursday.

Jeremy Fistel of Plano, Texasallegedly made Islamophobic death threats via text and voicemail messages to Mamdani, who is South Asian American and Muslim. Some said, “Watch your f—ing back every f—ing second til you get the f— out of America,” told him to go back to Uganda, and wished terminal cancer on him and death on his family and friends, according to the DA’s news release.

Fistel was arrested in Texas and extradited to Queens on Wednesday after an investigation by the New York Police Department’s Hate Crimes Task Force. He pleaded not guilty to charges related to harassment and making terroristic threats as a hate crime. He is due back in court on Nov. 19, having posted bail. If convicted, Fistel faces up to 15 years in prison.

Katz said in a statement announcing the arrest that her office “take[s] threats of violence against any office holder extremely seriously — and there is no room for hate or bigotry in our political discourse.”

“We cannot and will not be intimidated by racism, Islamophobia, and hate,” Dora Pekec, a spokesperson for Mamdani’s campaign, told BLN. “Zohran remains steadfast in his conviction that New York must be a city where every single person—regardless of faith, background, or identity—is safe, protected, and at home.”

Pekec said the campaign is grateful to the district attorney for “treating this matter with the seriousness it deserves.”

The news comes after recent incidents of political violence, including the fatal shooting of conservative influencer Charlie Kirk in Utah last week and the June assassination of Democratic Minnesota House Rep. Melissa Hortman and her husband.

Mamdani wrote on X that he was “horrified” by Kirk’s killing, adding that “political violence has no place in our country.”

Are Salam

Erum Salam is a breaking news reporter and producer for BLN Digital. She previously was a breaking news reporter for The Guardian.

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