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How House Republicans could bypass their own budget

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House Republicans are taking up legislation that violates the budget framework they painstakingly in the spring. It’s not the end of the world for the megabill.

That’s because the majority almost always rules in the House, and lawmakers there are free to renege on prior agreements if they have the votes.

That likely means it’s curtains for the agreement brokered this spring by fiscal hawks, led by Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R-Pa.), who insisted on a mechanism tying the amount of tax cuts in the GOP megabill to the total amount of spending cuts.

But the sprawling domestic policy legislation that Senate Republicans sent to the House violates that mechanism. If Speaker Mike Johnson plows forward with the Senate plan, as he intends to do, any House member could theoretically raise a “point of order” pointing out that the legislation doesn’t adhere to budget adopted by the House.

There’s a catch: Unlike the Senate, which requires 60 votes to waive a budgetary point of order, the House can waive the procedural challenge with a simple majority.

Prompting a standalone vote on that waiver, however, would illustrate in broad daylight how House Republicans are simply ignoring their own framework, which was a product of months of negotiations between the far-right House Freedom Caucus, fiscal hawks on the House Budget Committee and Republican leadership.

Senate Republicans piled on far more tax cuts in their version of the megabill and likely didn’t include as much aggregate spending cuts as the House plan. According to one analysis by Andrew Lautz of the Bipartisan Policy Center, the Senate added $560 billion in new tax cuts compared with the House-passed bill. A final tranche of changes to the bill made on the Senate floor Tuesday further cut revenues by $20 billion while increased spending by $90 billion, adding to the fiscal violation.

House GOP leaders aren’t allowing a standalone vote, however. Rather, the “rule” Republican members are being asked to pass setting up final debate of the megabill specifies that the bill is to be considered “without intervention of any point of order.”

In other words: Tough luck, fiscal hawks.

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Congress

Jeffries calls out Republicans over Medicaid ahead of final megabill vote

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House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is blasting Republican colleagues over Medicaid as he issues extended remarks ahead of the final GOP megabill vote.

Jeffries is utilizing his so-called “magic minute” to read off letters sent in by individuals in each state who rely on benefits that potentially hang in the balance as a result of the megabill’s provisions.

After reading a story from Arizona and criticizing Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz), Jeffries told the chamber: “I’m still in the A section right now, so strap in.”

He read another story from a constituent in GOP Rep. David Valadao’s district in California, which Jeffries said has the highest concentration of Medicaid recipients in the country. The writer’s son has Down syndrome and autism and lives at home with aging parents. He requires in-home care, which is provided through a Medicaid service that could be threatened.

Jeffries said his goal in reading out these stories is to “lift up the voices of every day Americans all across the country.”

“This one big ugly Republican bill has put a target on their back,” Jeffries said. “This is a question for so many individuals of life and death … It is so extraordinary that in the middle of the night, Americans face a bill that will target their healthcare.”

The minority leader is also hinting at the vulnerability of certain Republicans who are voting to advance the bill in potentially toss up districts. Jeffries said one letter came from someone in a district “currently represented by Congressman Gabe Evans — currently represented.”

Speaker Mike Johnson predicted Jeffries would speak for an hour, but it’s unclear how long the speech will go on.

“I’m going to take my time,” Jeffries declared to applause from Democrats on the floor.

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Capitol agenda: Mike Johnson on the cusp of megabill victory

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Speaker Mike Johnson is potentially just a couple of hours away from sending Donald Trump his “big, beautiful bill,” defying expectations that he could meet the president’s arbitrary but unwavering deadline.

After it appeared to be derailed late Wednesday by hard-right holdouts, Republicans advanced the bill around 3:30 a.m. and are set to vote on final passage around 6 a.m.

During the all-nighter, GOP leaders kept the procedural vote open for almost six hours as they worked to flip 12 votes. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick was the lone Republican to vote “no” at the end.

Things looked dire until around the 2 a.m. hour, when Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise returned to the House floor saying they had the votes. Not long after, the speaker was seen talking, laughing and what appeared to be praying with some of the House Freedom Caucus holdouts.

How did they get there? Per Meredith Lee Hill, holdouts say they’ve secured commitments from the White House on a variety of topics, especially on how the megabill is implemented. But House Republicans described the hours of talks as more of a venting session for the hard-liners.

“It was more just expression of concerns and priorities that are shared by the administration,” said one person granted anonymity to relay the conversations.

The holdouts said earlier Wednesday they were discussing future legislative opportunities, including a second reconciliation package, and the possibility of executive branch moves to address aspects of the bill they don’t think go far enough.

There was some tough love, too. Several MAGA-world figures including long-time Trump aide Jason Miller and Trump’s 2024 co-campaign manager Chris LaCivita threatened the Republican holdouts on social media. Trump, who’d been privately helping Johnson press them all day, piled on pressure in a series of increasingly irritated missives. “RIDICULOUS!!!” he fired off at 12:45 a.m. as the bill was in limbo.

The mood among House Republicans is that they’re likely to pass the bill later this morning.

“I do so deeply desire to have just [a] normal Congress, but it doesn’t happen anymore,” Johnson said around 1:30 a.m. “I don’t want to make history, but we’re forced into these situations.”

What else we’re watching:

— New E&C subcommittee chair: Rep. Morgan Griffith is in line to be announced today as the next chair of the House Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee, according three people granted anonymity to discuss the plan. “There’s a good possibility,” E&C Chair Brett Guthrie said Wednesday when asked if Griffith would get the post. “We’re announcing tomorrow though.”

— Race for DHS chair: Rep. Carlos Gimenez has entered the race to lead the House Homeland Security Committee. After Rep. Mark Green announced his retirement, Gimenez sent a letter to the GOP Steering Committee on Tuesday notifying his intent to run for the seat.

David Lim, Bethany Irvine and Ali Bianco contributed to this report.

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The ‘big, beautiful bill’ is one vote away from Donald Trump’s desk

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Republicans’ “big, beautiful bill” is one vote away from President Donald Trump’s desk after clearing a key procedural hurdle that sets up a floor vote early Thursday morning.

Pulling an all-nighter two days after senators did the same, House Republicans were finally able to unite on the test vote around 3:30 a.m. Thursday — closing out a six-hour voting window that might have been extraordinary if the previous vote hadn’t been held open nine hours for similar reasons.

The discord inside the House GOP centered on Senate changes to the megabill, which first passed the House in May. Senators piled on more tax cuts and toughed some changes to safety-net programs, creating a two-front hassle for House whips that began early Wednesday morning and stretched overnight.

But the 219-213 vote on the “rule” — the procedural measure setting up final floor debate on the megabill — bodes well for Speaker Mike Johnson as he seeks to keep a promise to send the bill holding the lion’s share of the Republican legislative agenda to Trump’s desk by July 4.

“It’s been a good day — we’re in a good place right now,” Johnson said last Wednesday after the earlier, nine-hour procedural vote. “This is the legislative process. This is exactly how I think the framers intended for it to work.”

The breakthrough came after hours of meetings between GOP leadership and holdouts, exploring what executive actions or other promises could assuage hard-line fiscal hawks who were incensed about the Senate-passed bill’s budget deficits.

Action was nudged along by a Truth Social post from the president, just minutes after members of the House Freedom Caucus told reporters they didn’t want to vote Wednesday night.

“It looks like the House is ready to vote tonight. We had GREAT conversations all day, and the Republican House Majority is UNITED, for the Good of our Country, delivering the Biggest Tax Cuts in History and MASSIVE Growth. Let’s go Republicans, and everyone else – MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!” Trump wrote on his social media platform.

Within minutes of Trump’s call for a vote, House leaders locked in the schedule and called the vote. The move was essentially a dare to the Freedom Caucus holdouts to vote against the legislation that is the cornerstone of Trump’s agenda. But many more hours of talks ensued.

Later Trump shared the exasperation many on Capitol Hill shared: “FOR REPUBLICANS, THIS SHOULD BE AN EASY YES VOTE. RIDICULOUS!!!”

In the end, only one Republican, moderate Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania, joined Democrats in voting against the rule for floor consideration of the Senate-passed bill

Cassandra Dumay and David Lim contributed to this report. 

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