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Farm-state Republicans finally reach their breaking point

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For President Donald Trump, it was a brief musing to reporters on Air Force One about his plans to import beef from Argentina. For dozens of farm-state Republicans who have held their tongues as key Trump policies battered their constituents, it was the final straw.

GOP lawmakers in cattle-producing states unleashed a flurry of calls over the following days to the White House and Agriculture Department. A small group of Republican senators, including retiring Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst, cornered USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins in a private meeting less than 48 hours after the Oct. 19 comment.

This could not go on, they argued.

So far, the burst of objections has not generated a U-turn from the administration, which is going ahead with a beef import plan that Trump officials argue will both lower steak and hamburger prices for American consumers and bolster relations with a key Trump ally, Argentinian President Javier Milei.

But it has exposed the limits of GOP lawmakers’ tolerance for policies that have especially tested states heavy on agriculture. Some of the president’s staunchest Hill allies watched for months as Trump’s tariffs devastated farmers. More recently, they begged his deputies to reopen key farm offices during the shutdown. Then came the beef beef, with one GOP senator granted anonymity to speak candidly calling it a “a betrayal of America First principles.”

Even in the Trump-loyal House, key Republicans are pushing back.

Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-Mo.), Rep. Adrian Smith (R-Neb.), and Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.), along with 11 other House Republicans, warned against Trump’s beef move, according to a letter sent Tuesday to Rollins and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer that was obtained exclusively by Blue Light News.

“We believe strongly that the path to lower prices and stronger competition lies in continued investment at home … rather than policies that advantage foreign competitors,” they wrote.

The frustrations are also playing out on the Senate floor this week on a series of votes to undo some of Trump’s global tariffs. On Tuesday, five GOP senators joined Democrats to reverse 50 percent tariffs on Brazil; four Republicans voted Wednesday to cancel tariffs on Canada. While the votes are largely symbolic — House Republicans have preempted any challenges to Trump tariffs until February — the message was sent.

“Brazil had a trade surplus and the impetus behind it appears to be a disagreement with a judicial proceeding,” Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said, referring to Trump’s displeasure with the prosecution of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. “I just don’t think that’s a strong basis for using the trade lever.”

Caught in the middle of the farm-state fury is Senate Majority Leader John Thune, who has long warned about the fallout of broad-based tariffs but has defended Trump’s trade prerogatives over the past nine months.

Trump’s trade wars, during his first term and this year, have wreaked havoc in Thune’s home state of South Dakota, where agricultural exports are a major economic driver. Thune has said he’s not a big fan of the levies. This week, Thune told reporters he thought Trump’s tariff policy “is a work in progress” and declined to predict how many Republicans might break ranks on the latest disapproval votes.

“My views on tariffs are probably slightly different than some of my colleagues,” Thune said, adding, “But I’m always willing to give the president and his team the opportunity — a chance — to get good deals, and hopefully that’s the case.”

Another reason farm-staters’ frustrations are coming to a head: Trump is meeting this week with Chinese President Xi Jinping, with high hopes for a trade breakthrough among Republican lawmakers. And next week, the Supreme Court begins hearing oral arguments in a high-stakes challenge to Trump’s emergency tariff powers next week, and GOP leaders believe they need to give Republicans room to air their grievances beforehand.

“We want a level playing field. We want better terms for our exporters,” Sen. John Hoeven (R-N.D.) said, who added that he continues to be willing to give Trump “time” to strike badly needed trade deals.

Others are convinced the Supreme Court will step in and strike down at least some of Trump’s sweeping tariffs. “Emergencies are like war, famine [and] tornadoes,” said Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), the most vocal opponent of Trump’s tariffs in the Senate. “Not liking someone’s tariffs is not an emergency. It’s an abuse of the emergency power and it’s Congress abdicating their traditional role in taxes.”

But many are simply keeping their powder dry — and their reservations quiet — as they navigate their free-trade principles and loyalty to Trump.

“Where we are right now is, the president has invoked what he says are his emergency powers to implement tariffs unilaterally, and that has been challenged, and the Supreme Court is going to rule on it,” Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said.

Asked if had a view of how sweeping the current tariffs should be, Kennedy replied, “I don’t have anything for you on that.”

Amid the Argentinian beef uproar, Trump has at times shown little sympathy for ranchers and other agricultural producers.

“The Cattle Ranchers, who I love, don’t understand that the only reason they are doing so well, for the first time in decades, is because I put Tariffs on cattle coming into the United States, including a 50% Tariff on Brazil,” he wrote in a Truth Social post last week, adding that they “have to get their prices down, because the consumer is a very big factor in my thinking, also!”

That comment, and Trump officials’ confirmation that he was seeking to import four times the normal amount of beef from Argentina, set off a new wave of furor on Capitol Hill. And with Trump jetting off for a week of high-profile meetings with Asian leaders, it fell to Vice President JD Vance to absorb the frustration inside a closed-door lunch on Capitol Hill Tuesday.

“There was almost universal concern,” said one GOP senator granted anonymity to describe the private meeting, describing the room as senator after senator pressed Vance.

Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-Miss.), a Trump ally whose family raises cattle, pushed back forcefully.

She rattled off a list of facts inside the GOP lunch that essentially argued the Trump administration was blaming the wrong party for high beef prices. Pointing out that wholesale cattle prices for ranchers are down while processed beef prices are up, she suggested the country’s large and often politically powerful meatpacking companies as the reason — a sector that has been subject to a long-running and bitter internal GOP fight on Capitol Hill.

“Ranchers,” Hyde-Smith told Vance, “are not the problem.”

Daniel Desrochers contributed to this report.

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Congress

Republicans quickly push back on Trump’s call to nix filibuster

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Republicans are quickly tamping down President Donald Trump’s call to eliminate the Senate filibuster as they try to keep pressure on Democrats to end the 31-day government shutdown.

GOP leaders believed Thursday they were on track to reopen agencies as soon as next week. Then Trump threw a fresh complication into their laps overnight when he revived calls for Republicans to invoke the “nuclear option” and eliminate the 60-vote threshold for passing most legislation. Without it, Republican senators could reopen the government on their own.

But many GOP senators have vocally defended the filibuster, including Majority Leader John Thune, calling the 60-vote rule a fundamental feature of the Senate and one that works to conservatives’ benefit in the long run.

Thune has defended the filibuster multiple times during the shutdown, calling it a “bad idea” to suggest eliminating it. “The 60-vote threshold has protected this country,” he said earlier this month.

Ryan Wrasse, a spokesperson for the South Dakota Republican, said in a statement on Friday that “Leader Thune’s position on the importance of the legislative filibuster is unchanged.”

Kate Noyes — a spokesperson for Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming, the No. 2 GOP leader — said on Friday his position in support of the legislative filibuster also hasn’t changed.

Speaker Mike Johnson, who has no direct role in Senate affairs but occupies a key role in managing the shutdown, also struck a cautionary note in comments to reporters Friday.

He called the filibuster a “Senate chamber issue” but added that it “has traditionally been viewed as a very important safeguard.”

“If the shoe was on the other foot, I don’t think our team would like it,” Johnson said.

Trump’s demand — made in a pair of Truth Social posts — came just as GOP senators believed they were on the brink of convincing enough Senate Democrats to reopen the government. A bipartisan group of rank-and-file senators are planning to talk through the weekend, with some lawmakers believing a deal could be reached by the middle of next week.

“BECAUSE OF THE FACT THAT THE DEMOCRATS HAVE GONE STONE COLD ‘CRAZY,’ THE CHOICE IS CLEAR — INITIATE THE ‘NUCLEAR OPTION,’ GET RID OF THE FILIBUSTER AND, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!” Trump wrote.

He separately indicated he wanted the rules changed not only to reopen the government but to also pass other GOP priorities before Democrats regain power and eliminate the filibuster themselves.

“Democrats will exercise their rights, and it will be done in the first day they take office, regardless of whether or not we do it,” he wrote.

To change the chamber’s rules, Republicans would need 50 votes plus a tiebreak from Vice President JD Vance — meaning they could lose no more than three senators.

Republicans do not currently have the votes within the conference to nix the filibuster, four people granted anonymity to discuss internal deliberations told Blue Light News Friday.

Beyond Thune and Barrasso, Trump is already getting other public defections.

“The filibuster forces us to find common ground in the Senate. Power changes hands, but principles shouldn’t. I’m a firm no on eliminating it,” Sen. John Curtis (R-Utah) wrote on X on Friday.

Daniel Keylin, a spokesperson for Sen. Thom Tillis, said Friday that the North Carolina Republican “would never vote to eliminate the legislative filibuster under any circumstance.”

Prior to Trump’s postings Thursday, more than a dozen GOP senators had rejected chatter about changing Senate rules as the shutdown dragged on in recent weeks. Those include Tillis and Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, who both have an independent streak, as well as frequent Trump allies such as Sens. John Cornyn (R-Texas), Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) and James Lankford (R-Okla.).

And then there’s Sen. Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, who as majority leader during Trump’s first term, repeatedly fended off the president’s previous attacks on the filibuster.

McConnell didn’t immediately respond on Friday to Trump’s comments. But his office pointed back to comments he made in a recent biography: “Trump asked me to go nuclear and I had a one word answer: ‘No.’”

Some of the GOP fervor to eliminate the filibuster is coming from the House, where some conservative hard-liners have raised the possibility of muscling spending legislation past Democrats by changing the other chamber’s rules.

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), for instance, pressed Johnson on the idea during a House Republican Conference call this week, urging the Senate GOP to simply change the rules and pass the House-approved stopgap spending bill.

But other voices in the GOP aren’t sold, and Johnson’s wariness Friday reflects widespread sentiment in his ranks.

Johnson chalked up Trump’s comments to what some other Republicans speculated privately on Friday: That Trump, like GOP lawmakers, is growing frustrated by the weeks-long shutdown, which is on track to break the 35-day record next week.

“What you’re seeing is an expression of the president’s anger at the situation. He is as angry as I am and the American people are about this madness, and he just desperately wants the government to be reopened,” Johnson added.

Meredith Lee Hill contributed to this report. 

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Trump urges Republicans to kill the filibuster

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President Donald Trump on Thursday night urged the GOP to eliminate the filibuster and end a monthlong government shutdown and standoff between Republicans and Democrats.

“Get rid of the Filibuster, and get rid of it, NOW!'” Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social.

In a separate post, he wrote, “THE CHOICE IS CLEAR — INITIATE THE “NUCLEAR OPTION,” GET RID OF THE FILIBUSTER AND, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!”

The filibuster is a long-standing Senate rule that allows the minority to delay or block legislation by extending debate, effectively requiring 60 votes to advance most bills. Senate Majority Leader John Thune, a Republican and staunch institutionalist, has previously ruled out eliminating or weakening the 60-vote threshold, describing it as a “bulwark against a lot of really bad things.”

As the government shutdown enters its 30th day, there is no obvious end in sight, though Republicans and Democrats have both signaled openness to a solution.

Trump said he had “thought a great deal” about the impasse while flying back to Washington from Asia. “If we did what we should be doing, it would IMMEDIATELY end this ridiculous, Country destroying ‘SHUT DOWN,’” he said, adding Democrats would scrap the filibuster if they got the chance.

Some Democrats under former President Joe Biden, such as Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, indeed called for changes to filibuster rules to make it harder to block or stall legislation, and others called for carve-outs on voting and reproductive rights bills.

While both parties have chipped away at the filibuster over the years, Trump’s demand to kill it would be unprecedented and require a simple majority of 51 votes. But though some Senate Republicans have said they’re open to it, a few haven’t, and there’s only 53 of them, so Trump might not have the votes for his “nuclear option.”

North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis said last week the “filibuster is not going away this Congress … I think Republicans have made that very clear.” Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski, Texas Sen. John Cornyn and Oklahoma Sen. James Lankford also voiced their opposition to nixing the rule.

The Senate Republicans who have warmed to the idea of overturning the filibuster to reopen the government as the shutdown drags on include Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville, who said it was “probably a viable option,” and Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley, who said, “My thought is that I’m not willing to see children in my state go hungry … over some Senate procedure.”

This is not Trump’s first time calling for the filibuster to be axed. He called the rule a “joke” during his first term in 2017, tweeting that it was “killing” the GOP and “allows 8 Dems to control [the] country.” And, again in 2018, he urged Republicans to use the “Nuclear Option to pass tough laws NOW.”

With the Senate is not scheduled to return to Washington until Monday evening, the government shutdown is approaching the record for the longest ever: 35 days.

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Congress

Why Mark Warner is sitting out the shutdown

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Not so long ago, if there was a bipartisan group getting together to solve a problem in the Senate, you could count on Mark Warner to be involved.

The Virginia Democrat was part of the “talking stick” gang that helped quickly end a brief 2018 funding lapse. He was a part of a crew that helped cut a major infrastructure deal under former President Joe Biden, and he’s currently working with Republicans to forge an agreement on cryptocurrency regulation.

But as his colleagues hunt for a way out of the 31-day-and-counting government shutdown, Warner this time is hanging on the sidelines.

It’s a twist not only because of Warner’s history as a card-carrying bipartisan “gang” member who would frequently host gatherings at his Old Town Alexandria home. It’s also because of who he represents: His home state has the third-highest number of civilian government workers, plus tens of thousands more in military uniforms. Lawmakers from the Washington area have historically been voices of moderation urging both parties to avoid brinkmanship that could harm the federal workforce.

Yet as the shutdown’s toll has mounted, Warner and his home-state teammate, Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine, have stuck closely to their party’s line — sounding the alarm over the impending expiration of key federal health insurance subsidies and blaming the impending lapse of nutrition assistance on Republicans.

“He’s always been one of those guys who says, ‘I’ll be part of any gang,’ the sort of ultimate bipartisan leader,” said Rep. Don Beyer (D-Va.). “I think he’s just really frustrated and unhappy with the situation, the shutdown, with what’s happening to Virginians. … I think it just pisses him off.”

In Warner’s estimation, what sets this shutdown apart is his belief that it won’t be solved by a Senate gang, but by one person: President Donald Trump.

Warner publicly aired his concerns this week when he gabbed to reporters alongside Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), another bipartisan gang regular who has been involved in the current rank-and-file talks.

After she mentioned the virtues of cross-aisle conversations and the importance of trust, Warner said while Murkowski might feel free to negotiate without Trump’s blessing, “some of the others would have to get a permission slip.”

“I really do think, unlike in the past, you’ve probably got to get the president deeply engaged,” he added.

Warner’s office declined a request for an extended interview. But he confirmed in a brief exchange Thursday that he has not joined the pending shutdown talks — pointing to both his belief that Trump is the key player in ending the stalemate as well as his focus on helping land a cryptocurrency deal.

But there’s also a larger backdrop to Warner’s withdrawal — how the Senate’s partisan fault lines have hardened during the second Trump presidency.

Senate Republicans have repeatedly sidelined Democrats this year at major points, passing a sweeping domestic policy bill along party lines this summer that also included a debt ceiling hike — sidestepping a default cliff that has previously forced bipartisan compromise.

In March, Republicans drafted a stopgap funding bill on their own and then essentially dared Democrats to shut down the government. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer flinched then, but one big hint that Democrats wouldn’t be up for a repeat was that Warner did not join him at that time in helping to advance the shutdown-averting legislation. In a statement with Kaine, Warner explained that the stopgap gave a “blank check to Donald Trump and Elon Musk to continue attacking the federal workforce.”

Now he’s repeatedly voted against the latest House-passed spending patch, which would fund the government until Nov. 21. Warner has backup from fellow Virginia Democrats, who say Trump’s willingness to take a sledgehammer to the federal government this year is affecting what they are hearing back home.

“They’re viewing the shutdown sort of as a continuity of the Donald Trump term two status quo,” Kaine said. He summed up his constituents’ feelings as, “It’s good that you are fighting finally because we’ve been on the receiving end of this since Jan. 20, and it’s time somebody stands up to this guy.”

Warner, unlike Kaine, is up for reelection next year, and political prognosticators widely expect him to easily keep his seat. But Warner, 70, has taken nothing for granted politically after narrowly squeaking out a win by less than a percentage point in 2014. In 2020, Warner won by 12 points.

These days, Warner is leaning into his willingness to fight Trump and calling himself one of Republicans’ “top targets” in his fundraising efforts, even though there’s little to suggest he’s worried about a razor-thin November contest.

“I am doing everything in my power to stop Trump and his unelected co-president from overhauling the federal government so they can enrich themselves and leave Americans in the dust. But that makes me one of their top targets,” Warner wrote in one recent online fundraising solicitation.

Warner has also been sharply critical of Trump and his administration on various other fronts. As the top Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, he held a lengthy news conference Thursday to lambast the administration for briefing Senate Republicans on recent military strikes on alleged drug traffickers in the Caribbean but not Democrats.

“The one area that I thought we could maintain some level of comity … was around national security, but not from this crowd,” he said, describing the difference between Trump’s first and second terms as “night and day.”

Bob Holsworth, a longtime Virginia political analyst, said Warner’s more “aggressively critical” stance toward Trump is part of a long-running political evolution.

“It reflects the changes that have occurred nationally and certainly in Virginia,” Holsworth said. “Virginia … clearly on state-wide elections tilts blue.”

Warner has also embraced a push led by Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) in recent years to get Democratic lawmakers more comfortable delivering their message online, including by cutting shareable short-form videos. In one recent shutdown-themed clip, Warner sought to debunk “as many Republican lies as I can in 90 seconds.”

And he leaned into social media to dispel rumors being circulated from some Republicans who thought the in-cycle senator would quickly relent on the shutdown and vote for the House-passed stopgap. “Not caving,” he wrote on X.

Beyer predicted that if the shutdown does play into Warner’s race next year it would only help him.

“They’re never going to assign blame on the shutdown to him — [Republicans] have the White House, they have the Senate, they have the House,” he said. “Regardless of the national landscape, he’s been a constructive part of our polity and our economy now for a generation.”

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