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Economic growth remained strong over the summer, boosting Harris

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At Donald Trump’s pseudo press conference at Mar-a-Lago, at which he answered no questions, the former president took some time to argue that the economy shouldn’t be seen as the nation’s top issue in the 2024 presidential election.

“So I know we talk about inflation and the economy, but as to me, there’s nothing, nothing, more important than the fabric of our country being destroyed,” the Republican said, referring to his perceptions of illegal immigration. “I think what’s happening on the border is the single biggest issue, and I’m seeing it more and more when I speak.”

And why, pray tell, would the GOP nominee downplay the importance of the economy? Because there’s been a lot of news lately about the United States’ economy, and it’s all been pretty great. The New York Times reported:

Consumers are spending. Inflation is cooling. And the U.S. economy looks as strong as ever. Gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, expanded at a 2.8 percent annual rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. That came close to the 3 percent growth rate in the second quarter and was the latest indication that the surprisingly resilient recovery from the pandemic recession remained on solid footing.

The article quoted Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at the accounting and consulting firm RSM, who said the American economy right now “is firing on nearly all cylinders.”

That’s not an uncommon assessment. The combination of healthy growth, low unemployment, shrinking inflation, record highs on Wall Street, and low gas prices has led quite a few observers to marvel at the health and resilience of the American economy.

In fact, it was earlier this month when The New York Times reported that the U.S. job market “is as healthy as it has ever been” — as in, in the history of the United States — and described recent economic growth as “robust.”

A few days later, The Washington Post’s Heather Long explained in a column that by “just about every measure, the U.S. economy is in good shape. Growth is strong. Unemployment is low. Inflation is back down. More important, many Americans are getting sizable pay raises, and middle-class wealth has surged to record levels. We are living through one of the best economic years of many people’s lifetimes.”

The same day, Politico described the status quo as “a dream economy.”

The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, marveled last week at the degree to which the U.S. economy is “pulling ahead of the world’s advanced economies.” The Economist, a leading British publication, also recently described the U.S. economy as “the envy of the world,” adding that the American economy “has left other rich countries in the dust.”

Around this time four years ago, Trump told supporters that Democratic policies would “unleash an economic disaster of epic proportions” and force the country “into depression.”

Oops. No wonder he’d rather talk about immigration.

Of course, the larger question isn’t just about the status quo, it’s also about the future. The U.S. economy is strong now, but what about what’s to come?

As it turns out, 23 Nobel Prize-winning economists endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris over Trump in a joint letter released last week, explaining that the Republican’s agenda would “lead to higher prices, larger deficits, and greater inequality.”

“Simply put, Harris’s policies will result in a stronger economic performance, with economic growth that is more robust, more sustainable, and more equitable,” the letter added.

The Nobel laureates aren’t alone. The Wall Street Journal also recently asked economists a related question and found that most economists think “inflation, interest rates and deficits would be higher” under Trump’s agenda than Harris’ agenda.

“Look, you may not like Donald Trump personally, but you’ll like his policies a lot better than Kamala Harris’,” Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp recently said. The Republican added that voters are simply “making a business decision.”

Given everything we now know, those focused on the economy and business decisions should be rallying behind Harris as quickly as possible, hoping desperately that Trump loses. Indeed, The Washington Post’s Catherine Rampell explained in her latest column that the Republican is “the wrong choice” for Americans principally concerned about their pocketbook.

This post updates our related earlier coverage.

Steve Benen

Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an BLN political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, Reality, and the Republicans’ War on the Recent Past.”

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Pennsylvania man pleads guilty in arson attack at governor’s mansion while Shapiro’s family slept

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A man who scaled an iron security fence in the middle of the night, eluded police and used beer bottles filled with gasoline to ignite the occupied Pennsylvania governor’s mansion pleaded guilty Tuesday to attempted murder and other charges.

Cody Balmer, 38, also entered pleas to terrorism, 22 counts of arson, aggravated arson, burglary, aggravated assault of Gov. Josh Shapiro, 21 counts of reckless endangerment and loitering in the April 13 attack that did millions of dollars in damage to the state-owned brick building.

Under a plea deal, Balmer was sentenced to 25 to 50 years in prison.

Shapiro and members of his family had to be awakened and evacuated, but no one was injured. The multiple endangerment charges reflected the number of people in the residence at the time, including the governor’s family, guests and state troopers.

The fire was set hours after they celebrated the Jewish holiday of Passover with a Seder in the residence. Prosecutors played video clips that showed Molotov cocktails going off and a figure inside and outside the residence. Judge Deborah Curcillo called the video “horrific” and “very frightening.”

Balmer told police he planned to beat Shapiro with a small sledgehammer if he had encountered him after breaking into the building, according to court documents. Balmer turned himself in the next afternoon to face charges of attempted homicide, terrorism, aggravated arson and aggravated assault.

Police say Balmer broke in through the southern wing of the residence, into a room often used to entertain crowds and display art. Investigators recovered two broken glass beer bottles containing gasoline. The fire charred walls, tables, buffet serving dishes, plates and a piano. Window panes and brick around doors and windows were also damaged.

Shapiro’s Jewish faith and the attack during the Passover weekend raised questions about Balmer’s motivation, but Balmer told The Associated Press in a May letter from jail that had not been a factor in his decision.

“He can be Jewish, Muslim, or a purple people eater for all I care and as long as he leaves me and mine alone,” Balmer wrote.

He said in a brief June 9 video interview from Camp Hill State Prison that he did think beforehand about whether children might be injured.

“Does anyone ever consider children?” Balmer said in June. “It doesn’t seem that way. I sure as hell did. I’m glad no one got hurt.” Asked why he felt Shapiro had somehow done him wrong, Balmer replied: “I’m not going to answer that.”

Balmer’s mother said days after his arrest that she had tried to get him assistance for mental health issues, but “nobody would help.” Court proceedings had been delayed while he received mental health treatment, his lawyer has said.

At a court hearing a few days after the fire, Balmer told a judge he was an unemployed welder with no income or savings and “a lot of children.”

The residence, built in 1968, did not have sprinklers. Work to fix the damage and to bolster its security features continues.

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Chuck Schumer gets his preferred candidate, Janet Mills, in crowded Maine Senate race

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Maine Gov. Janet Mills joined her state’s crowded Democratic Senate primary as the establishment favorite on Tuesday, aiming to flip Republican Sen. Susan Collins’ seat in a pivotal midterm year.

Democrats view the seat as one of their top pickup opportunities — the only in a state Kamala Harris won in 2024 — and Mills is among a few top-tier candidates Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer aggressively recruited to run this cycle. But first the term-limited governor must contend with a competitive primary against breakout candidate Graham Platner, an oyster farmer who announced he has more than $3 million in the bank and already received the endorsement of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

Maine Beer Company owner Dan Kleban is also running for the nomination and his fundraising figures will be made public Wednesday, when federal filings are released.

In her launch video, Mills highlighted her recent fight with President Donald Trump over transgender sports and accused Collins of enabling him. “I won’t sit idly by while Maine people suffer and politicians like Susan Collins bend the knee as if this were normal,” Mills said.

Despite initial hesitation, the governor started interviewing staff and telling local reporters she was seriously considering a bid last month.

She addressed that long contemplation in her announcement, saying in the video, “Honestly, if this president and this Congress were doing things that were even remotely acceptable, I wouldn’t be running for the U.S. Senate.”

The race sets up the latest generational clash for a party struggling to find its footing after losing the White House and both branches of Congress last year.

Mills, who won her seat by wide margins in her last two races, is 77 years old, making her five years Collins’ senior at a time when Americans are grappling with debates about the age of their politicians. If elected, she would be the oldest first-year senator ever. Platner is 41 and unlikely to leave the race for Mills; Kleban, who is 48, has so far dodged questions about what he would do if Mills jumped in.

Democrats need to pick up four seats in order to win back control of the Senate, a difficult task that all but has to include a pickup in Maine, where Harris won by 7 points.

Democrats poured millions of dollars into an ultimately-unsuccessful effort to unseat Collins in 2020 — but her declining popularity in the bluing state is giving Democrats hope that next year’s race could be their best chance yet.

Republicans are eager to expose Mills’ weaknesses, and have already targeted her public fight Trump, as well as her age.

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‘He hasn’t surrendered yet’: Chuck Schumer’s critics are satisfied — for now

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‘He hasn’t surrendered yet’: Chuck Schumer’s critics are satisfied — for now

The guardedly positive reviews for the New Yorker’s leadership come as the shutdown fight enters a politically perilous new phase…
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