Congress
Democrats are ready to campaign on expired Obamacare subsidies
Obamacare subsidies used by more than 20 million expired Thursday. Now Democrats are ready to make them a centerpiece of their midterm campaigns.
The lapse of enhanced premium tax credits, first passed as a pandemic-era relief measure under President Joe Biden in 2021, will immediately hit the pocketbooks of voters — some of whom will see their monthly insurance premiums rise by hundreds of dollars.
Efforts to extend them in some fashion continue on Capitol Hill, but Democratic lawmakers and strategists are already moving to turn the expiration of the subsidies into a potent election-year attack on congressional Republicans. They note that unlike other Democratic messaging targets — such as recent GOP Medicaid cuts that won’t kick in until after midterm ballots are cast — the lost tax credits are already tangible proof of what’s at stake on Election Day.
“The public now gets that the subsidies are what’s keeping health care costs down,” said Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.). “I think the public’s angry. So I think they will blame the party in charge.”
The strategy has been months in the making. Mindful of how the GOP’s efforts to rein in Obamacare powered their massive gains in the 2018 midterms, top party leaders decided in September to make health care the focus of the government funding fight.
That posture led to a record 43-day shutdown, and while some Senate Democrats ultimately agreed to reopen the government without securing an extension of the tax credits, many in the party are increasingly confident they succeeded in putting the issue into focus ahead of the election year.
They also believe it will play into a broader messaging push around affordability — attacking President Donald Trump and congressional Republicans for their failure to address rising costs, of which insurance premiums are just one conspicuous challenge facing Republicans.
“It’s part of the top issue, which is cost of living — whether it’s groceries, gas, housing, energy costs,” said Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.). “Health care seems to be top of mind as something that Congress can actually do to bring down the costs.”
A KFF poll released in December found that large majorities of enrollees in Obamacare marketplace plans want the subsidies to continue, regardless of party. About three-quarters of that group said they would blame Trump or Republicans in Congress if the subsidies were to lapse.
Republicans have encountered difficulties forming a coherent counterattack. Trump has questioned whether affordability is even a problem, calling the focus on living costs a “hoax” perpetrated by Democrats and the media. He has instead focused on robust economic growth as a measure of his administration’s success.
On Capitol Hill, top GOP leaders have criticized the expiring subsidies as wasteful — subsidizing some high-income households and susceptible to fraud — but they have not coalesced around a plan to offer relief to the millions of Americans who buy insurance on Obamacare marketplaces. A package of health care measures passed by the House last month on a party-line vote included some conservative proposals to deregulate insurance markets, but they would have little immediate effect before the midterms.
Instead, Republicans are preparing to run on last year’s megabill, which included tax cuts and other provisions that will start kicking in this year. This, they believe, will help them hold onto their congressional majorities.
“House Republicans delivered historic tax relief for working families and are building on it in the new year,” said NRCC spokesperson Mike Marinella. “Democrats spent the year blocking commonsense solutions [for the subsidies] and are now having a temper tantrum over a policy cliff of their own making. Their inability to find a consistent message that sticks proves how out of touch they are with the American people.”
Democrats’ party campaign arm is already geared up to push a health-care focused message for the next 10 months. Its leaders have laid out why they believe it’s a key issue heading into the midterms and have already run ads and rented billboards highlighting the GOP’s opposition to continuing the subsidies.
“Make no mistake, the blame behind the skyrocketing health care costs millions are facing today is squarely at the feet of House Republicans, and the American people know it,” DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.) said in a statement. “Instead of putting forth a serious proposal to address spiking health care costs, House Republicans chose to focus on delivering massive tax breaks for the wealthiest few — never even allowing a floor vote to save the tax credits before their expiration.”
It is true no vote took place before the expiration, but jitters about an electoral backlash prompted a handful of House Republicans to take the rare step last month of circumventing GOP leadership and signing onto an effort backed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries to force a floor vote on a three-year extension of the expired subsidies.
That vote is now expected to take place in the coming weeks, though Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he has no intention of holding a vote in his own chamber, and even Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has played down the prospects of a bipartisan extension.
“Once Jan. 1 comes and everyone is locked into their insurance proposals, you can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube,” he said last month.
The purple-district Republicans said they intend to keep trying, and they are coordinating with a bipartisan group of senators that is trying to strike a late compromise to save the subsidies. But Democrats believe it is too little, too late — even as they say it is a telling move.
For the vulnerable Republicans “to come on at the 11th hour shows they get it,” said Rep. Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.). “Their constituents are going to be mighty mad, and they’re feeling it already.”
Congress
Senate Republicans ‘syncing’ immigration funding plan with House GOP
Senate Majority Leader John Thune said Thursday that GOP leaders want to make sure Republicans in both chambers are aligned as they move ahead with a party-line plan for immigration enforcement funding.
The South Dakota Republican told reporters he hopes the Senate will adopt a budget framework “by middle-to-the-end of next week,” the first step to unlocking the filibuster-skirting power to clear a package of up to $75 billion for ICE and Border Patrol.
Then ideally the House would adopt the Senate budget measure without changes, Thune said, allowing Republicans to move on to passage votes on a final bill to fund the immigration enforcement agencies.
“We’re communicating as much as we can, making sure that we’re syncing this up and doing it in the way that meets the requirements that both bodies have,” Thune said Thursday, following a meeting Wednesday with Speaker Mike Johnson for a routine check-in.
The attempt at GOP unity comes after House Republicans hotly rejected the Senate’s proposal last month to fund most of the Department of Homeland Security, where funding lapsed more than two months ago. Now several House GOP lawmakers are also insisting Republicans fund all of the department through the party-line budget reconciliation process — not just the immigration agencies Democrats won’t support without new rules on the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement tactics.
Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) told reporters Thursday afternoon that he hopes to release text of the budget framework in short order.
“We’re working on all that. Hopefully we’ll find consensus here soon. But I think we’re getting close,” he said.
“I hope we can get moving on it as early as next week,” Graham added.
Senate Republicans have started talking to their chamber’s parliamentarian as they seek to enact the party-line package — one piece of their two-part plan to end the DHS shutdown that began in mid-February.
Congress
Johnson pursues a ‘modified’ FISA extension
Speaker Mike Johnson is trying to strike an agreement to make changes to an extension of a key spy authority ahead of a planned vote Thursday afternoon, as House GOP hard-liners continue to oppose a clean, 18-month reauthorization of the expiring program.
One option under consideration is shortening the length of the current, clean bill to extend Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act to one year — down from the 18 months favored by leadership and the White House — according to four people granted anonymity to share details of private conversations.
Those people also said there’s talk of potentially adding some new language into the rule teeing up consideration of the extension measure that would crack down on FISA abuses. It’s unclear if that portion can be agreed to.
Republicans involved in the talks have been floating a short-term extension for several days — as Blue Light News first reported — if House GOP holdouts and the White House are unable to strike a deal on a longer extension ahead of the Monday deadline.
Freedom Caucus Chair Andy Harris (R-Md.) said in an interview he was fairly confident his group could secure an agreement with the Trump administration “a longer extension” by the end of Thursday. His members have been discussing an extension longer than 18 months with White House officials and GOP leaders, which ultraconservatives would consent to in exchange for Section 702 reforms.
After huddling Thursday, the Freedom Caucus prepared to pitch GOP leaders on a plan for a three-year FISA extension with “significant reforms,” according to four people.
Before this, Freedom Caucus members and other Republicans were floating a 60-day extension in the event a deal fell through. But GOP leaders have been deeply resistant to that idea, preferring a longer option that will get them through the November elections at the very least.
Asked if he would support a yearlong extension, Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) said he “probably” would, but would need to see the details of any agreement. Other conservatives are firmly uninterested in that one-year timeline.
House Majority Leader Steve Scalise acknowledged to reporters Thursday that leaders are now pursuing an extension that would be “modified” after insisting for weeks they would ram through a clean reauthorization.
Johnson, Scalise and GOP hold-outs discussed a raft of options on the House floor earlier Thursday, following a huddle on whether to pursue a short-term, emergency extension to buy time for continued negotiations past the April 20 deadline — as Blue Light News first reported.
A vote on a standalone amendment that would place guardrails on the use of warrantless surveillance tactics, for which ultraconservatives are agitating, would likely not survive in the Senate and tank the entire package, Republican leaders have privately warned.
Congress
Trump wants less spending. RFK Jr.’s ‘not happy’ about it.
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. sounded less enthusiastic about cutting his department’s budget during the first of several hearings Thursday than he did a year ago.
Then, Kennedy told lawmakers a proposed 25 percent cut to the Department of Health and Human Services was needed to rein in a bloated bureaucracy plagued with reckless spending, telling House appropriators a year ago: “We intend to do more, a lot more with less.”
Congress rejected the cuts and increased the HHS budget in a February spending bill. In front of the Ways and Means Committee on Thursday, Kennedy struck a different tone about President Donald Trump’s latest budget plan, saying administration officials had reluctantly proposed a 12 percent cut to cope with the federal debt.
He said that $2 billion in cuts to substance use and mental health grants his department issued and quickly reversed earlier this year, before the White House released its fiscal 2027 budget plan, had been a “mistake.”
And he said he’d sought again, as he did last year, to protect funding for the government’s nutrition and education program for low-income toddlers, Head Start. “It’s getting no cuts,” Kennedy said.
Kennedy did note several times that certain departments and functions at HHS are duplicative but said efforts to consolidate functions should not be seen as cost-cutting. “There was tremendous duplication of departments, we have 42 different maternal services in our department,” he said.
Addressing cuts proposed to a government nutrition assistance program for low-income people — the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants and Children — which falls under the Agriculture Department, Kennedy told Rep. Gwen Moore (D-Wis.), he was “not happy about the cuts” and that he wasn’t the only administration official to feel that way.
The White House’s proposal calls for a $1.4 billion cut to the program.
“Nobody wants to make the cuts,” Kennedy said. “Russ Vought doesn’t want to make the cuts, President Trump doesn’t, but there’s a $39 trillion debt.”
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