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Speaker Mike Johnson doesn’t yet have the votes to get his budget plan approved on the House floor. He\u2019s barreling ahead anyway.<\/p>\n

Johnson is looking to move the budget resolution through House Rules today and to the floor on Tuesday. The former seems likely, at least \u2014 the Rules Committee\u2019s conservative hard-liners, Reps. Chip Roy and Ralph Norman, are on board with Johnson\u2019s framework.<\/p>\n

But Tuesday\u2019s floor vote is ambitious<\/a>, even with Trump endorsing Johnson\u2019s one-bill strategy for passing the president\u2019s border, energy and tax agenda. Johnson can likely only afford to lose one or two Republicans if he wants to move forward on his plan, depending on Democratic attendance. Rep. Thomas Massie has privately told members he plans to vote against it.<\/p>\n

Other pain points:<\/b> A handful of politically vulnerable members are still undecided on the measure. Some are planning to meet with Energy and Commerce Chair Brett Guthrie and GOP leaders today, as leadership tries to get Republicans on board. E&C is a major player because the budget plan would task it with cutting $880 billion \u2014 reductions that it will likely only find in Medicaid.<\/p>\n

It doesn\u2019t help that Republicans are returning from a week in their districts where several faced a backlash from constituents over Trump and Elon Musk\u2019s chaotic attempts to downsize the federal workforce and slash spending.<\/p>\n

Senate skepticism persists:<\/b> Senate Republicans will be watching Johnson\u2019s progress to see if the \u201cPlan B\u201d they approved last week will end up in play after all. Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham said that he\u2019s hoping Johnson gets his one-bill plan approved. If he does, Graham added: \u201cI will be his biggest fan.\u201d<\/p>\n

What else we’re watching:<\/b><\/p>\n