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Capitol agenda: Johnson puts Senate Dems in a corner

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House Republicans passed their stopgap funding bill Tuesday evening, which means Senate Democrats can now no longer delay their long-dreaded decision: Do they give up a chance to stand up to Donald Trump or let the government shut down in three days?

Democrats plan to huddle around lunchtime to try and hash out their strategy for confronting the government funding fight. They have already held one “vigorous discussion,” and even the chattiest senators emerged from their Tuesday meeting tight-lipped about their strategy. Many declined to say if they were unified in their approach.

They don’t appear to be. Republicans need at least eight Democrats to vote in favor of the six-month stopgap, given GOP Sen. Rand Paul’s expected opposition. Sen. John Fetterman is expected to cross party lines. But most of the 20 Democrats we surveyed in the minutes after the continuing resolution passed the House were noncommittal — particularly among the swing-state set.

A few are varying shades of “no.” Sen. Jeff Merkley said he will oppose it, while Sen. Richard Blumenthal is a “likely no.” Sen. Alex Padilla said he would not be in favor unless it offered California disaster aid after the Los Angeles wildfires.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer hasn’t said a word publicly since the House vote. Sen. Elizabeth Warren issued a charge of her own: “Democrats in the House have shown us they are united,” she told reporters after all but one House Democrat voted against the stopgap. “Why should it be different in the Senate?”

But Senate Democrats are agonizing over a few things: Getting blamed for the shutdown, especially after House GOP leaders sent members home for recess, is a big consideration. And they’re worried it would give Trump — who’s set to be on Blue Light News today for the annual Friends of Ireland luncheon — unchecked authority to shutter even more parts of the federal government. That’s an especially fresh concern after his administration moved Tuesday to gut the Education Department.

“A shutdown is uncharted territory when you’ve got an administration that, at least in some ways, probably would welcome a shutdown because that would give the president almost unlimited power in deciding who’s essential, who’s nonessential, holding up agencies,” Sen. Angus King, an independent who caucuses with Democrats, told reporters. “That’s the dilemma that’s being discussed.”

What else we’re watching:

  • Dem retreat: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is looking to get his caucus on the same page at their annual retreat that starts Wednesday, especially after a disjointed response to Trump’s joint address to Congress last week. Democrats’ challenge: How do they channel the anti-Trump energy of the Democratic base — and many of their members — while calibrating their message to the swing voters they need to win?
  • Johnson and Thune meeting: Johnson met with the Senate majority leader on Tuesday as the top congressional Republicans look to hash out their other big problem: a path forward for Trump’s sweeping domestic policy agenda. “Both of us understand we’ve got to get this done. We’re trying to figure out the best way to do that,” Thune said afterward.
  • Visa revisions: House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan is eyeing his party’s flagship immigration bill as the legislative vehicle for giving Musk the overhaul he wants on high-skilled visa rules. Musk has pushed for increasing immigration levels for those with expertise in science, technology and engineering.

Nicholas Wu, Brendan Bordelon and Hailey Fuchs contributed to this report.

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Congress

Tillis ‘optimistic’ roadblock to Fed chair confirmation will be resolved

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Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said Tuesday he was hopeful that issues surrounding the Federal Reserve would be resolved, allowing Kevin Warsh’s nomination as central bank chair to move forward.

Tillis acknowledged that Warsh’s nomination might have to sit at the Senate Banking Committee “for some time,” given the senator’s objections to moving forward with any Fed nominees until a Justice Department probe related to the current chair, Jerome Powell, is concluded.

“But I’m optimistic it’s going to get cleared up,” he told reporters.

Tillis was scheduled to meet with Warsh on Tuesday afternoon, one of a series of meetings that the Fed chair nominee is holding now that his paperwork was officially sent to the Senate on Wednesday. Warsh met with Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) last week, according to a post on X from the senator, and he is scheduled to meet with Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) this week.

“I’ve known Kevin since he graduated college,” Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.) said, when asked if he had met with Warsh. “He’s one of the people that I’ve always consulted on policy matters.”

The committee has not yet scheduled a nomination hearing.

Jordain Carney contributed to this report.

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Thune eyes action on SAVE America Act next week — without a ‘talking filibuster’

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Senate Majority Leader John Thune is aiming to take action on a GOP-only election bill next week — without pursuing a longshot procedural gambit advocated by some Republican hard-liners.

The decision, confirmed by four people granted anonymity to disclose private strategy, will bring a monthslong, increasingly vitriolic fight among Republicans to a head.

Elon Musk and prominent MAGA influencers have waged an intense social media pressure campaign against Thune and other members of his conference, seeking a way to skirt Democratic opposition to the SAVE America Act by forcing a “talking filibuster.”

Thune told reporters it is his intention to bring up the bill next week and later declined to discuss the process for considering it, saying that talks are ongoing. President Donald Trump reiterated a call to pass it Monday, saying it would “guarantee the midterms” for Republicans.

“Maybe it’s going to be the talking filibuster like the old days,” the president said. “But they have to get it done.”

But the four people said it will come up under the usual 60-vote threshold, meaning it will fail given the united Democratic opposition to the bill. Thune, they said, is expected to set up some amendment votes and a prolonged debate to allow senators to speak at length on the bill.

Subjecting the bill to the typical 60-vote legislative filibuster isn’t a surprising outcome, but it will mark the official rejection of an attempt by Utah Sen. Mike Lee and his allies to get Republicans to embrace the talking filibuster, which would force Democrats to hold the floor in order to block the bill.

Thune, however, said Tuesday there is not enough support within the Senate GOP to go down that road. Besides forcing days of debate on the underlying bill, Democrats could offer unlimited amendments and procedural gambits that could derail the Senate floor for months.

“The votes aren’t there for a talking filibuster,” Thune said Tuesday. “It’s just a reality.”

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MAGA war skeptics rage over Lindsey Graham

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Sen. Lindsey Graham’s push for a more aggressive posture in the U.S.-Israel war with Iran is infuriating war skeptics within the MAGA base, who are questioning why the veteran South Carolina Republican has significant influence over U.S. foreign policy.

Graham — who has been calling for military action against the Iranian regime for years — threatened “consequences” for Gulf countries that have refrained from striking Iran despite enduring repeated attacks, and even floated negotiations with foreign governments.

“I’m willing to do a mutual defense agreement with [Saudi Arabia] and give you protection in perpetuity,” he said in a Fox News interview on Monday. “If you were attacked by Iran, we would go to war for you.”

Graham, a close ally of President Donald Trump on foreign policy, also suggested the United States should relocate its military bases from Spain after Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez refused to involve the country in what he called an “illegal war” in the Middle East.

The aggressive remarks drew scathing rebukes from prominent MAGA commentators and activists who have been skeptical of the war, arguing that Graham is overstepping his authority.

“When did Lindsey Graham become our president?” Megyn Kelly, the onetime Fox News host turned independent podcaster, wrote on X. She warned about Graham’s influence on Trump and described his rhetoric as dangerous.

“Let’s get real. The problem with Lindsay Graham isn’t (just) that he’s a homicidal maniac, it’s that Trump likes and is listening to him, and Trump’s favorite channel is parading him around like a Hefner bunny in stockings on every show,” she said, referring to her former network home.

A spokesperson for Graham did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the criticism. When asked for comment, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president has a good and candid relationship with Graham.

“Republicans are unanimously supportive of President Trump’s bold decision to launch combat operations and end the threat posed by the Iranian terrorist regime,” she said in a statement.

Graham successfully lobbied Trump to take military action against Iran and has maintained a strong relationship with the president, who he described as “Ronald Reagan plus plus plus.” But his calls for a more aggressive military posture in Iran and strong allegiance to Israel prompted critics on the right to quickly pile on.

Conservative commentator Matt Walsh echoed similar criticisms to Kelly, writing on X: “Where does he think he derives the authority to unilaterally offer permanent ‘defense agreements’ to foreign countries?”

And former Rep. Matt Gaetz, Trump’s one-time pick to be attorney general and now a One America News host, was critical of a Fox News interview where Graham repeatedly praised Israel and its military leadership. “Moving ‘all our stuff to Israel’ is not America First,” Gaetz wrote.

The backlash highlights a divide inside Trump’s political base over opposition to further U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts, with anti-interventionists voices becoming increasingly critical as the war in the Middle East escalates.

Over half of U.S. voters opposed the military action in Iran and a majority believe the conflict could last for months or more, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Monday.

But Republicans have overwhelmingly supported Trump’s moves, putting the skeptics broadly in the party’s minority. Eighty-five percent of Republicans surveyed said they supported the military action in Iran, with just 11 percent opposed.

The White House has publicly refused to rule out the potential for boots on the ground in Iran, as the administration sends mixed messages for how long the war could last.

And some of Graham’s critics argue that he is unnecessarily raising the prospect of Americans being deployed.

“There are some in the Senate that advocate for war everywhere. Lindsey Graham is one of them. He does NOT tell the President what to do, nor does he control Congress,” Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) posted on X. “I have spoken with the administration a number of times, as well as other members of Congress over the last week or so, and nothing has changed regarding boots on the ground. NO BOOTS on the ground.”

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