The Dictatorship
The U.K. banned tobacco products for anyone born after 2008. Here’s what could go wrong.
In 1604, King James I of England wrote one of history’s most fervent anti-smoking tracts in response to the rising popularity of tobacco imported from the New World. Smoking, he concluded, was a “custome lothsome to the eye, hatefull to the Nose, harmefull to the braine, dangerous to the Lungs, and in the blacke stinking fume thereof, neerest resembling the horrible Stigian smoke of the pit that is bottomelesse.” [sic]
King James would have loved the new law set to be approved by King Charles III establishing a new generation in the United Kingdom that will be forbidden from purchasing tobacco for their entire lives. Specifically, the law makes it an offense to sell cigarettes, cigars, pipe or chewing tobacco, as well as various other forms of tobacco leaf, to anyone born after Jan. 1, 2009. This, its proponents say, will eventually lead to a smoke-free society, as the legal age for buying cigarettes rises inexorably until the last living smoker in the U.K. joins the choir invisible.
Australia provided a case study in how this could get out of control.
It’s not hard to imagine how this neat solution may falter. While no one is against banning the sale of cigarettes to teenagers, the situation will become increasingly absurd as today’s 17-year-olds age into maturity, creating a permanent division between adults allowed to buy tobacco and those who are prohibited. Supposedly, the day will come when a 50-year-old can buy a cigar from the tobacconist, but their 49-year-old friend must be turned away. Can one really expect this prohibition to be durably respected?
The U.K.’s new law takes an ultimately infantilizing view of tobacco use.
“Children in the U.K. will be part of the first smoke-free generation, protected from a lifetime of addiction and harm,”U.K. Health Secretary Wes Streeting said. But these children will eventually become adults denied the right to make decisions for themselves. It’s grossly illiberal.
In the two decades that I’ve been writing about tobacco policy, I’ve seen the meaning of the phrase “smoking ban” evolve from no smoking in bars to no smoking, period, even among consenting adults. Not long ago, warning of this could be dismissed as a slippery slope fallacy. Now, it’s the imminent reality for a country of 70 million.
Illicit tobacco sales are already a growing problem in the U.K., driven by rising taxes. An investigation by the BBC last year traced criminal supply chains for untaxed, and often counterfeit, tobacco from Europe and China making its way into stashes hidden beneath floorboards in retail shops. Generational prohibition would raise the incentives for illicit sales ever higher.
Australia provided a case study in how this could get out of control.

The country is widely praised for its strict anti-nicotine measures, including one of the world’s highest taxes on cigarettes and a ban on selling vapes without medical prescription. But the result has been a massive black market, with more than half of cigarettes and nearly all e-cigarettes estimated to be sold illegally. This market is violent, too: More than 250 arsons have been associated with gangs supplying illegal products, including one that killed a woman when attackers accidentally hit the wrong address. Crucially, Australia’s decline in smoking has stalled as well, likely due in part to the easy availability of contraband cigarettes.
Another country in the Commonwealth offers a different lesson. New Zealand passed its own generational tobacco ban in 2022, but the country repealed it before it ever took effect. Like Australia, New Zealand also has high taxes on cigarettes. Unlike Australia, it has relatively friendly policies toward safer nicotine products, such as e-cigarettes. The result has been a much tamer illicit market, while still seeing plummeting rates of smoking.
The outcomes of the U.K.’s smoke-free generation law will depend greatly on its policies toward alternative nicotine products. The growth of illicit markets can be attenuated if potential smokers choose to switch to products such as vapes and nicotine pouches, which have already contributed to dramatically reduced rates of smoking. Yet the same law also restricts advertising of these products and may lead to bans on flavors, a potential inhibitor for some on making the switch away from smoking.

Even the rosiest best-case scenarios, if they happen, will have unintended consequences. Illicit markets don’t have to be massive to create real harm in the form of corruption, lost tax revenues, violence and the costs of law enforcement and punishing offenders. Just look at the money and violence associated with Australia’s tobacco smuggling gangs, or organized criminals associated with illegal drugs everywhere in the world.
Conventional means such as taxes, educational campaigns, age restrictions, limits on where people can light up and innovation in safer nicotine products have already achieved great progress against smoking. Prohibition is neither necessary nor worth the risks.
Even the rosiest best-case scenarios, if they happen, will have unintended consequences.
The tendency isn’t limited to the U.K. Worldwide, governments are embracing a new era of prohibition for nicotine and tobacco products. Some of these are worse than others. Singapore, for example, has threatened importers of e-cigarettes with nearly a decade in prison. Here in the United States, statewide bans on flavored vapes have shifted demand to lethal cigarettes while leading to the arrests and prosecutions of sellers. And a few American cities have already implemented bans on tobacco sales or their own smoke-free generation laws.
The potential for such laws to go awry is clear enough from the drug war, alcohol Prohibition and past attempts at banning cigarettes. Around the early 19th century, 15 states in the U.S. experimented with bans on cigarette sales, and all of them eventually repealed.
Or one could look back to King James himself. Despite his status as one of history’s great opponents of smoking, his subjects took a different view, continuing to light their pipes even as he raised their taxes. Eventually, he opted to turn tobacco into a profitable royal monopoly.
Even with the powers of a king, one must reckon with adults pursuing their own desires, which will durably include some fraction of the population preferring genuine tobacco. A free society can accommodate them while still pursuing public health, without the heavy hand of prohibition.
Jacob Grier is a freelance writer in Portland, Oregon. He is the author of several books, including The New Prohibition and The Rediscovery of Tobacco, and a founder of the link-sharing platform Seabird.
The Dictatorship
Blanche says administration officials were apparent targets at correspondents’ dinner
Trump administration officials — “likely including the president” — were the apparent targets of the shooting at the annual White House correspondents’ dinner, acting Attorney General Todd Blanche said Sunday.
In an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press” the morning after President Donald Trump was rushed off stage by Secret Service agents as guests ducked under dining tables while shots rang out at the White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner, Blanche said of the gunman: “We believe that he was targeting administration officials.”
Blanche cautioned that the belief is “quite preliminary” as law-enforcement officials sift through evidence. The acting attorney general said investigators had recovered the suspect’s “electronic devices” and that “there were some writings, and we’ve already spoken with several witnesses who knew him.”
He did not elaborate on the writings. But the New York Post obtained what it called a 1,052-word missive from the gunman, sent to his family members moments before he carried out the foiled attack, in which he said he intended to target administration officials.
The suspect referred to himself as the “Friendly Federal Assassin” in closing his letter. Law enforcement sources described the writings to MS NOW as anti-Trump in nature but not aligned to one specific ideology.
In an interview on Sunday with CBS News’ “60 Minutes,” Trump said he read the alleged gunman’s manifesto. “He’s radicalized,” Trump said. “He was probably a pretty sick guy.”

U.S. Secret Service spokesman Anthony Guglielmi said Sunday that the suspect’s brother in New London, Connecticut, contacted local police, who then alerted the Secret Service. Guglielmi said the Secret Service learned of the suspect’s writings sometime between 9 and 11 p.m. ET Saturday night.
Blanche said investigators believe that the suspect, which a former senior law enforcement official identified to MS NOW as 31-year old California resident Cole Tomas Allen, acted alone. He said the man traveled by train from Los Angeles to Chicago and then from Chicago to Washington. The suspect had two firearms on him that were purchased legally in past couple of years, Blanche said.
The armed suspect was tackled near a security checkpoint at the Washington Hilton hotel, where the event has been held annually for decades, before he could enter the ballroom. He was taken into custody, hospitalized and remains under observation, according to D.C. interim Police Chief Jeff Carroll. The gunman shot a Secret Service agent in his protective vest and that agent was injured but in good condition, Trump told reporters Saturday night.
Trump, Vice President JD Vance and several top administration officials — including Blanche — were in attendance.
“Obviously, President Trump is a member of the administration, the head of it,” Blanche noted on Sunday. But he said any “exacting threat that may have been communicated beforehand” are still under investigation and not yet known.
Blanche said he expected formal charges, which he said would likely include assault of a federal officer and discharging a firearm during the assault of a federal officer, would be filed on Monday.
CBS News reporter Weijia Jiang, president of the White House Correspondents’ Association, called the shooting a “harrowing moment,” and thanked Secret Service and law enforcement personnel.
“Our dinner exists to celebrate the First Amendment and the hard daily work of the journalists who defend it. Last night, those journalists showed exactly the kind of calm and courage that work demands, jumping into reporting immediately after the incident unfolded,” Jiang said in a statement Sunday.
Jiang said late Saturday night that Trump “insists” the dinner be rescheduled within 30 days, but details of a new event have not been announced.
Erum Salam is a breaking news reporter for MS NOW, with a focus on how global events and foreign policy shape U.S. politics. She previously was a breaking news reporter for The Guardian.
The Dictatorship
Terror overtakes Trump’s first White House Correspondents’ Dinner as president
WASHINGTON — As hundreds of journalists exchanged hugs, handshakes and laughter, while they and other attendees took their seats, White House Correspondents’ Association President Weijia Jiang welcomed everyone to this year’s dinner — Donald Trump’s first as president.
A military color guard played the national anthem. Like most events involving a U.S. president, every action was carefully choreographed. The atmosphere felt both routine and yet still historic. The sound of forks hitting plates clattered as Jiang gave her brief remarks, and people returned to conversation.
Suddenly, multiple loud bangs rang out from behind the closed doors of the oval underground ballroom in the Hilton Hotel. Journalists, friends, lawmakers, congressional staffers, and members of Trump’s Cabinet and other administration officials — dropped to the ground. Plates shattered, and chairs toppled over as people took cover under tablecloth-covered tables.
MS NOW reporter Julia Jester, who had reported on air from the red carpet leading up to the event, had briefly gone to an upper level of the hotel and returned to see her fellow journalists crouched on the floor.
“Just as someone said there was a shooter, an officer shouted to ‘get down and stay down,’” Jester recalled. “Not long after, a Secret Service agent ran into the area shouting, ‘Everyone out, this is now an active crime scene.’ Anyone who tried to run back to grab belongings was warned to leave or face arrest. They were not playing around.”

The evening is an annual celebration of the freedom of the press, one that typically includes a comedian’s performance and a joke-filled speech from the president along with the presentation of awards to journalists. Trump broke with tradition in his first term by not attending; his presence Saturday was a lightning rod for debate in the wake of his lawsuits against and threats to sue several media outlets over the past year.
Tension was expected to center on First Amendment speech protections. Instead, the night was derailed by gun violence, another growing threat to America’s democracy.
Outside the ballroom, a man — later identified as Cole Tomas Allen, 31, of Torrance, California — had attempted to run through a security checkpoint with two guns, along with multiple knives, according to Jeffery Carroll, D.C. interim police chief. Several MS NOW reporters, producers and executives were seated in the ballroom, a below-ground space with notoriously poor cellphone service.
“It wasn’t until we were all outside that I remembered how odd, and mildly concerning, I thought it was when no one screened me — or my bags — when I arrived on the terrace-level hours before [most attendees] to cover the red carpet,” Jester said. “The reality sunk in: as jarring as tonight was, it could have been far worse.”
Inside the room, Republican Rep. Marlin Stutzman of Indiana was seated near the center aisle. He estimated he was 50 to 75 feet from the back doors, when “all of a sudden,” he said, “we hear these large gunshots.”

MS NOW “Way Too Early” anchor and senior congressional reporter Ali Vitali heard shouts of “shots fired.”
“Someone behind me shouted ‘get down’ and I hit the floor, grabbing Symone Sanders next to me and telling her to get under the table,” she said. “I worried we couldn’t find cover because of how tightly packed the chairs and tables were. One of the servers also dropped down near us.”
“After a minute, I put my phone in the air and starting filming the dais, trying to understand where the president was,” Vitali said. Then she realized the server on the ground next to her was sobbing. “So, I used one hand in the air with my phone and the other to hold hers, and tell her it was going to be OK.”
Multiple Secret Service agents sprinted to the stage, where Trump, first lady Melania Trump, Vice President JD Vance and White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt were seated along with the board members of the White House Correspondents’ Association. As the guests on the dais crouched down and then were evacuated from their table, heavily-armed officers stood guard on the stage.
Quiet fell across the room, as uncertainty and fear spread among the guests. “I don’t recall any screaming. How much of the silence in that room was learned behavior?” Jonathan Capehart, co-anchor of “The Weekend,” reflected about the experience after years of mass shootings in America.
“It felt like a long moment,” said Stutzman.

In an interview with MS NOW’s Mychael Schnell shortly after the incident, Stutzman and Rep. Abe Hamadeh, R-Ariz., recounted following Jeanine Pirro, the U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia, and other officials down the center aisle as they were ushered out of the ballroom.
Hamadeh spotted Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. among those being rushed to safety. “When everybody was down there [on the floor]I’m just hearing people praying,” the Arizona congressman said. “People were obviously scared.”
White House reporter Jake Traylor, who covered the assassination attempt against Trump in Butler, Pennsylvania, during the 2024 campaign, also began filming on his cellphone. “We were a few feet away from FBI Director Kash Patel. I saw agents covering and protecting him moments after the commotion began,” he said.
“We actually left the exit where Ronald Reagan was shot just over 40 years ago,” MS NOW’s senior White House reporter Vaughn Hillyard told viewers on air as law enforcement officials asked him to move further back from the scene.
Hillyard recalled seeing House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth being escorted out by their security details.
Kari Lake, who has overseen a gutting of the government-funding international news agency Voice of America into a pro-Trump media organization, expressed disdain for journalists in the room as she exited in an interview with Newsmax, a conservative streaming service, moments after the shooting.
“I saw so many people from all of these news outlets,” Lake said, accusing journalists of spreading falsehoods. “They’re part to blame of this,” she claimed moments after the shooting occurred and only as an investigation was just underway.
Back inside the ballroom, MS NOW’s Traylor reported that the president was safe and that he still intended to deliver a speech from the dinner, citing a White House official.
The president posted on social media that he wanted to “LET THE SHOW GO ON.” He praised law enforcement’s swift response and announced a press conference at the White House after it was determined that, following security guidance, he would leave the premises. Attendees were soon asked to leave the hotel as law enforcement investigated what had become a crime scene.
Trump posted a photo of a man handcuffed on the carpeted floor of the hotel and then shared video of a person charging through a security checkpoint. Shortly after, he addressed journalists — many still dressed in gowns and tuxedos — from the White House briefing room, saying the posts were part of an effort to create transparency as law enforcement worked to learn more about the suspect and possible motives.
“It’s always shocking when something like this happens,” Trump told reporters. “Melania was very cognizant, I think, of what happened. I think she knew immediately what happened. She was saying, ‘That’s a bad noise,’ and we were whisked away.”

MS NOW “The Weeknight” anchor Symone Sanders recalled on air riding a scooter up to the driveway of the Hilton, describing her ability to arrive that close to the entrance as “unusual” compared to previous dinners. She questioned the hotel’s overall security after attending numerous events where presidents and vice presidents were present.
“I have been with a protectee, then the vice president of the United States of America, when they have had to be evacuated. What happened tonight, in terms of protocol, from what I know, having experienced it myself, was not protocol,” Sanders said late Saturday, referring to her time as a senior adviser to former Vice President Kamala Harris.
Before the dinner began, MS NOW White House associate producer Emily Hung witnessed a handful of protestors enter the hotel, holding their signs against a WHCD-branded backdrop, before they were escorted out.
It is unclear whether Trump was the intended target, but, if so, this would be the third time a gunman has targeted Trump since 2024. In the Washington Hilton Saturday night were two officials in the presidential line of succession: the vice president and House Speaker Mike Johnson.
Unlike Lake, Trump praised the reaction of journalists in the room and what he saw of the event before it was derailed. “I told the representatives of the evening, and they did such a beautiful job with such a beautiful evening,” the president said. “They’re talking about free speech in our Constitution. That’s what it’s all about.”
As he addressed the reporters in the briefing room who sprang into action to tell the world what had happened, he also took questions and shared that he has “studied assassinations.”
“The people that make the biggest impact, they’re the ones that they go after,” Trump said. “I hate to say I’m honored by that, but I’ve done a lot. We’ve done a lot.”
Contributed Jake Traylor, Ali Vitali, Symone Sanders, Mychael Schnell, Ken Dilianian, Carol Leonnig.
Akayla Gardner is a White House correspondent for MS NOW.
The Dictatorship
‘We are less-than’: Americans fear more cuts to healthcare programs after RFK Jr. hearings
The walls are closing in on millions of Americans who utilize federal healthcare benefits such as Medicare and Medicaid, as the sweeping changes and cuts promised in President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” inch closer to reality, and lawmakers do little to soften the incoming blow.
All eyes were on Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. last week as he wrapped up a marathon seven congressional committee hearings, in review of several proposed federal health nominees and his handling of HHS. Senators spent the week grilling Kennedy over Trump’s 2027 budget proposalwhich would cut $15.8 billion from HHS and put new restrictions on those seeking Medicaid coverage — on top of the impacts of Trump’s bill, which leaves millions at risk of losing insurance coverage.
But the Kennedy hearings didn’t offer much in the way of positive news for federal aid recipients anxious about the future. Instead, Kennedy spent the week defending Trump’s budget proposal and balking — or making misleading claims — about cuts to Medicaid, which is poised to lose $1 trillion in federal spending by 2034 under Trump’s current terms.
“In all honesty, until Trump is gone, RFK is out, along with others who shouldn’t be anywhere near anything to do with Healthcare, we are screwed,” said Edwina Billhimer, a Medicaid recipient and registered Republican who lives in southern Indiana.

Billhimer suffers from Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome, a genetic connective tissue disorder that causes joint issues, chronic pain and severe fatigue. Billhimer cannot physically work and takes medicine around the clock to manage her symptoms. She’s the primary caregiver to her 39-year-old son Dennis, who had half of his brain removed following seizures. Her daughter Michaela was also diagnosed with EDS.
“I feel hopeless. I am waiting for people like myself and my son, along with the elderly, people with cancer and other diseases to be put in camps or hospitals till we die,” she said.
Shifting goal posts
Cuts to government healthcare programs have already had significant impacts on Americans since Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law last July.
In December, Affordable Care Act tax credits expired, causing health premiums to skyrocket for many of the benefit’s 22 million recipients — millions of whom are set to drop their health insurance. Americans without company sponsored healthcare, such as entrepreneurs, small farmers and freelancers, saw immediate increases in their costs.
This year, states across the country have reported hundreds of millions in added costs and lost tax revenue, and hundreds of rural hospitals are on the brink of closure. In January, the House responded by passing a bill to extend the ACA tax credits, but talks have since stagnated in the Senate.
Trump’s bill features one major change for individuals on Medicaid: a new, strict work requirement for eligibility that could block millions from enrolling in the program.
“They must be working at least 80 hours a month, attending school or participating in other specified activities like volunteering in order to receive Medicaid coverage, unless they qualify for an exemption,” said Jennifer Haley, a principal research associate at the Urban Institute’s Health Policy Division. Her team’s recent analysis painted a grim picture for those seeking Medicaid going forward.
Trump’s bill, Hayley said, “would lead to a decline in Medicaid expansion enrollment of about five to 10 million people in 2028.”
Despite ongoing White House claims that people have exploited these programs by avoiding employment, Haley said the majority of those enrolled in Medicaid already work.
But with an average unemployment rate bouncing between 4.3% and 4.45%, getting a job has been challenging for many Americans.
“I think 14 months of looking, I’ve probably put in somewhere around close to 2000 applications, and I’ve had a couple dozen interviews and nothing,” said Medicaid recipient Justin Cornell, 43, of Denver.

Cornell, who is currently unhoused, said he has been kicked off Medicaid about four times in the last seven years. Even with an advanced education, he said he mostly has relied on temporary gigs and food deliveries for income.
Cornell said his own health challenges got him where he is. In 2016, he was diagnosed with type two diabetes, and spent his 401(k) “on healthcare expenses.”
“I had someone help me get on Medicaid at that point, and it saved my life, because I was in the hospital for two nights in the ICU,” he said. The bill, he added, “was something close to $300,000, which obviously I wouldn’t have had. And unfortunately, I have been kind of in and out of housing and on and off Medicaid and SNAP since then.”
Cornell said he thinks many people have misconceptions about the Americans using healthcare programs such as Medicaid.
“If you were to walk into just about any shelter in any city at this point, you would discover that most of those people are working,” he said. “They’re usually working more than one job, and they’re just not making it. It’s not someone who is lazy, because you can’t get on these programs and not put any effort into it.”
“You need to call every week, you need to go down every week, you need to meet with someone, because that’s how you’re going to get on the program, not just applying to them,” Cornell added.
“We are looked down at”
Now it’s a waiting game as millions of Americans like Cornell and Billhimer brace for further healthcare cuts. The national anxiety over cost and cuts is clear in current polling data.
In a recently released Gallup survey of 20,000 Americans, roughly a third of respondents reported making “at least one trade-off with daily living expenses to afford healthcare.”
Just under half of U.S. adults said they struggle to afford healthcare costs, according to a study by the independent research institute KFF. About 3 in 10 said they or an immediate family member had problems paying for healthcare in the past 12 months.
For Billhimer, living life in fear of what could happen to her family’s coverage has been gruesome.

“Ever since the Big, Beautiful Bill passed, I have worried,” she said. “Right now, because of Medicaid, my medications and my son’s medications are covered. … If we were to lose the Medicaid coverage, it would be medications, or eating. And just the thought of that absolutely terrifies me.”
During a private Easter luncheon at the White House earlier this month, Trump suggested the federal government could not — and would not — fund federal aid programs such as Medicaid.
“It’s not possible for us to take care of day care, Medicaid, Medicare, all these individual things,” he said.
“They can do it on a state basis. You can’t do it on a federal. We have to take care of one thing: military protection. We have to guard the country,” he continued.
The White House posted, and then deleted, the statement to social media.
Billhimer said Trump’s comments were devastating — and telling.
“People like us are not looked at. We are looked down at, because we’re less than,” Billhimer said. Of Trump’s comments, she said, “I’m embarrassed, because this isn’t the United States I grew up in at all.”
Maya Eaglin is a reporter at MS NOW covering breaking news, politics and current events around the country. She was previously an award-winning national correspondent at NBC News specializing in digital storytelling.
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